Background: Trends of surgical and non-surgical complications among the old, older and oldest patients after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery could help to identify the best target outcome to... Show moreBackground: Trends of surgical and non-surgical complications among the old, older and oldest patients after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery could help to identify the best target outcome to further improve postoperative outcome.Materials and methods: All consecutive patients >= 70 years receiving curative elective CRC resection between 2011 and 2019 in The Netherlands were included. Baseline variables and postoperative com-plications were prospectively collected by the Dutch ColoRectal audit (DCRA). We assessed surgical and non-surgical complications over time and within age categories (70-74, 75-79 and >= 80 years) and determined the impact of age on the risk of both types of complications by using multivariate logistic regression analyses. Results: Overall, 38648 patients with a median age of 76 years were included. Between 2011 and 2019 the proportion of ASA score >= 3 and laparoscopic surgery increased. Non-surgical complications signif-icantly improved between 2011 (21.8%) and 2019 (17.1%) and surgical complications remained constant (from 17.6% to 16.8%). Surgical complications were stable over time for each age group. Non-surgical complications improved in the oldest two age groups. Increasing age was only associated with non-surgical complications (75-79 years; OR 1.17 (95% CI 1.10-1.25), >= 80 years; OR 1.46 (95% CI 1.37-1.55) compared to 70-74 years), not with surgical complications. Conclusion: The reduction of postoperative complications in the older CRC population was predomi-nantly driven by a decrease in non-surgical complications. Moreover, increasing age was only associated with non-surgical complications and not with surgical complications. Future care developments should focus on non-surgical complications, especially in patients >= 75 years.(c) 2022 Elsevier Ltd, BASO -The Association for Cancer Surgery, and the European Society of Surgical Oncology. All rights reserved. Show less
Hulst, H.C.V.; Dekker, J.W.T.; Bastiaannet, E.; Bol, J.M. van der; Bos, F. van den; Hamaker, M.E.; ... ; Souwer, E.T.D. 2022
Background: For clinical decision making it is important to identify patients at risk for adverse outcomes after co-lorectal cancer (CRC) surgery, especially in the older population. Because the... Show moreBackground: For clinical decision making it is important to identify patients at risk for adverse outcomes after co-lorectal cancer (CRC) surgery, especially in the older population. Because the American College of Surgeons Na-tional Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) surgical risk calculator is potentially useful in clinical practice, we performed an external validation in a Dutch multicenter cohort of patients >= 70 years undergoing elective non-metastatic CRC surgery.Methods: We compared the ACS NSQIP calculator mean predicted risk to the overall observed rate of anastomotic leakage, return to operation room, pneumonia, discharge not to home, and readmission in our cohort using a one-sample Z-test. Calibration plots and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine the calculator's performance.Results: Six hundred eighty-two patients were included. Median age was 76.2 years. The ACS NSQIP calculator ac-curately predicted the overall readmission rate (predicted: 8.6% vs. observed: 7.8%, p = 0.456), overestimated the rate of discharge not to home (predicted:11.2% vs. observed: 7.0% p = 0.005) and underestimated the observed rate of all other outcomes. The calibration plots showed poor calibration for all outcomes. The ROC-curve showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.67-0.83) for pneumonia and 0.70 (0.62-0.78) for discharge not to home. The AUC for all other outcomes was poor.Conclusions: The ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator had a poor individual risk prediction (calibration) for all out-comes and only a fair discriminative ability (discrimination) to predict pneumonia and discharge not to home. The calculator might be considered to identify patients at high risk of pneumonia and discharge not to home to initiate additional preoperative interventions. (c) 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Show less
Claassen, Y.H.M.; Bastiaannet, E.; Eycken, E. van; Damme, N. van; Martling, A.; Johansson, R.; ... ; Velde, C.J.H. van de 2019
Background: Decreased cancer specific survival in older colorectal patients is mainly due to mortality in the first year, emphasizing the importance of the first postoperative year. This study aims... Show moreBackground: Decreased cancer specific survival in older colorectal patients is mainly due to mortality in the first year, emphasizing the importance of the first postoperative year. This study aims to gain an overview and time trends of short-term mortality in octogenarians (>= 80 years) with colorectal cancer across four North European countries.Methods: Patients of 80 years or older, operated for colorectal cancer (stage I-Ill) between 2005 and 2014, were included. Population-based cohorts from Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, and Sweden were collected. Separately for colon- and rectal cancer, 30-day, 90-day, one-year, and excess one-year mortality were calculated. Also, short-term mortality over three time periods (2005-2008, 2009-2011, 2012-2014) was analyzed.Results: In total, 35,158 colon cancer patients and 10,144 rectal cancer patients were included. For colon cancer, 90-day mortality rate was highest in Denmark (15%) and lowest in Sweden (8%). For rectal cancer, 90-day mortality rate was highest in Belgium (11%) and lowest in Sweden (7%). One-year excess mortality rate of colon cancer patients decreased from 2005 to 2008 to 2012-2014 for all countries (Belgium: 17%-11%, Denmark: 21%-15%, the Netherlands: 18%-10%, and Sweden: 10%-8%). For rectal cancer, from 2005 to 2008 to 2012-2014 one-year excess mortality rate decreased in the Netherlands from 16% to 7% and Sweden: 8%-2%).Conclusions: Short-term mortality rates were high in octogenarians operated for colorectal cancer. Short-term mortality rates differ across four North European countries, but decreased over time for both colon and rectal cancer patients in all countries. (C) 2019 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Show less
