Objective Severe secondary tricuspid regurgitation (STR) causes significant right atrial (RA) volume overload, resulting in structural and functional RA-remodelling. This study evaluated whether... Show moreObjective Severe secondary tricuspid regurgitation (STR) causes significant right atrial (RA) volume overload, resulting in structural and functional RA-remodelling. This study evaluated whether patients with severe STR and reduced RA function, as assessed by RA-reservoir-strain (RASr), show lower long-term prognosis. Methods Consecutive patients, from a single centre, with first diagnosis of severe STR and RASr measure available, were included. Extensive echocardiographic analysis comprised measures of cardiac chamber size and function, assessed also by two-dimensional speckletracking strain analysis. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality, analysed from inclusion until death or last follow-up. The association of RASr with the outcome was evaluated by Cox regression analysis and Akaike information criterion. Results A total of 586 patients with severe STR (age 68±13 years; 52% male) were included. Patients presented with mild right ventricular (RV) dilatation (enddiastolic area 13.8±6.5 cm2 /m2 ) and dysfunction (freewall strain 16.2±7.2%), and with moderate-to-severe RA dilatation (max area 15.0±5.3 cm2 /m2 ); the median value of RASr was 13%. In the overall population, 10-year overall survival was low (40%, 349 deaths), and was significantly lower in patients with lower RASr (defined by the median value): 36% (195 deaths) for RASr ≤13% compared with 45% (154 deaths) for RASr >13% (log-rank p=0.016). With a median follow-up of 6.6 years, RASr was independently associated with allcause mortality (HR per 5% RASr increase:0.928; 95% CI 0.864 to 0.996; p=0.038), providing additional value over relevant clinical and echocardiographic covariates (including RA size and RV function/size). Conclusions Patients with severe STR presented with significant RA remodelling, and lower RA function, as measured by RASr, was independently associated with all-cause mortality, potentially improving risk stratification in these patients Show less
Nederend, M.; Kies, P.; Regeer, M.V.; Vliegen, H.W.; Mertens, B.J.A.; Robbers-Visser, D.; ... ; Egorova, A.D. 2023
ObjectivePatients with a systemic right ventricle (sRV) in the context of transposition of the great arteries (TGA) after atrial switch or congenitally corrected TGA (ccTGA) are prone to sRV... Show moreObjectivePatients with a systemic right ventricle (sRV) in the context of transposition of the great arteries (TGA) after atrial switch or congenitally corrected TGA (ccTGA) are prone to sRV dysfunction. Pharmacological options for sRV failure remain poorly defined. This study aims to investigate the tolerability and effects of sacubitril/valsartan on sRV failure in adult patients with sRV. MethodsIn this two-centre, prospective cohort study, all consecutive adult patients with symptomatic heart failure and at least moderately reduced sRV systolic function were initiated on sacubitril/valsartan and underwent structured follow-up. ResultsData of 40 patients were included (40% female, 30% ccTGA, median age 48 (44-53) years). Five patients discontinued therapy during titration. Median follow-up was 24 (12-36) months. The maximal dose was tolerated by 49% of patients. No episodes of hyperkalaemia or renal function decline occurred. Six-minute walking distance increased significantly after 6 months of treatment (569 +/- 16 to 597 +/- 16 m, p=0.016). Serum N-terminal-prohormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels decreased significantly after 3 months (567 (374-1134) to 404 (226-633) ng/L, p<0.001). Small, yet consistent echocardiographic improvements in sRV function were observed after 6 months (sRV global longitudinal strain: -11.1 +/- 0.5% to -12.6 +/- 0.7%, p<0.001, and fractional area change: 20% (16%-24%) to 26% (19%-30%), p<0.001). The linear mixed-effects model illustrated that after first follow-up moment, no time effect was present for the parameters. ConclusionsTreatment with sacubitril/valsartan was associated with a low rate of adverse effects in this adult sRV cohort. Persisting improvement in 6-minute walking test distance, NT-proBNP levels and echocardiographic parameters of sRV function was observed in an on-treatment analysis and showed no differential response based on sex or anatomy. Show less
ObjectiveOwing to the paucity of data, this study aimed to investigate sex differences in clinical features and prognosis of patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS). MethodsThis study was a... Show moreObjectiveOwing to the paucity of data, this study aimed to investigate sex differences in clinical features and prognosis of patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS). MethodsThis study was a secondary analysis of the ILLUstration of the Management and prognosIs of JapaNese PATiEnts with Cardiac Sarcoidosis registry-a retrospective multicentre registry that enrolled patients with CS between 2001 and 2017. The primary outcome was potentially fatal ventricular arrhythmia events (pFVAEs)-a composite of sudden cardiac death, sustained ventricular tachycardia lasting >30 s, ventricular fibrillation or the requirement for implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy. ResultsOf the 512 participants (mean age +/- SD 61.6 +/- 11.4 years), 329 (64.2%) were females. Both sexes had peak ages of 60-64 years at diagnosis. Male patients were younger and had a higher prevalence of coronary artery disease and lower left ventricular ejection fraction than female patients. During a median follow-up of 3 years (IQR 1.6-5.6), pFVAEs were observed in 99 patients, with males having a significantly higher risk than females (p=0.002). This association was retained even after adjustment for other risk factors for pFVAEs, including left ventricular ejection fraction (adjusted HR 1.80; 95% CI 1.08 to 3.01, p=0.025). ConclusionApproximately two-thirds of patients with CS were females, with a peak age of approximately 60 years at clinical diagnosis in both sexes; male patients were younger than female patients. Male patients had a significantly higher risk of pFVAEs than female patients. Show less
Objective: To describe differences between North America and Europe in the perioperative management of patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR). Methods: Patients with moderate... Show moreObjective: To describe differences between North America and Europe in the perioperative management of patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR). Methods: Patients with moderate or greater aortic stenosis or regurgitation requiring SAVR were enrolled in a prospective observational cohort evaluating the safety and efficacy of a new stented bioprosthesis at 25 centres in North America (Canada and the USA) and 13 centres in Europe (Germany, the Netherlands, France, the UK, Switzerland and Italy). While all patients underwent implantation with the same bioprosthetic model, perioperative management was left to the discretion of participating centres. Perioperative care was described in detail including outcomes up to 1-year follow-up. Results: Among 1118 patients, 643 (58%) were implanted in North America, and 475 (42%) were implanted in Europe. Patients in Europe were older, had a lower body mass index, less bicuspid disease and worse degree of aortic stenosis at baseline. In Europe, anticoagulant therapy at discharge was more aggressive, whereas length of stay was longer, and discharges directly to home were less common. Rehospitalisation risk was lower in Europe at 30 days (8.5% vs 15.9%) but converged at 1-year follow-up (26.5% vs 28.1%). Within continents, there were major differences between individual countries concerning perioperative management. Conclusion: Contemporary perioperative management of SAVR patients varies between North America and Europe in patient selection, procedural techniques, antithrombotic regimen and discharge management. Furthermore, rehospitalisation differed largely between continents and countries. Hence, geographical setting must be considered during design and interpretation of trials on SAVR. Show less
Meucci, M.C.; Stassen, J.; Tomsic, A.; Palmen, M.; Crea, F.; Bax, J.J.; ... ; Delgado, V. 2022
Objective Left atrial (LA) and left ventricular (LV) mechanics are impaired in patients with atrial functional mitral regurgitation (AFMR), but their prognostic value in this subset of patients... Show moreObjective Left atrial (LA) and left ventricular (LV) mechanics are impaired in patients with atrial functional mitral regurgitation (AFMR), but their prognostic value in this subset of patients remains unknown. The present study aimed to evaluate the association between LA and LV longitudinal strain and clinical outcomes in patients with AFMR. Methods A total of 197 patients (mean age 73 +/- 10 years, 44% men) with at least moderate AFMR were retrospectively identified. LV global longitudinal strain (GLS) and left atrial reservoir strain (LAS) were calculated by two-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography. All-cause mortality was the primary endpoint of the study. The threshold value of LV GLS (<= 16.3%) to identify impaired LV mechanics was defined based on the risk excess of the primary endpoint described with a spline curve analysis. Results Impaired LV GLS (<= 16.3%) was found in 89 (45%) patients. During a median follow-up of 69 months, 45 (23%) subjects experienced the primary endpoint. Patients with impaired LV GLS (<= 16.3%) had a significantly lower cumulative survival rate at 5 years, as compared with patients with LV GLS (>16.3%) (74% vs 93%, p<0.001). On multivariable Cox regression analysis, LV GLS expressed as continuous variable was independently associated with the occurrence of all-cause mortality (HR 0.856, 95% CI 0.763 to 0.960; p=0.008) after adjustment for age, LAS, pulmonary artery systolic pressure and severe tricuspid regurgitation. Conversely, LAS was not significantly associated with patients' outcome. Conclusions In patients with significant AFMR, the impairment of LV GLS was independently associated with worse outcomes. Show less
Nguyen, B.O.; Weberndorfer, V.; Crijns, H.J.G.M.; Geelhoed, B.; Cate, H. ten; Spronk, H.; ... ; Rienstra, M. 2022
Objective Atrial fibrillation (AF) often progresses from paroxysmal AF (PAF) to more permanent forms. To improve personalised medicine, we aim to develop a new AF progression risk prediction model... Show moreObjective Atrial fibrillation (AF) often progresses from paroxysmal AF (PAF) to more permanent forms. To improve personalised medicine, we aim to develop a new AF progression risk prediction model in patients with PAF.Methods In this interim-analysis of the Reappraisal of AF: Interaction Between HyperCoagulability, Electrical Remodelling, and Vascular Destabilisation in the Progression of AF study, patients with PAF undergoing extensive phenotyping at baseline and continuous rhythm monitoring during follow-up of >= 1 year were analysed. AF progression was defined as (1) progression to persistent or permanent AF or (2) progression of PAF with >3% burden increase. Multivariable analysis was done to identify predictors of AF progression.Results Mean age was 65 (58-71) years, 179 (43%) were female. Follow-up was 2.2 (1.6-2.8) years, 51 of 417 patients (5.5%/year) showed AF progression. Multivariable analysis identified, PR interval, impaired left atrial function, mitral valve regurgitation and waist circumference to be associated with AF progression. Adding blood biomarkers improved the model (C-statistic from 0.709 to 0.830) and showed male sex, lower levels of factor XIIa:C1-esterase inhibitor and tissue factor pathway inhibitor, and higher levels of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 and peptidoglycan recognition protein 1 were associated with AF progression.Conclusion In patients with PAF, AF progression occurred in 5.5%/year. Predictors for progression included markers for atrial remodelling, sex, mitral valve regurgitation, waist circumference and biomarkers associated with coagulation, inflammation, cardiomyocyte stretch and atherosclerosis. These prediction models may help to determine risk of AF progression and treatment targets, but validation is needed. Show less
Objective To investigate the prognostic impact of left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction in patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and preserved LV systolic function. Methods Patients... Show moreObjective To investigate the prognostic impact of left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction in patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and preserved LV systolic function. Methods Patients with a first diagnosis of moderate AS (aortic valve area >1.0 and <= 1.5 cm(2)) and preserved LV systolic function (LV ejection fraction >= 50%) were identified. LV diastolic function was evaluated using echocardiographic criteria according to the 2016 American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging guidelines. Clinical outcomes were defined as all-cause mortality and a composite of all-cause mortality and aortic valve replacement (AVR). Results Of 1247 patients (age 74 +/- 10 years, 47% men), 535 (43%) had LV diastolic dysfunction at baseline. Patients with LV diastolic dysfunction showed significantly higher mortality rates at 1-year, 3-year and 5-year follow-up (13%, 30% and 41%, respectively) when compared with patients with normal LV diastolic function (6%, 17% and 29%, respectively) (p<0.001). On multivariable analysis, LV diastolic dysfunction was independently associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.368; 95% CI 1.085 to 1.725; p=0.008) and the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and AVR (HR 1.241; 95% CI 1.035 to 1.488; p=0.020). Conclusions LV diastolic dysfunction is independently associated with all-cause mortality and the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and AVR in patients with moderate AS and preserved LV systolic function. Assessment of LV diastolic function therefore contributes significantly to the risk stratification of patients with moderate AS. Future clinical trials are needed to investigate whether patients with moderate AS and LV diastolic dysfunction may benefit from earlier valve intervention. Show less
Zandstra, T.E.; Nederend, M.; Jongbloed, M.R.M.; Kies, P.; Vliegen, H.W.; Bouma, B.J.; ... ; Egorova, A.D. 2021
Objective Pharmacological options for patients with a failing systemic right ventricle (RV) in the context of transposition of the great arteries (TGA) after atrial switch or congenitally corrected... Show moreObjective Pharmacological options for patients with a failing systemic right ventricle (RV) in the context of transposition of the great arteries (TGA) after atrial switch or congenitally corrected TGA (ccTGA) are not well defined. This study aims to investigate the feasibility and effects of sacubitril/valsartan treatment in a single-centre cohort of patients. Methods Data on all consecutive adult patients (n=20, mean age 46 years, 50% women) with a failing systemic RV in a biventricular circulation treated with sacubitril/valsartan in our centre are reported. Patients with a systemic RV ejection fraction of <= 35% who were symptomatic despite treatment with beta-blocker and ACE-inhibitor/angiotensin II receptor-blockers were started on sacubitril/valsartan. This cohort underwent structural follow-up including echocardiography, exercise testing, laboratory investigations and quality of life (QOL) assessment. Results Six-month follow-up data were available in 18 out of 20 patients, including 12 (67%) patients with TGA after atrial switch and 6 (33%) patients with ccTGA. N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP) decreased significantly (950-358 ng/L, p<0.001). Echocardiographic systemic RV fractional area change and global longitudinal strain showed small improvements (19%-22%, p<0.001 and -11% to -13%, p=0.014, respectively). The 6 min walking distance improved significantly from an average of 564 to 600 m (p=0.011). The QOL domains of cognitive function, sleep and vitality improved (p=0.015, p=0.007 and p=0.037, respectively). Conclusions We describe the first patient cohort with systemic RV failure treated with sacubitril/valsartan. Treatment appears feasible with improvements in NT-pro-BNP and echocardiographic function. Our positive results show the potential of sacubitril/valsartan for this patient population. Show less
ObjectivesCurrent international guidelines advocate the application of bleeding risk scores only to identify modifiable risk factors, but not to withhold treatment in patients at high risk of... Show moreObjectivesCurrent international guidelines advocate the application of bleeding risk scores only to identify modifiable risk factors, but not to withhold treatment in patients at high risk of bleeding. VTE-BLEED (ActiVe cancer, male with uncontrolled hyperTension, anaEmia, history of BLeeding, agE and rEnal Dysfunction) is a simple bleeding risk score that predicts major bleeding (MB) in patients with venous thromboembolism, but has never been evaluated in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to evaluate VTE-BLEED in patients with AF included in the Randomised Evaluation of Long-term anticoagulant therapY (RE-LY) trial, to assess whether score classes (high vs low bleeding risk) interact with the tested dabigatran doses (150 vs 110 mg twice daily), and to investigate whether dose reductions based on this interaction might help to lower the incidence of the composite outcome MB, stroke/systemic embolism or death.MethodsThe score was calculated in the safety population of RE-LY (n=18 040) and recalibrated for AF (AF-adapted VTE-BLEED or AF-BLEED). HRs were calculated to evaluate the score's predictive accuracy for MB. The risk ratios (RRs) for the composite outcome comparing dabigatran 150 and 110 mg twice daily were calculated for the high-risk group.ResultsAF-BLEED classified 3534 patients (19.6%) at high bleeding risk, characterised by a 2.9-fold to 3.4-fold higher risk of bleeding than low bleeding risk patients, across the treatment arms. High bleeding risk patients randomised to 110 mg twice daily had a lower incidence of the composite outcome than those randomised to 150 mg twice daily, for an RR of 0.52 (95% CI 0.35 to 0.78). Compared with the label criteria for dose reduction, AF-BLEED identified an additional 11% of patients who might have benefited from dose reduction.ConclusionsAF-BLEED identified patients with AF at high risk of bleeding. Our findings raise the hypothesis that dabigatran 110 mg twice daily might be considered in patients classified as high risk according to the AF-BLEED score. This study provides a basis for future studies to explore safe dose reductions of direct oral anticoagulants in selected patient groups based on bleeding scores. Show less
Wijngaarden, A.L. van; Riva, M. de; Hiemstra, Y.L.; Bijl, P. van der; Fortuni, F.; Bax, J.J.; ... ; Marsan, N.A. 2021
Objective While metabolic dysfunction occurs in several pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) animal models, its role in the human hypertensive right ventricle (RV) and lung is not well... Show moreObjective While metabolic dysfunction occurs in several pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) animal models, its role in the human hypertensive right ventricle (RV) and lung is not well characterised. We investigated whether circulating metabolite concentrations differ across the hypertensive RV and/or the pulmonary circulation, and correlate with invasive haemodynamic/echocardiographic variables in patients with PAH.Methods Prospective EDTA blood collection during cardiac catheterisation from the superior vena cava (SVC), pulmonary artery (PA) and ascending aorta (AAO) in children with PAH (no shunt) and non-PAH controls (Con), followed by unbiased screens of 427 metabolites and 836 lipid species and fatty acids (FAs) in blood plasma (Metabolon and Lipidyzer platforms). Metabolite concentrations were correlated with echocardiographic and invasive haemodynamic variables.Results Metabolomics/lipidomics analysis of differential concentrations (false discovery rate<0.15) revealed several metabolite gradients in the trans-RV (PA vs SVC) setting. Notably, dicarboxylic acids (eg, octadecanedioate: fold change (FC)_Control=0.77, FC_PAH=1.09, p value=0.044) and acylcarnitines (eg, stearoylcarnitine: FC_Control=0.74, FC_PAH=1.21, p value=0.058). Differentially regulated metabolites were also found in the transpulmonary (AAO vs PA) setting and between-group comparisons, that is, in the SVC (PAH-S VC vs Con-S VC), PA and AAO. Importantly, the differential PAH-metabolite concentrations correlated with numerous outcome-relevant variables (e.g., tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, pulmonary vascular resistance).Conclusions In PAH, trans-RV and transpulmonary metabolite gradients exist and correlate with haemodynamic determinants of clinical outcome. The most pronounced differential trans-R V gradients are known to be involved in lipid metabolism/lipotoxicity, that is, accumulation of long chain FAs. The identified accumulation of dicarboxylic acids and acylcarnitines likely indicates impaired beta-oxidation in the hypertensive RV and represents emerging biomarkers and therapeutic targets in PAH. Show less
Broekhoven, I. van; Kroft, L.J.M.; Palen, R.L.F. van der 2020
Objective This study assessed adult survival and morbidity patterns in patients who underwent atrial correction according to Mustard or Senning for transposition of the great arteries (TGA).Methods... Show moreObjective This study assessed adult survival and morbidity patterns in patients who underwent atrial correction according to Mustard or Senning for transposition of the great arteries (TGA).Methods In 76 adult patients with TGA (59% male) after atrial correction, long-term survival and morbidity were investigated in three periods: early (<15 years postoperatively), midterm (15-30 years postoperatively) and late (>30 years postoperatively).Results The Mustard technique was performed in 41 (54%) patients, and the Senning technique was performed in 35 (46%) patients aged 3.1 (IQR: 2.1-3.8) and 1.0 (IQR: 0.6-3.1; p<0.01) years, respectively. Adult survival was 82% at 39.7 (IQR: 35.9-42.4) years postoperatively and exceeded 50 years in four patients. Supraventricular tachycardia (SVT) occurred in 51% of patients. The incidences of ventricular arrhythmia (0%, 8% and 13%; p<0.01), heart failure (0%, 5% and 19%; p<0.01) and surgical reinterventions (0%, 5% and 11%; p=0.01) increased from early to late follow-up. At last follow-up, RV function was depressed in 31 (46%) patients, and New York Heart Association functional class was >= 2 in 34 (48%) patients. Bradyarrhythmia, SVT and ventricular arrhythmia were associated with depressed RV function (OR: 4.47, 95% CI 1.50 to 13.28, p<0.01; OR: 3.74, 95% CI 1.26 to 11.14, p=0.02; OR: 14.40, 95% CI 2.80 to 74.07, p<0.01, respectively) and worse functional capacity (OR: 2.10, 95% CI 0.75 to 5.82, p=0.16; OR: 2.87, 95% CI 1.06 to 7.81, p=0.04; OR: 8.47, 95% CI 1.70 to 42.10, p<0.01, respectively).Conclusions In adult patients with TGA, survival was 82% at 39.7 (IQR: 35.9-42.4) years after atrial correction. Morbidity was high and included SVT as most frequent adverse event. Ventricular arrhythmias, heart failure and surgical reinterventions were common during late follow-up. Adverse events were associated with depressed right ventricle function and reduced functional class. Show less
Objective Variations in coronary anatomy, like absent left main stem and left dominant coronary system, have been described in patients with Turner syndrome (TS) and in patients with bicuspid... Show moreObjective Variations in coronary anatomy, like absent left main stem and left dominant coronary system, have been described in patients with Turner syndrome (TS) and in patients with bicuspid aortic valves (BAV). It is unknown whether coronary variations in TS are related to BAV and to specific BAV subtypes.Aim To compare coronary anatomy in patients with TS with/without BAV versus isolated BAV and to study BAV morphology subtypes in these groups.Methods Coronary anatomy and BAV morphology were studied in 86 patients with TS (20 TS-BAV, 66 TS-tricuspid aortic valve) and 86 patients with isolated BAV (37 +/- 13 years vs 42 +/- 15 years, respectively) by CT.Results T here was no significant difference in coronary dominance between patients with TS with and without BAV (25% vs 21%, p=0.933). BAVs with fusion of right and left coronary leaflets (RL BAV) without raphe showed a high prevalence of left coronary dominance in both TS-BAV and isolated BAV (both 38%). Absent left main stem was more often seen in TS-BAV as compared with isolated BAV (10% vs 0%). All patients with TS-BAV with absent left main stem had RL BAV without raphe.Conclusion T he equal distribution of left dominance in RL BAV without raphe in TS-BAV and isolated BAV suggests that presence of left dominance is a feature of BAVs without raphe, independent of TS. Both TS and RL BAV without raphe seem independently associated with absent left main stems. Awareness of the higher incidence of particularly absent left main stems is important to avoid complications during hypothermic perfusion. Show less
Objective Data describing clinical relevance of chronic total occlusion (CTO) identified by coronary CT angiography (CCTA) have not been reported to date. We investigated the prognosis of CTO on... Show moreObjective Data describing clinical relevance of chronic total occlusion (CTO) identified by coronary CT angiography (CCTA) have not been reported to date. We investigated the prognosis of CTO on CCTA. Methods We identified 22 828 patients without prior known coronary artery disease (CAD), who were followed for a median of 26 months. Based on CCTA, coronary lesions were graded as normal (no atherosclerosis), non-obstructive (1%-49%), moderate-to-severe (50%-99%) or totally occluded (100%). All-cause mortality, and major adverse cardiac events defined as mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction and late coronary revascularisation (>= 90 days after CCTA) were assessed. Results The distribution of patients with normal coronaries, non-obstructive CAD, moderate-to-severe CAD and CTO was 10 034 (44%), 7965 (34.9%), 4598 (20.1%) and 231 (1%), respectively. The mortality rate per 1000 person-years of CTO patients was non-significantly different from patients with moderate-to-severe CAD (22.95; 95% CI 12.71 to 41.45 vs 14.46; 95% CI 12.34 to 16.94; p=0.163), and significantly higher than of those with normal coronaries and non-obstructive CAD (p<0.001 for both). Among 14 382 individuals with follow-up for the composite end point, patients with CTO had a higher rate of events than those with moderate-to-severe CAD (106.56; 95% CI 76.51 to 148.42 vs 65.45; 95% CI 58.01 to 73.84, p=0.009). This difference was primarily driven by an increase in late revascularisations in CTO patients (27 of 35 events). After multivariable adjustment, compared with individuals with normal coronaries, the presence of CTO conferred the highest risk for adverse cardiac events (14.54; 95% CI 9.11 to 23.20, p<0.001). Conclusions The detection of CTO on non-invasive CCTA is associated with increased rate of late revascularisation but similar 2-year mortality as compared with moderate-to-severe CA Show less
Objectives Compare the predictive performance of Framingham Risk Score (FRS), Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) and Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) model between women with and without a... Show moreObjectives Compare the predictive performance of Framingham Risk Score (FRS), Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) and Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) model between women with and without a history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (hHDP) and determine the effects of recalibration and refitting on predictive performance. Methods We included 29 751 women, 6302 with hHDP and 17 369 without. We assessed whether models accurately predicted observed 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk (calibration) and whether they accurately distinguished between women developing CVD during follow-up and not (discrimination), separately for women with and without hHDP. We also recalibrated (updating intercept and slope) and refitted (recalculating coefficients) the models. Results Original FRS and PCEs overpredicted 10-year CVD risks, with expected:observed (E:O) ratios ranging from 1.51 (for FRS in women with hHDP) to 2.29 (for PCEs in women without hHDP), while E:O ratios were close to 1 for SCORE. Overprediction attenuated slightly after recalibration for FRS and PCEs in both hHDP groups. Discrimination was reasonable for all models, with C-statistics ranging from 0.70-0.81 (women with hHDP) and 0.72-0.74 (women without hHDP). C-statistics improved slightly after refitting 0.71-0.83 (with hHDP) and 0.73-0.80 (without hHDP). The E:O ratio of the original PCE model was statistically significantly better in women with hHDP compared with women without hHDP. Conclusions SCORE performed best in terms of both calibration and discrimination, while FRS and PCEs overpredicted risk in women with and without hHDP, but improved after recalibrating and refitting the models. No separate model for women with hHDP seems necessary, despite their higher baseline risk. Show less
