Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a serious and sometimes life-threatening condition that refers to a blood clot that occludes the arteries of the lung. Despite all improvements over the past decades,... Show morePulmonary embolism (PE) is a serious and sometimes life-threatening condition that refers to a blood clot that occludes the arteries of the lung. Despite all improvements over the past decades, diagnosing PE is still a difficult process due to the non-specific symptoms, which can frequently overlap with symptoms of other cardiopulmonary diseases. Currently recommended diagnostic strategies for suspected acute PE consist of standardized assessment of the clinical pre-test probability (CPTP) using validated clinical decision rules (CDRs) and D-dimer testing. PE is considered safely ruled out in patients with a non-high CPTP and a normal D-dimer test. Imaging tests as computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) are required in the case of a high CPTP and/or abnormal D-dimer test to confirm the diagnosis. The first part of this thesis describes the challenges of diagnosing PE in general and in specific clinically relevant patient subgroups. Moreover, this part evaluates the diagnostic performance of non-invasive diagnostic strategies for suspected PE in specific relevant patient subgroups. The second part of this thesis focuses on venous thrombotic complications in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Show less
BackgroundThe recently published 4-level Pulmonary Embolism Clinical Probability Score (4PEPS) integrates different aspects from currently available diagnostic strategies to further reduce imaging... Show moreBackgroundThe recently published 4-level Pulmonary Embolism Clinical Probability Score (4PEPS) integrates different aspects from currently available diagnostic strategies to further reduce imaging testing in patients with clinically suspected pulmonary embolism (PE).AimTo externally validate the performance of 4PEPS in an independent cohort.MethodsIn this post-hoc analysis of the prospective diagnostic management YEARS study, the primary outcome measures were discrimination, calibration, efficiency (proportion of imaging tests potentially avoided), and failure rate (venous thromboembolism (VTE) diagnosis at baseline or follow-up in patients with a negative 4PEPS algorithm). Multiple imputation was used for missing 4PEPS items. Based on 4PEPS, PE was considered ruled out in patients with a very low clinical pre-test probability (CPTP) without D-dimer testing, in patients with a low CPTP and D-dimer <1000 μg/L, and in patients with a moderate CPP and D-dimer below the age-adjusted threshold.ResultsOf the 3465 patients, 474 (14 %) were diagnosed with VTE at baseline or during 3-month follow-up. Discriminatory performance of the 4PEPS items was good (area under ROC-curve, 0.82; 95%CI, 0.80–0.84) as was calibration. Based on 4PEPS, PE could be considered ruled out without imaging in 58 % (95%CI 57–60) of patients (efficiency), for an overall failure rate of 1.3 % (95%CI 0.86–1.9).ConclusionIn this retrospective external validation, 4PEPS appeared to safely rule out PE with a high efficiency. Nevertheless, although not exceeding the failure rate margin by ISTH standards, the observed failure rate in our analysis appeared to be higher than in the original 4PEPS derivation and validation study. This highlights the importance of a prospective outcome study. Show less
AimsRisk stratification is used for decisions regarding need for imaging in patients with clinically suspected acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The aim was to develop a clinical prediction model that... Show moreAimsRisk stratification is used for decisions regarding need for imaging in patients with clinically suspected acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The aim was to develop a clinical prediction model that provides an individualized, accurate probability estimate for the presence of acute PE in patients with suspected disease based on readily available clinical items and D-dimer concentrations.Methods and resultsAn individual patient data meta-analysis was performed based on sixteen cross-sectional or prospective studies with data from 28 305 adult patients with clinically suspected PE from various clinical settings, including primary care, emergency care, hospitalized and nursing home patients. A multilevel logistic regression model was built and validated including ten a priori defined objective candidate predictors to predict objectively confirmed PE at baseline or venous thromboembolism (VTE) during follow-up of 30 to 90 days. Multiple imputation was used for missing data. Backward elimination was performed with a P-value <0.10. Discrimination (c-statistic with 95% confidence intervals [CI] and prediction intervals [PI]) and calibration (outcome:expected [O:E] ratio and calibration plot) were evaluated based on internal-external cross-validation. The accuracy of the model was subsequently compared with algorithms based on the Wells score and D-dimer testing. The final model included age (in years), sex, previous VTE, recent surgery or immobilization, haemoptysis, cancer, clinical signs of deep vein thrombosis, inpatient status, D-dimer (in µg/L), and an interaction term between age and D-dimer. The pooled c-statistic was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.85–0.89; 95% PI, 0.77–0.93) and overall calibration was very good (pooled O:E ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.87–1.14; 95% PI, 0.55–1.79). The model slightly overestimated VTE probability in the lower range of estimated probabilities. Discrimination of the current model in the validation data sets was better than that of the Wells score combined with a D-dimer threshold based on age (c-statistic 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70–0.75) or structured clinical pretest probability (c-statistic 0.79; 95% CI, 0.76–0.81).ConclusionThe present model provides an absolute, individualized probability of PE presence in a broad population of patients with suspected PE, with very good discrimination and calibration. Its clinical utility needs to be evaluated in a prospective management or impact study. Show less
Lee, J.Y.; Es, N. van; Takada, T.; Klok, F.A.; Geersing, G.J.; Blume, J.; ... ; IPD study team 2023
ObjectivesWe present an illustrative application of methods that account for covariates in receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, using individual patient data on D-dimer testing... Show moreObjectivesWe present an illustrative application of methods that account for covariates in receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, using individual patient data on D-dimer testing for excluding pulmonary embolism.Study Design and SettingBayesian nonparametric covariate-specific ROC curves were constructed to examine the performance/positivity thresholds in covariate subgroups. Standard ROC curves were constructed. Three scenarios were outlined based on comparison between subgroups and standard ROC curve conclusion: (1) identical distribution/identical performance, (2) different distribution/identical performance, and (3) different distribution/different performance. Scenarios were illustrated using clinical covariates. Covariate-adjusted ROC curves were also constructed.ResultsAge groups had prominent differences in D-dimer concentration, paired with differences in performance (Scenario 3). Different positivity thresholds were required to achieve the same level of sensitivity. D-dimer had identical performance, but different distributions for YEARS algorithm items (Scenario 2), and similar distributions for sex (Scenario 1). For the later covariates, comparable positivity thresholds achieved the same sensitivity. All covariate-adjusted models had AUCs comparable to the standard approach.ConclusionSubgroup differences in performance and distribution of results can indicate that the conventional ROC curve is not a fair representation of test performance. Estimating conditional ROC curves can improve the ability to select thresholds with greater applicability. Show less
Hajjar, L.A.; Ancona, M.B.; Kalil, R.; Tresoldi, M.; Caldas, J.G.; Monti, G.; ... ; Montorfano, M. 2023
Background Microvascular lung vessels obstructive thromboinflammatory syndrome has been proposed as a possible mechanism of respiratory failure in COVID-19 patients. However, it has only been... Show moreBackground Microvascular lung vessels obstructive thromboinflammatory syndrome has been proposed as a possible mechanism of respiratory failure in COVID-19 patients. However, it has only been observed in post-mortem studies and has never been documented in vivo, probably because of a lack of CT scan sensitivity in small pulmonary arteries. The aim of the present study was to assess the safety, tolerability, and diagnostic value of optical coherence tomography (OCT) for the assessment of patients with COVID-19 pneumonia for pulmonary microvascular thromboinflammatory syndrome.Methods The COVID-OCT trial was a multicenter, open-label, prospective, interventional clinical study. Two cohorts of patients were included in the study and underwent pulmonary OCT evaluation. Cohort A consisted of patients with COVID-19 with a negative CT scan for pulmonary thrombosis and elevated thromboinflammatory markers (D-dimer > 10,000 ng/mL or 5,000 < D-dimer < 10,000 ng/mL and one of: C-reactive Protein > 100 mg/dL, IL-6 > 6 pg/mL, or ferritin > 900 ng/L). Cohort B consisted of patients with COVID-19 and a CT scan positive for pulmonary thrombosis. The primary endpoints of the study were: (i) to evaluate the overall safety of OCT investigation in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia, and (ii) to report on the potential value of OCT as a novel diagnostic tool for the diagnosis of microvascular pulmonary thrombosis in COVID-19 patients.Results A total of 13 patients were enrolled. The mean number of OCT runs performed in each patient was 6.1 +/- 2.0, both in ground glass and healthy lung areas, achieving a good evaluation of the distal pulmonary arteries. Overall, OCT runs identified microvascular thrombosis in 8 patients (61.5%): 5 cases of red thrombus, 1 case of white thrombus, and 2 cases of mixed thrombus. In Cohort A, the minimal lumen area was 3.5 +/- 4.6 mm(2), with stenosis of 60.9 +/- 35.9% of the area, and the mean length of thrombus-containing lesions was 5.4 +/- 3.0 mm. In Cohort B, the percentage area obstruction was 92.6 & PLUSMN; 2.6, and the mean thrombus-containing lesion length was 14.1 +/- 13.9 mm. No peri-procedural complications occurred in any of the 13 patients.Conclusion OCT appears to be a safe and accurate method of evaluating the distal pulmonary arteries in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Here, it enabled the first in vivo documentation of distal pulmonary arterial thrombosis in patients with elevated thromboinflammatory markers, even when their CT angiogram was negative for pulmonary thrombosis. Show less
Background Thrombosis is reported to occur more often among patients with COVID-19 than otherwise expected in the setting of viral pneumonia and sepsis. Systemic inflammatory biomarkers may be... Show moreBackground Thrombosis is reported to occur more often among patients with COVID-19 than otherwise expected in the setting of viral pneumonia and sepsis. Systemic inflammatory biomarkers may be associated with venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk. The ISTH subcommittee on Predictive and Diagnostic Variables in Thrombotic Disease aimed to report the evidence on prognostic biomarkers for VTE in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Methods Using a standardized Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis methodology, we conducted a systematic literature review to identify studies reporting prognostic biomarkers for VTE among hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Eligible studies included adults hospitalized with COVID-19 and reported the prognostic associations between any biomarker measured on admission, and the subsequent diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. Two authors reviewed titles and abstracts, and three authors extracted study data and performed review of bias. Results were displayed descriptively. Meta-analysis was not possible. Results From the initial 196 identified studies, full-text review was performed for 72 studies. Admission D-dimer levels were associated with VTE during hospitalization in five studies, and elevated platelet count was associated with VTE during hospitalization in one study. The risk of bias ranged from low to high for included studies. Overall, there was a paucity of high-quality prognostic studies. Studies on other biomarkers did not meet the systematic review inclusion criteria. Conclusions Admission D-dimer was associated with VTE diagnosis during hospitalization for COVID-19; however, prospective validation of this finding is needed to identify optimal D-dimer thresholds to guide VTE prophylaxis measures. Show less
Venous thromboembolism (VTE), in particular acute pulmonary embolism (PE), has been shown to be a frequent and potentially fatal complication of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In response to... Show moreVenous thromboembolism (VTE), in particular acute pulmonary embolism (PE), has been shown to be a frequent and potentially fatal complication of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In response to the observed thrombotic complications, a large number of studies has been devoted to the understanding and management of COVID-19-associated coagulopathy. Notably, only a limited number of mostly retrospective studies has focused on the optimal diagnostic strategy for suspected PE in COVID-19 patients. As in other special populations, the accuracy of diagnostic algorithms for PE-exclusion has been debated in this specific patient subgroup as the specificity of D-dimer assays and clinical decision rules (CDRs) may be lower than normal. From this viewpoint, we discuss the current state-of-the-art diagnostic algorithms for acute PE with a focus on patients with COVID-19 in the perspective of other special patient populations. Furthermore, we summarize current knowledge regarding the natural history of PE resolution with anticoagulant treatment in patients with COVID-19. Show less
Dronkers, C.E.A.; Hulle, T. van der; Gal, G. le; Kyrle, P.A.; Huisman, M.V.; Cannegieter, S.C.; Klok, F.A. 2021
Background: A high D-dimer level and parameters of the thrombin generation (TG) potential are associated with the risk of a first venous thrombosis (VT) in young and middle-aged populations... Show moreBackground: A high D-dimer level and parameters of the thrombin generation (TG) potential are associated with the risk of a first venous thrombosis (VT) in young and middle-aged populations.Objectives: To investigate whether D-dimer and TG potential (lag-time, time-to-peak [ttPeak], peak thrombin, endogenous thrombin potential [ETP], and velocity index), are associated with the risk of a first VT in those aged 70 years and older.Methods: We included 215 patients with a first VT and 358 controls, all aged >70 years, from the Age and Thrombosis, Acquired and Genetic Risk Factors in the Elderly (AT-AGE) study. To assess the risk of VT, odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using logistic regression analysis.Results: D-dimer and all TG parameters except lag time were associated with an increased risk of VT in a dose-response manner. Comparing the fourth with the first quartile (for ttPeak comparing the first with the fourth quartile), risk estimates were: 7.8 (95% CI, 4.0-15.0) for peak, 2.0 (95% CI, 1.2-3.3) for ttPeak, 9.1 (95% CI, 4.4-18.9) for ETP, and 11.5 (95% CI, 5.7-23.3) for velocity index. Comparing the highest quartile of D-dimer with the lowest, the risk was 7.7-fold increased (95% CI, 4.0-14.8). Furthermore, all factors also increased the risk of VT after dichotomizing at more extreme cutoff values. The risk of VT was further increased in the presence of multiple prothrombotic TG parameters and elevated D-dimer level or in combination with prothrombotic mutations.Conclusions: D-dimer and TG parameters (except lag time) are associated with the risk of first VT in elderly population. Show less
Accumulating studies on COVID-19 patients report high incidences of thrombotic complications, but guidance on the best diagnostic approach for suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) in COVID-19 patients... Show moreAccumulating studies on COVID-19 patients report high incidences of thrombotic complications, but guidance on the best diagnostic approach for suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) in COVID-19 patients is lacking. Diagnosing PE in these patients is challenging as signs and symptoms of PE and COVID-19 show wide overlap, D-dimer levels are often elevated in the absence of thrombosis and computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) may be unfeasible in the case of severe renal impairment and/or hemodynamic instability. This narrative review discusses available literature and guidelines on current diagnostic algorithms for suspected PE in special patient populations, in particular COVID-19. A special focus is on reviewing the literature aimed at identifying symptoms with a high suspicion for PE and on the diagnostic performance of diagnostic algorithms for suspected PE in the setting of COVID-19. Based on available literature, the index of suspicion for PE should be high in the case of unexplained abrupt worsening of respiratory status, typical symptoms of deep-vein thrombosis and/or acute unexplained right ventricular dysfunction. Despite the lack of prospective diagnostic management studies, we propose to adhere to current diagnostic algorithms applying assessment of pretest probability and D-dimer testing as available evidence suggests that these might be considered safe. Preferably, algorithms using adjusted D-dimer thresholds are recommended as it likely improves the yield of the clinical decision rule/D-dimer combination. Show less
The rate of identified isolated subsegmental pulmonary embolism (ssPE) has doubled with advances in computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) technology, but its clinical relevance is... Show moreThe rate of identified isolated subsegmental pulmonary embolism (ssPE) has doubled with advances in computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) technology, but its clinical relevance is debated. The YEARS diagnostic algorithm was shown to safely reduce the number of required CTPAs in the diagnostic management of PE. We hypothesized that the higher threshold for performing CTPA in YEARS was associated with a lower prevalence of ssPE compared to the conventional diagnostic algorithm. We compared 2291 consecutive patients with suspected PE managed according to YEARS to 3306 consecutive control patients managed according to the Wells score for the prevalence of isolated ssPE. In the YEARS cohort, 52% were managed without CTPA, 12% had pulmonary embolism (PE) of which 10% were isolated ssPE, and the 3-month diagnostic failure rate was 0.35%. In the control cohort, 32% were managed without CTPA, 20% had PE of which 16% were isolated ssPE, and the 3-month failure rate was 0.73%. The isolated ssPE prevalence was significantly lower in YEARS (absolute difference 6.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4-10), Odds Ratio 0.58 (95% CI 0.37-0.90). In conclusion, YEARS is associated with a lower prevalence of isolated ssPE, due to reduction in CTPAs by the higher D-dimer threshold. This was however not associated with a higher risk of recurrent VTE during follow-up. Show less
