In part 1 of the thesis Predicting Outcomes in Patients with Kidney Disease, key differences between etiological and prediction research are explored and it is shown that observational research... Show moreIn part 1 of the thesis Predicting Outcomes in Patients with Kidney Disease, key differences between etiological and prediction research are explored and it is shown that observational research often conflates etiology and prediction which leads to incorrect causal conclusions. A framework for the external validation of prognostic models is provided and it is shown how competing events can be dealt with when externally validating a time-to-event prognostic model. These results are applicable to many clinical research fields, including nephrology as exemplified in part 2. Within the six applied chapters in part 2, prediction models for various adverse outcomes in patients with advanced kidney disease are identified, validated and developed. The thesis provides a broad overview of prognostic model applications in patients with chronic kidney disease, including comprehensive external validation studies for kidney failure prediction models, mortality prediction models and graft failure prediction models. Models to predict mortality on conservative care and dialysis and models to predict adverse outcomes after kidney transplantation were developed and validated. These results may improve shared decision-making processes and individualized medicine for patients with kidney disease. Show less
Ramspek, C.L.; Steyerberg, E.W.; Riley, R.D.; Rosendaal, F.R.; Dekkers, O.M.; Dekker, F.W.; Diepen, M. van 2021
Etiological research aims to uncover causal effects, whilst prediction research aims to forecast an outcome with the best accuracy. Causal and prediction research usually require different methods,... Show moreEtiological research aims to uncover causal effects, whilst prediction research aims to forecast an outcome with the best accuracy. Causal and prediction research usually require different methods, and yet their findings may get conflated when reported and interpreted. The aim of the current study is to quantify the frequency of conflation between etiological and prediction research, to discuss common underlying mistakes and provide recommendations on how to avoid these. Observational cohort studies published in January 2018 in the top-ranked journals of six distinct medical fields (Cardiology, Clinical Epidemiology, Clinical Neurology, General and Internal Medicine, Nephrology and Surgery) were included for the current scoping review. Data on conflation was extracted through signaling questions. In total, 180 studies were included. Overall, 26% (n = 46) contained conflation between etiology and prediction. The frequency of conflation varied across medical field and journal impact factor. From the causal studies 22% was conflated, mainly due to the selection of covariates based on their ability to predict without taking the causal structure into account. Within prediction studies 38% was conflated, the most frequent reason was a causal interpretation of covariates included in a prediction model. Conflation of etiology and prediction is a common methodological error in observational medical research and more frequent in prediction studies. As this may lead to biased estimations and erroneous conclusions, researchers must be careful when designing, interpreting and disseminating their research to ensure this conflation is avoided. Show less
Objectives: Little is known about the etiology of pulmonary carcinoids (PC). Associations with other types of cancer may identify shared risk factors but results from earlier studies were... Show moreObjectives: Little is known about the etiology of pulmonary carcinoids (PC). Associations with other types of cancer may identify shared risk factors but results from earlier studies were inconclusive. The aim of the present study was to explore the association between PC and other primary malignancies for identifying risk factors.Methods: A query of the nationwide Netherlands Cancer Registry generated data about patients diagnosed with PC from 1989 to 2018. The occurrence of second primary malignancies was evaluated separately for year 1 and years 2-30. The expected numbers of second primary malignancies were calculated using incidence reference tables, controlling for age, gender and period. Confidence intervals (95 % CI) for the ratio between observed and expected numbers (SIR: standardized incidence ratio) were calculated using Poisson distributions.Results: In a total of 2933 patients with PC, 425 consecutive primary malignancies were observed in 376 patients. Concomitant diagnoses in the first year mainly comprised lung (n = 59) and renal cancer (n =14). Metachronous malignancies beyond the first year were most common for breast (n = 50), colorectal (n = 41), prostate (n = 32), and lung cancer (n = 29). Beyond year 1, the overall risk of second primary cancer in patients with PC was similar to the risk within the general population (n = 256, SIR =1.12, 95 % CI 0.99-1.27). Increased risks were observed for soft tissue sarcoma (n = 5, SIR = 3.52, 95 % CI 1.14-8.22) and GEPNET (n = 4, SIR = 4.30, 95 % CI 1.17-11.01).Conclusions: Concomitant diagnosis of PC with other cancers is common, reflecting surveillance diagnostics. Apart from MEN-1 family history, no shared risk factors could be identified. Show less
Purpose of review Observational studies have shown that serum 25-OH vitamin D [25(OH)D] is inversely associated with overall cancer risk in many malignancies. We performed a systematic literature... Show morePurpose of review Observational studies have shown that serum 25-OH vitamin D [25(OH)D] is inversely associated with overall cancer risk in many malignancies. We performed a systematic literature review to determine whether vitamin D deficiency is related to head and neck cancer (HNC) etiology and outcome. Recent findings The search yielded five prospective studies reporting 25(OH)D levels prior to cancer diagnosis and their effect on the risk of HNC. Eight studies were cross-sectional or case-control studies, in which 25(OH)D levels were only measured after cancer diagnosis. Two studies found an inverse association between 25(OH)D level and HNC risk, while two other prospective cohort studies demonstrated no connection between 25(OH)D and HNC risk. Several studies reported cancer patients to have significantly lower 25(OH)D levels than controls. Associations between 25(OH)D and prognosis and mortality were variable. The link between vitamin D and HNC has so far only been investigated in a few observational, prospective, and case-control studies. Vitamin D deficiency may be more common in HNC patients than in the healthy population. There is no evidence for a causal relationship. Further studies are needed to evaluate whether low 25(OH)D concentrations play a role in the development or outcome of HNCs. Show less
Rheumatoid arthritis is a heterogeneous disease, which can be, based on data combining genetic risk factors and autoantibodies, sub-classified into ACPA-positive and -negative RA. Presence of ACPA... Show moreRheumatoid arthritis is a heterogeneous disease, which can be, based on data combining genetic risk factors and autoantibodies, sub-classified into ACPA-positive and -negative RA. Presence of ACPA and RF as well as rising CRP-levels in some patients years before onset of clinical symptoms indicate that relevant immune responses for RA development are initiated very early. ACPA are highly specific for RA, whereas RF can also be found among healthy (elderly) individuals and patients with other autoimmune diseases or infection. The most important genetic risk factor for RA development, the shared epitope alleles, resides in the MHC class II region. Shared epitope alleles, however, only predispose to the development of ACPA-positive RA. Smoking is thus far the most important environmental risk factor associated with the development of RA. Studies on synovitis have shown the importance not only of adaptive but also of innate immune responses. In summary of the various results from immunological changes in blood and synovial tissue, the extension of the immune response from a diffuse myeloid to a lympho-myeloid inflammation appears to be associated with a more successful therapeutic response to biologics. With respect to advances in synovitis research, new targets for treatment against pathological subsets of immune cells or fibroblasts are already on the horizon. However, alternative strategies involving the microbiome may play an important role as well and research in this field is growing rapidly. Show less
This study aims to evaluate the etiology of pediatric sensorineural hearing loss (SNHL). A total of 423 children with SNHL were evaluated, with the focus on the determination of causative genetic... Show moreThis study aims to evaluate the etiology of pediatric sensorineural hearing loss (SNHL). A total of 423 children with SNHL were evaluated, with the focus on the determination of causative genetic and acquired etiologies of uni- and bilateral SNHL in relation to age at diagnosis and severity of the hearing loss. We found that a stepwise diagnostic approach comprising of imaging, genetic, and/or pediatric evaluation identified a cause for SNHL in 67% of the children. The most common causative finding in children with bilateral SNHL was causative gene variants (26%), and in children with unilateral SNHL, a structural anomaly of the temporal bone (27%). The probability of finding an etiologic diagnosis is significantly higher in children under the age of 1year and children with profound SNHL.Conclusions: With our stepwise diagnostic approach, we found a diagnostic yield of 67%. Bilateral SNHL often has a genetic cause, whereas in unilateral SNHL structural abnormalities of the labyrinth are the dominant etiologic factor. The diagnostic yield is associated with the age at detection and severity of hearing loss: the highest proportion of causative abnormalities is found in children with a young age at detection or a profound hearing loss. Show less
Objective: To evaluate the clinically relevant abnormalities as visualized on CT and MR imaging in children with symmetric and asymmetric bilateral sensorineural hearing loss (SNHL), in relation to... Show moreObjective: To evaluate the clinically relevant abnormalities as visualized on CT and MR imaging in children with symmetric and asymmetric bilateral sensorineural hearing loss (SNHL), in relation to age and the severity of hearing loss.Study design: Retrospective cohort study.Setting: Tertiary referral otology and audiology center.Patients and diagnostic interventions: From January 2006 until January 2016, a total of 207 children diagnosed with symmetric and asymmetric bilateral SNHL were included. They underwent CT and/or MR imaging for the evaluation of the etiology of their hearing loss.Main outcome measures: Radiologic abnormalities associated with SNHL.Results: 302 scans were performed in 207 children (median age of 0.8 years old) with bilateral SNHL. The most frequently identified cause of bilateral SNHL was a malformation of the labyrinth. The combined diagnostic yield of CT and MR imaging was 32%. The diagnostic yield of MR (34%) was considerably higher than that of CT (20%). We found a higher rate of abnormalities in children with profound hearing loss (41%) compared to milder hearing loss (8-29%), and in asymmetric SNHL (52%) compared to symmetric SNHL (30%).Conclusion: Imaging is essential in the etiologic evaluation of children with bilateral SNHL. The highest diagnostic yield is found in children with bilateral asymmetric SNHL or profound SNHL. Based on our findings, MR is the primary imaging modality of choice in the etiological evaluation of children with bilateral SNHL because of its high diagnostic yield. Show less
Witte, P.B. de; Overbeek, C.L.; Navas, A.; Nagels, J.; Reijnierse, M.; Nelissen, R.G.H.H. 2016
This article focuses on the development of a conceptual framework for explaining the etiology of violence in later life by various groups involved in the field of elder abuse. In this study, we... Show moreThis article focuses on the development of a conceptual framework for explaining the etiology of violence in later life by various groups involved in the field of elder abuse. In this study, we explore this through eight focusgroups with different professionals involved in the field of elder abuse and older persons themselves and in interviews with 35 experts in the field. Our findings show that dependency, vulnerability, power and control, social isolation, stress, and care burden play a central role in their explanations for the occurrence of violence in later life. The role of a history of violence in violence in later life is equivocal. The complexity and ambiguity of dependency and vulnerability, the notion of mutual dependency, and diverse attitudes and expectations toward them that arise with the aging process are distinct features of violence in later life that were found. Show less
Adducted thumbs are an uncommon congenital malformation. It can be an important clinical clue in genetic syndromes, e.g. the L1 syndrome. A retrospective survey was performed including patients... Show moreAdducted thumbs are an uncommon congenital malformation. It can be an important clinical clue in genetic syndromes, e.g. the L1 syndrome. A retrospective survey was performed including patients with adducted thumbs referred to the Department of Clinical Genetics between 1985 and 2011 by perinatologists, (child) neurologists or paediatricians, in order to evaluate current knowledge on the genetic etiology of adducted thumbs. Twenty-five patients were included in this survey. Additional features were observed in 88% (22/25). In 25% (4/16) of the patients with adducted thumbs and congenital hydrocephalus L1CAM gene mutations were identified. One patient had a mosaic 5p13 duplication. Recommendations are made concerning the evaluation and genetic workup of patients with adducted thumbs. Show less
Pulmonary embolism is traditionally, since autopsy studies by Virchow in the mid 1800s, thought to originate from embolization of a deep-vein thrombosis, resulting in two clinical manifestations of... Show morePulmonary embolism is traditionally, since autopsy studies by Virchow in the mid 1800s, thought to originate from embolization of a deep-vein thrombosis, resulting in two clinical manifestations of one disease: venous thrombosis. The incidence of deep-vein thrombosis in the population is twice as high as the incidence of pulmonary embolism, i.e. 1 per 1000 and 0.5 per 1000 person-years respectively. The aim of this thesis was to assess whether pulmonary embolism and deep-vein thrombosis are always the same disease or not, and to answer this question with regard to etiology (genetic and acquired risk factors) and anatomical distribution of thrombi in the veins. We studied this question in two populations: the PEDLAR study and the MEGA case-control study. In the PEDLAR study we assessed the origin of pulmonary embolism using a total body Magnetic Resonance Direct Thrombus Imaging technique. We proposed several mecha nisms for the absence of deep-vein thrombi in more than half of the patients with pulmonary embolism. In addition, we investigated the effect of aging on venous valve thickness. This was performed in an ultrasonography study, with participants from 20 to 80 years old (the aging venous valves study). We hypothesized that part of the increasing incidence in venous thrombosis with age can be explained by increasing valve thickness. Show less
Kazem, S.; Meijden, E. van der; Kooijman, S.; Rosenberg, A.S.; Hughey, L.C.; Browning, J.C.; ... ; Feltkamp, M.C.W. 2012
