Background Despite newer treatments with immunosuppressive agents, there still exists a considerable morbidity and mortality risk among patients with anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)... Show moreBackground Despite newer treatments with immunosuppressive agents, there still exists a considerable morbidity and mortality risk among patients with anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV). Since 1994 the European Vasculitis Society (EUVAS) has aimed for an improved outcome for patients with AAV, conducting several prospective randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The aim for the present study was to further evaluate the long-term survival of patients with AAV included in seven RCTs conducted by the EUVAS as well as to identify potential prognostic factors. Methods Long-term follow-up data were collected from questionnaires sent to the principal investigators of the original RCTs (1995-2012): MEPEX, NORAM, CYCAZAREM, CYCLOPS, IMPROVE, RITUXVAS and MYCYC, comprising 848 patients, all newly diagnosed with AAV. Relative survival estimates are presented for the study cohorts. Demographic, clinical and laboratory characteristics at trial entry were studied as potential prognostic factors in multivariable models. Results A total of 478 (56%) patients had granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) and 370 (44%) had microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) with a mean age at diagnosis of 58 +/- 14 years. The median follow-up time was 8 years (interquartile range 2.9-13.6). During the observation period there were 305 deaths and the main causes were infections (26%), cardiovascular disease (14%) and malignancies (13%). When compared with a matched cohort (regarding country, age group and sex) from the background population there were 14.2% more deaths among our cohort of AAV patients at 5 years, 19.9% at 10 years, 28.8% at 15 years and 36.3% at 20 years. The excess mortality occurred in all age groups. The estimated median survival time (from diagnosis) was 17.8 years (95% confidence interval 15.7-20). Among variables measured at baseline, advanced age, male sex, low estimated glomerular filtration rate and low platelet count were identified as predictors of death in a multivariate Cox model. Conclusions Patients with AAV still have an increased risk of mortality compared with the general population despite newer therapeutic regimens. Treatment complications and organ damage are the main causes of limited survival and infections remain the leading cause of mortality among patients with AAV. Show less
Huang, L.; Jansen, L.; Verhoeven, R.H.A.; Ruurda, J.P.; Eycken, L. van; Schutter, H. de; ... ; Brenner, H. 2022
Background We previously observed decreasing resection rates of non-metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma (GaC) in the US and some European countries. If and to what extent these trends affect the... Show moreBackground We previously observed decreasing resection rates of non-metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma (GaC) in the US and some European countries. If and to what extent these trends affect the trends in overall survival (OS) of patients with non-metastatic GaC at the population level remain unclear. This large international population-based cohort study aimed to assess the impact of the previously observed decreasing resection rates on multivariable-adjusted trends in the long-term OS of patients with non-metastatic GaC. Methods Individual-level data of patients with non-metastatic GaC were obtained from the national cancer registries of the Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, Norway, and Slovenia, and the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. We analyzed data for each country separately. Associations between year of diagnosis and OS were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression model with adjustment for multiple prognostic variables, with and without including resection and chemotherapy as potential explanatory variables. Results A total of 66,398 non-metastatic GaC patients diagnosed in 2003-2016 were analyzed, with an accumulated follow-up of 172,357 person-years. Without adjustment for resection, OS was improved only slightly in the US [hazard ratio (HR)(per year) = 0.99; HR >= (vs.) (<2010) = 0.96], and no improvement was observed in the investigated European countries, with OS even worsening in Sweden (HRper year = 1.03; HR >= (vs.) (<2010) = 1.17). After adjusting for resection, the increasing OS trend became stronger in the US (HRper year = 0.98; HR >= (vs.) (<2010) = 0.88), and the temporal trend became insignificant in Sweden. In Slovenia (HRper year = 0.99; HR >= (vs.) (<2010) = 0.92) and Norway (HRper year = 0.97; HR >= (vs.) (<2010) = 0.86), improved OS over time emerged after resection adjustment. Improved OS in patients undergoing resection was observed in the US, the Netherlands, and Norway. Adjustment for chemotherapy did not alter the observed associations. Stratified analyses by tumor location showed mostly similar results with the findings in all patients with non-metastatic GaCs regarding the associations between year of diagnosis and survival. Conclusions OS of patients with non-metastatic GaC mostly did not improve in selected European countries and was even worsened in Sweden, while it was slightly increased in the US in the early 21(st) century. Progress in OS of patients with non-metastatic GaC seems to have been impeded to a large extent by decreasing rates of resection. Show less
Simple Summary:& nbsp;Around 40% of patients with MPNSTs develop distant metastasis (DM) within five years. Identification of MPNST patients more likely to develop DM and the identification of... Show moreSimple Summary:& nbsp;Around 40% of patients with MPNSTs develop distant metastasis (DM) within five years. Identification of MPNST patients more likely to develop DM and the identification of prognostic factors after DM diagnosis may guide clinical decision-making and may result in a better balance between quantity and quality of life. This study aimed to identify clinicopathologic and treatment-related factors associated with the development of DM and with overall survival (OS) after DM diagnosis. NF1, high grade, tumor size, triton and R2 resections were independent risk factors for the development of DM. This is the first study that reveals that NF1 status is also independently associated with worse survival after DM diagnosis with a median survival difference of more than 6 months between NF1 and no-NF1 patients.Purpose: This multicenter cohort study aimed to identify clinicopathologic and treatment-related factors associated with the development of distant metastasis (DM) and with overall survival (OS) after DM diagnosis in patients with malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumors (MPNST). Methods: All patients diagnosed with primary MPNST from 1988 to 2019 who were surgically treated for the primary tumor were included. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with DM and OS after DM diagnosis. Results: A total of 383 patients were included in this analysis, of which 150 developed metastatic disease. No differences in clinicopathologic characteristics and clinical outcome were found between patients with synchronous and metachronous DM. Neurofibromatosis type 1 (NF1), high grade, tumor size, triton and R2 resections were independent risk factors for the development of DM. NF1 and more than two metastasis sites were independently associated with worse OS after DM diagnosis. Metastasectomy, chemotherapy and the metastatic site category 'other' were associated with prolonged survival after DM diagnosis. Conclusions: This analysis provides important insights into clinicopathologic and treatment factors associated with outcomes in metastatic MPNST. Moreover, NF1-status is associated with a higher risk of DM; it is also independently associated with worse survival in metastatic MPNST. Show less
Background:One in four patients with primary Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) develops recurrent CDI (rCDI). With every recurrence, the chance of a subsequent CDI episode increases. Early... Show moreBackground:One in four patients with primary Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) develops recurrent CDI (rCDI). With every recurrence, the chance of a subsequent CDI episode increases. Early identification of patients at risk for rCDI might help doctors to guide treatment. The aim of this study was to externally validate published clinical prediction tools for rCDI.Methods:The validation cohort consisted of 129 patients, diagnosed with CDI between 2018 and 2020. rCDI risk scores were calculated for each individual patient in the validation cohort using the scoring tools described in the derivation studies. Per score value, we compared the average predicted risk of rCDI with the observed number of rCDI cases. Discrimination was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).Results:Two prediction tools were selected for validation (Cobo 2018 and Larrainzar-Coghen 2016). The two derivation studies used different definitions for rCDI. Using Cobo's definition, rCDI occurred in 34 patients (26%) of the validation cohort: using the definition of Larrainzar-Coghen, we observed 19 recurrences (15%). The performance of both prediction tools was poor when applied to our validation cohort. The estimated AUC was 0.43 [95% confidence interval (CI); 0.32-0.54] for Cobo's tool and 0.42 (95% CI; 0.28-0.56) for Larrainzar-Coghen's tool.Conclusion:Performance of both prediction tools was disappointing in the external validation cohort. Currently identified clinical risk factors may not be sufficient for accurate prediction of rCDI. Show less
The role of P-values for null hypothesis testing is under debate. We aim to explore the impact of the significance threshold on estimates for the strengths of associations ("effects") and the... Show moreThe role of P-values for null hypothesis testing is under debate. We aim to explore the impact of the significance threshold on estimates for the strengths of associations ("effects") and the implications for different types of epidemiological research. We consider situations with normal distribution of a true effect, while varying the effect size. We confirm the occurrence of "testimation bias": estimating effect size only if the test was statistically significant leads to exaggerated results. The absolute bias is largest for true effects around 0.7 times the size of the standard error: +220% bias if effects are selected after testing with P < .05, and +335% if tested with P P < .20 (+130%) and larger true effect sizes. We conclude that a lower P-value threshold for declaring statistical significance implies more exaggeration in an estimated effect. This implies that if a low threshold is used, effect size estimation should not be attempted, for example in the context of selecting promising discoveries that need further validation. Confirmatory studies, such as randomized controlled trials, might stick to the 0.05 threshold if adequately powered, while prediction modelling studies should use an even higher threshold, such as 0.2, to avoid strongly biased effect estimates. Show less
Martin, E.; Coert, J.H.; Flucke, U.E.; Slooff, W.B.M.; Sande, M.A. van de; Noesel, M.M. van; ... ; Verhoef, C. 2019
Background Malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumors (MPNST) are rare and aggressive non-rhabdomyoblastic soft-tissue sarcomas (NRSTS) in children. This study set out to investigate clinical... Show moreBackground Malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumors (MPNST) are rare and aggressive non-rhabdomyoblastic soft-tissue sarcomas (NRSTS) in children. This study set out to investigate clinical presentation, treatment modalities, and factors associated with survival in pediatric MPNST using Dutch nationwide databases. Methods Data were obtained from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (NCR) and the Dutch Pathology Database (PALGA) from 1989 to 2017. All primary MPNSTs were collected. Demographic differences were analyzed between adult and pediatric (age <= 18 years) MPNST. In children, demographic and treatment differences between neurofibromatosis type 1 (NF1) and non-NF1 were analyzed. A Cox proportional hazard model was constructed for localized pediatric MPNSTs. Results A total of 70/784 MPNST patients were children (37.1% NF1). Children did not present differently from adults. In NF1 children, tumor size was more commonly large (> 5 cm, 92.3% vs 59.1%). Localized disease was primarily resected in 90.6%, and radiotherapy was administered in 37.5%. Non-NF1 children tended to receive chemotherapy more commonly (39.5% vs 26.9%). Overall, estimated five-year survival rates of localized NF1-MPNST was 52.4% (SE: 10.1%) compared with 75.8% (SE: 7.1%) in non-NF1 patients. The multivariate model showed worse survival in NF1 patients (HR: 2.98; 95% CI, 1.17-7.60, P = 0.02) and increased survival in patients diagnosed after 2005 (HR: 0.20; 95% CI, 0.06-0.69, P = 0.01). No treatment factors were independently associated with survival. Conclusion Pediatric MPNSTs have presentations similar to adult MPNSTs. In children, NF1 patients present with larger tumors, but are treated similarly to non-NF1 MPNSTs. In localized pediatric MPNST, NF1 is associated with worse survival. Promisingly, survival has increased for pediatric MPNSTs after 2005. Show less
The prognosis of patients with advanced melanoma has improved dramatically. However, the clinical outcomes of patients with highly elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) remain very poor. The... Show moreThe prognosis of patients with advanced melanoma has improved dramatically. However, the clinical outcomes of patients with highly elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) remain very poor. The aim of this study was to explore whether patients with normalized LDH after targeted therapy could benefit from subsequent treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). Data from all patients with BRAF-mutant metastatic melanoma with a highly elevated serum LDH at baseline (>= 2x upper limit of normal) receiving first-line targeted therapy between 2012 and 2019 in the Netherlands were collected. Patients were stratified according to response status to targeted therapy and change in LDH at start of subsequent treatment with ICI. Differences in overall survival (OS) between the subgroups were compared using log-rank tests. After a median follow-up of 35.1 months, median OS of the total study population (n = 360) was 4.9 months (95% CI 4.4-5.4). Of all patients receiving subsequent treatment with ICI (n = 113), survival from start of subsequent treatment was significantly longer in patients who had normalized LDH and were still responding to targeted therapy compared to those with LDH that remained elevated (median OS 24.7 vs. 1.1 months). Our study suggests that introducing ICI upon response to targeted therapy with normalization of LDH could be an effective strategy in obtaining long-term survival in advanced melanoma patients with initial highly elevated serum LDH. Show less
Schouwenburg, M.G.; Jochems, A.; Leeneman, B.; Franken, M.G.; Eertwegh, A.J.M. van den; Haanen, J.B.A.G.; ... ; Hoeven, J.J.M. van der 2018
