Objective Monochorionic (MC) triplet pregnancies are extremely rare and information on these pregnancies and their complications is limited. We aimed to investigate the risk of early and late... Show moreObjective Monochorionic (MC) triplet pregnancies are extremely rare and information on these pregnancies and their complications is limited. We aimed to investigate the risk of early and late pregnancy complications, perinatal outcome and the timing and methods of fetal intervention in these pregnancies.Methods This was a multicenter retrospective cohort study of MC triamniotic (TA) triplet pregnancies managed in 21 participating centers around the world from 2007 onwards. Data on maternal age, mode of conception, diagnosis of major fetal structural anomalies or aneuploidy, gestational age (GA) at diagnosis of anomalies, twin-to-twin transfusion syndrome (TTTS), twin anemia-polycythemia sequence (TAPS), twin reversed arterial perfusion (TRAP) sequence and or selective fetal growth restriction (sFGR) were retrieved from patient records. Data on antenatal interventions were collected, including data on selective fetal reduction (three to two or three to one), laser surgery and any other active fetal intervention (including amniodrainage). Data on perinatal outcome were collected, including numbers of live birth, intrauterine demise, neonatal death, perinatal death and termination of fetus or pregnancy (TOP). Neonatal data such as GA at birth, birth weight, admission to neonatal intensive care unit and neonatal morbidity were also collected. Perinatal outcomes were assessed according to whether the pregnancy was managed expectantly or underwent fetal intervention.Results Of an initial cohort of 174 MCTA triplet pregnancies, 11 underwent early TOP, three had an early miscarriage, six were lost to follow-up and one was ongoing at the time of writing. Thus, the study cohort included 153 pregnancies, of which the majority (92.8%) were managed expectantly. The incidence of pregnancy affected by one or more fetal structural abnormality was 13.7% (21/153) and that of TRAP sequence was 5.2% (8/153). The most common antenatal complication related to chorionicity was TTTS, which affected just over one quarter (27.6%; 42/152, after removing a pregnancy with TOP < 24 weeks for fetal anomalies) of the pregnancies, followed by sFGR (16.4%; 25/152), while TAPS (spontaneous or post TTTS with or without laser treatment) occurred in only 4.6% (7/152) of pregnancies. No monochorionicity-related antenatal complication was recorded in 49.3% (75/152) of pregnancies. Survival was apparently associated largely with the development of these complications: there was at least one survivor beyond the neonatal period in 85.1% (57/67) of pregnancies without antenatal complications, in 100% (25/25) of those complicated by sFGR and in 47.6% (20/42) of those complicated by TTTS. The overall rate of preterm birth prior to 28 weeks was 14.5% (18/124) and that prior to 32 weeks' gestation was 49.2% (61/124).Conclusion Monochorionicity-related complications, which can impact adversely perinatal outcome, occur in almost half of MCTA triplet pregnancies, creating a challenge with regard to counseling, surveillance and management. (c) 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology. Show less
Youssef, A.; Hoorn, M.L.P. van der; Dongen, M.; Visser, J.; Bloemenkamp, K.; Lith, J. van; ... ; Lashley, E.E.L.O. 2021
Study question: What is the predictive performance of a currently recommended prediction model in an external Dutch cohort of couples with unexplained recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL)?Summary answer: .. Show moreStudy question: What is the predictive performance of a currently recommended prediction model in an external Dutch cohort of couples with unexplained recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL)?Summary answer: The model shows poor predictive performance on a new population; it overestimates, predicts too extremely and has a poor discriminative ability.What is known already: In 50-75% of couples with RPL, no risk factor or cause can be determined and RPL remains unexplained. Clinical management in RPL is primarily focused on providing supportive care, in which counselling on prognosis is a main pillar. A frequently used prediction model for unexplained RPL, developed by Brigham et al. in 1999, estimates the chance of a successful pregnancy based on number of previous pregnancy losses and maternal age. This prediction model has never been externally validated.Study design, size, duration: This retrospective cohort study consisted of 739 couples with unexplained RPL who visited the RPL clinic of the Leiden University Medical Centre between 2004 and 2019.Participants/materials, setting, methods: Unexplained RPL was defined as the loss of two or more pregnancies before 24 weeks, without the presence of an identifiable cause for the pregnancy losses, according to the ESHRE guideline. Obstetrical history and maternal age were noted at intake at the RPL clinic. The outcome of the first pregnancy after intake was documented. The performance of Brigham's model was evaluated through calibration and discrimination, in which the predicted pregnancy rates were compared to the observed pregnancy rates.Main results and the role of chance: The cohort included 739 women with a mean age of 33.1 years (±4.7 years) and with a median of three pregnancy losses at intake (range 2-10). The mean predicted pregnancy success rate was 9.8 percentage points higher in the Brigham model than the observed pregnancy success rate in the dataset (73.9% vs 64.0% (95% CI for the 9.8% difference 6.3-13.3%)). Calibration showed overestimation of the model and too extreme predictions, with a negative calibration intercept of -0.46 (95% CI -0.62 to -0.31) and a calibration slope of 0.42 (95% CI 0.11-0.73). The discriminative ability of the model was very low with a concordance statistic of 0.55 (95% CI 0.51-0.59). Recalibration of the Brigham model hardly improved the c-statistic (0.57; 95% CI 0.53-0.62).Limitations, reasons for caution: This is a retrospective study in which only the first pregnancy after intake was registered. There was no time frame as inclusion criterium, which is of importance in the counselling of couples with unexplained RPL. Only cases with a known pregnancy outcome were included.Wider implications of the findings: This is the first study externally validating the Brigham prognostic model that estimates the chance of a successful pregnancy in couples with unexplained RPL. The results show that the frequently used model overestimates the chances of a successful pregnancy, that predictions are too extreme on both the high and low ends and that they are not much more discriminative than random luck. There is a need for revising the prediction model to estimate the chance of a successful pregnancy in couples with unexplained RPL more accurately.Study funding/competing interest(s): No external funding was used and no competing interests were declared.Trial registration number: N/A.Keywords: external validation; miscarriage; prediction model; pregnancy success rate; recurrent pregnancy loss. Show less
