With the rising global health burden of aortic valve diseas and growing awareness of the consequences of severe AS, more patients are expected to be referred for aortic valve replacement.... Show moreWith the rising global health burden of aortic valve diseas and growing awareness of the consequences of severe AS, more patients are expected to be referred for aortic valve replacement. Multimodality imaging remains of paramount importance for proper patient selection, determining optimal timing of intervention and in the evaluation of therapy. For risk stratification and defining optimal timing of intervention, conventional and advanced echocardiography and computed tomography are crucial. Conventional echocardiography can be used to assess extra-aortic valvular cardiac damage in patients with severe AS. On top of conventional echocardiography, advanced echocardiography can provide additional insights. Left ventricular GLS by speckle tracking echocardiography has been suggested as a more sensitive marker of LV systolic dysfunction. LV GLS may be of help to define more optimal timing of intervention in asymptomatic patients with severe AS. Also, LV GLS may be of incremental value on top of conventional echocardiographic parameters for the assessment of cardiac injury. For the evaluation of prothesis function and durability after aortic valve implantation and detection of possible (late) complications, echocardiography is the mainstay imaging modality. Also, both conventional and advanced echocardiography can provide additional information on the effects of therapy on LV function and remodelling. Show less
Introduction: Lymph node ratio (LNR) is an important prognostic factor of survival in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). This study aimed to validate three LNR-based nomograms... Show moreIntroduction: Lymph node ratio (LNR) is an important prognostic factor of survival in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). This study aimed to validate three LNR-based nomograms using an international cohort. Materials and methods: Consecutive PDAC patients who underwent upfront pancreatoduodenectomy from six centers (Europe/USA) were collected (2000-2017). Patients with metastases, R2 resection, missing LNR data, and who died within 90 postoperative days were excluded. The updated Amsterdam nomogram, the nomogram by Pu et al., and the nomogram by Li et al. were selected. For the validation, calibration, discrimination capacity, and clinical utility were assessed. Results: After exclusion of 176 patients, 10113 patients were included. Median overall survival (OS) of the cohort was 23 months (95% CI: 21-25). For the three nomograms, Kaplan-Meier curves showed significant OS diminution with increasing scores (p < 0.01). All nomograms showed good calibration (non-significant Hosmer-Lemeshow tests). For the Amsterdam nomogram, area under the ROC curve (AUROC) for 3-year OS was 0.64 and 0.67 for 5-year OS. Sensitivity and specificity for 3-year OS prediction were 65% and 59%. Regarding the nomogram by Pu et al., AUROC for 3- and 5-year OS were 0.66 and 0.70. Sensitivity and specificity for 3-year OS prediction were 68% and 53%. For the Li nomogram, AUROC for 3- and 5-year OS were 0.67 and 0.71, while sensitivity and specificity for 3-year OS prediction were 63% and 60%. Conclusion: The three nomograms were validated using an international cohort. Those nomograms can be used in clinical practice to evaluate survival after pancreatoduodenectomy for PDAC. (c) 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Show less
Background: Predict Breast (www.predict.nhs.uk) is an online prognostication and treatment benefit tool for early invasive breast cancer. The aim of this study was to incorporate the prognostic... Show moreBackground: Predict Breast (www.predict.nhs.uk) is an online prognostication and treatment benefit tool for early invasive breast cancer. The aim of this study was to incorporate the prognostic effect of progesterone receptor (PR) status into a new version of PREDICT and to compare its performance to the current version (2.2). Method: The prognostic effect of PR status was based on the analysis of data from 45,088 European patients with breast cancer from 49 studies in the Breast Cancer Association Consortium. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratio for PR status. Data from a New Zealand study of 11,365 patients with early invasive breast cancer were used for external validation. Model calibration and discrimination were used to test the model performance. Results: Having a PR-positive tumour was associated with a 23% and 28% lower risk of dying from breast cancer for women with oestrogen receptor (ER)-negative and ER-positive breast cancer, respectively. The area under the ROC curve increased with the addition of PR status from 0.807 to 0.809 for patients with ER-negative tumours (p = 0.023) and from 0.898 to 0. 902 for patients with ER-positive tumours (p = 2.3 x 10(-6)) in the New Zealand cohort. Model calibration was modest with 940 observed deaths compared to 1151 predicted. Conclusion: The inclusion of the prognostic effect of PR status to PREDICT Breast has led to an improvement of model performance and more accurate absolute treatment benefit predic-tions for individual patients. Further studies should determine whether the baseline hazard function requires recalibration. (C) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Show less
Quaas, A.; Biesma, H.D.; Wagner, A.D.; Verheij, M.; Henegouwen, M.I.V.; Schoemig-Markiefka, B.; ... ; Grieken, N.C.T. van 2022
Objective: Biological sex differences in cancer are increasingly acknowledged. Here, we examined these differences in clinicopathological characteristics and survival in microsatellite instability ... Show moreObjective: Biological sex differences in cancer are increasingly acknowledged. Here, we examined these differences in clinicopathological characteristics and survival in microsatellite instability (MSI)-high and microsatellite stable (MSS) gastric cancer (GC). Design: We analysed MSI status by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and/or mismatch repair (MMR) status by immunohistochemistry in a pooled analysis of individual patient data from one retrospective cohort from Cologne, and the randomised phase III clinical trials D1/D2 and CRITICS. All patients had resectable adenocarcinoma of the stomach and/or gastro-oesophageal junction. Patients were treated with either surgery only or perioperative chemo(radio) therapy. Results: MSI and/or MMR analyses on 1307 tumours resulted in 1192 (91.2%) MSS and/or MMR proficient (MMRP) [median age, 65 years; 759 males (63.7%); 619 treated with surgery only (51.9%)], and 115 (8.8%) MSI-high [median age, 69 years; 67 males (58.3%); 76 treated with surgery only (66.1%)] GC cases. Males had shorter overall survival (OS) than female MSI-high GC (5-year OS 34.7% vs. 69.7%; hazard ratio (HR) 2.68, 95%CI 1.60 to 4.49; p < 0.001). Females with MSI-high had longer OS than those with MSS/MMRP GC ( HR 0.61, 95%CI 0.41 to 0.92; p = 0.02). Males with MSI-high did not have longer OS than those with MSS/MMRP GC (HR 1.26, 95%CI 0.94 to 1.69; p = 0.12). Conclusions: MSI-high GC males had a significantly worse prognosis compared to their female counterparts in three independent cohorts. In addition, the favourable prognostic value of MSI was only seen in females and not in males. These observations emphasise the need to consider sex differences in prognosis and treatment effects in oncology. Show less
Yedidya, I.; Butcher, S.C.; Stassen, J.; Bijl, P. van der; Ngiam, J.N.; Chew, N.W.S.; ... ; Bax, J.J. 2022
Purpose Degenerative mitral stenosis (DMS) is associated with a poor prognosis. Although mean transmitral gradient (TMG) has shown a good correlation with outcome, little is known about the... Show morePurpose Degenerative mitral stenosis (DMS) is associated with a poor prognosis. Although mean transmitral gradient (TMG) has shown a good correlation with outcome, little is known about the association between other echocardiographic parameters and prognosis in patients with DMS. The current study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of left atrial volume index (LAVI) in patients with DMS. Methods A total of 155 patients with DMS (72[63-80] years, 67% female) were included. The population was divided according to LAVI: normal-sized LAVI (LAVI <= 34 ml/m2); and enlarged LAVI (> 34 ml/m2). Results Patients with enlarged LAVI had a higher left ventricular mass index (120[96-146] vs. 91[70-112] g/m2 p < 0.001), as well as a higher prevalence of significant mitral regurgitation and severe aortic stenosis (23% vs. 10% p = 0.046 and 38% vs. 15% p=0.001, respectively) compared to patients with normal-sized LAVI. During a median follow-up of 25 months, 56 (36%) patients died. Patients with enlarged LAVI had worse prognosis compared to patients with normal-sized LAVI (p = 0.026). In multivariable Cox regression model, an enlarged LAVI was independently associated with all-cause mortality (HR 2.009, 95% CI 1.040 to 3.880, P = 0.038). Conclusion An enlarged LAVI (> 34 ml/m2) is significantly associated with excess mortality in patients with DMS. After adjusting for potential confounders, an enlarged LAVI was the only parameter that remained independently associated with prognosis. Show less
Aims Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a rare but serious disease associated with high mortality if left untreated. This study aims to assess the prognostic cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)... Show moreAims Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a rare but serious disease associated with high mortality if left untreated. This study aims to assess the prognostic cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) features in PAH using machine learning. Methods and results Seven hundred and twenty-three consecutive treatment-naive PAH patients were identified from the ASPIRE registry; 516 were included in the training, and 207 in the validation cohort. A multilinear principal component analysis (MPCA)-based machine learning approach was used to extract mortality and survival features throughout the cardiac cycle. The features were overlaid on the original imaging using thresholding and clustering of high- and low-risk of mortality prediction values. The 1-year mortality rate in the validation cohort was 10%. Univariable Cox regression analysis of the combined short-axis and four-chamber MPCA-based predictions was statistically significant (hazard ratios: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.3, 3.4, c-index = 0.70, P = 0.002). The MPCA features improved the 1-year mortality prediction of REVEAL from c-index = 0.71 to 0.76 (P ≤ 0.001). Abnormalities in the end-systolic interventricular septum and end-diastolic left ventricle indicated the highest risk of mortality.Conclusion: The MPCA-based machine learning is an explainable time-resolved approach that allows visualization of prognostic cardiac features throughout the cardiac cycle at the population level, making this approach transparent and clinically interpretable. In addition, the added prognostic value over the REVEAL risk score and CMR volumetric measurements allows for a more accurate prediction of 1-year mortality risk in PAH. Show less
Tricuspid regurgitation is a disorder in which the tricuspid valve does not close properly, causing backward flow of blood. It is a heterogeneous disease which can be classified based on the... Show moreTricuspid regurgitation is a disorder in which the tricuspid valve does not close properly, causing backward flow of blood. It is a heterogeneous disease which can be classified based on the underlying mechanism. The large majority of tricuspid regurgitation is secondary to conditions that cause tricuspid annulus dilation or leaflet tethering due to right ventricular or right atrial dilation. Part I focusses on the relationship between secondary tricuspid regurgitation and the right ventricle. Right ventricular dysfunction was demonstrated to be an important prognostic parameter in patients with secondary tricuspid regurgitation. A new staging system, incorporating right ventricular dysfunction and symptoms of right heart failure, may be valuable for risk stratification in patients with secondary tricuspid regurgitation. Patients who received tricuspid valve annuloplasty during left-sided valve surgery developed less right ventricular dilation and had less severe tricuspid regurgitation at long-term follow-up.Part II focusses on tricuspid regurgitation in specific patient populations: men and women, patients with atrial fibrillation and patients with obesity. An etiology-specific approach to detection and management of significant tricuspid regurgitation may be the most effective way to improve prognosis in all patients. Treatment of patients with tricuspid regurgitation remains challenging, but is developing rapidly with ongoing research. Show less
OBJECTIVES: This study evaluated the prognostic value of staging right heart failure in patients with significant tricuspid regurgitation (TR) undergoing tricuspid valve (TV) surgery.METHODS:... Show moreOBJECTIVES: This study evaluated the prognostic value of staging right heart failure in patients with significant tricuspid regurgitation (TR) undergoing tricuspid valve (TV) surgery.METHODS: Patients with significant TR who underwent TV surgery were divided into 4 right heart failure stages according to the presence of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction and clinical signs of right heart failure: stage 1 was defined as no RV dysfunction and no signs of right heart failure; stage 2 indicated RV dysfunction without signs of right heart failure; stage 3 included RV dysfunction and signs of right heart failure; and stage 4 was defined as RV dysfunction and refractory signs of right heart failure at rest.RESULTS: A total of 278 patients [mean age 64 (12), 49% males] were included, of whom 34 (12%) patients were classified as stages 1 and 2, 141 (51%) as stage 3 and 103 (37%) as stage 4 right heart failure. The majority of patients (91%) had TV surgery concomitant to left-sided valve surgery or coronary artery bypass grafting and 95% underwent TV annuloplasty. Cumulative survival rates were 89%, 78% and 61% at 1 month, 1 year and 5 years, respectively. Stages 1 and 2 and stage 3 were independently associated with better survival compared to stage 4 (hazard ratio: 0.391 [95% confidence interval: 0.186-0.823] and 0.548 [95% confidence interval: 0.369-0.813], respectively).CONCLUSIONS: Patients with significant TR undergoing TV surgery and diagnosed without advanced right heart failure have better survival as compared to patients with right heart failure. Show less
Severe secondary MR is known to be associated with a worse prognosis, whilst the effect of reducing MR on prognosis has still been unclear. The question remains what influences the prognosis of... Show moreSevere secondary MR is known to be associated with a worse prognosis, whilst the effect of reducing MR on prognosis has still been unclear. The question remains what influences the prognosis of these patients: is it the LV or the valve (i.e. the MR)? Characterization and risk-stratification of patients with secondary MR therefore remains challenging. Until recently the decision to intervene for secondary MR was based also on the LVEF. However, LVEF is subject to many limitations. Advanced echocardiography, such as speckle tracking echocardiography, from which LVGLS could be derived has shown to be of much more diagnostic and prognostic value in various valvular heart disease and is currently being implemented more in valvular heart disease guidelines. This supports the fact that LVGLS can detect LV dysfunction in an earlier stage and therefore guide physicians to refer patients for intervention before it is too late. Also the mitral valve geometry has an important role in the technical feasibility of intervention, but also could elaborate on which specific transcatheter intervention is more appropriate according to their targets (i.e. leaflets, annulus or sub apparatus). Additionally, multimodality imaging remains key in characterization and quantification of secondary MR and may help further risk-stratification. Show less
Children with immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) show a primary hemostasis defect due to reduced number of platelets (thrombocytopenia). This leads to bleeding. In children, ITP is often transient and... Show moreChildren with immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) show a primary hemostasis defect due to reduced number of platelets (thrombocytopenia). This leads to bleeding. In children, ITP is often transient and self-limiting (transient ITP), but some children show persistent thrombocytopenia or even chronic ITP. Treatment with immune-modulating medication like intravenous immunoglobulins (IVIg) leads to early recovery from thrombocytopenia and prevents bleeding. Unfortunately, treatment is only effective in a part of the patients. This dissertation aims to better understand, explain, and predict spontaneous recovery and favorable treatment outcomes after IVIg in a specific child with ITP. To that end, molecular disease mechanisms are being evaluated and analyzed together with clinical data. The dissertation provides novel data working towards individualized care for children with ITP. This is relevant for communication with the child and caregivers over the expected prognosis, treatment decisions (IVIg), and indications for early additional diagnostic testing for other causes of thrombocytopenia (such as genetic tests). Show less
Purpose: Individuals with gray, blue, or green eyes have a higher chance of developing uveal melanoma (UM) than those with brown eyes. We wondered whether iris pigmentation might be related not... Show morePurpose: Individuals with gray, blue, or green eyes have a higher chance of developing uveal melanoma (UM) than those with brown eyes. We wondered whether iris pigmentation might be related not only to predisposition to UM but also to its behavior; therefore, we compared the clinical, histopathologic, and genetic characteristics of UM between eyes with different colors. Design: We determined iris color in a large cohort of patients enucleated for UM. Clinical and histopathologic tumor characteristics, chromosome status, and survival were compared among 3 groups on the basis of iris color. Participants: A total of 412 patients with choroidal/ciliary body UM, who had undergone primary enucleation at the Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands, between 1993 and 2019, were divided into 3 groups based on iris color: gray/blue, green/hazel, and brown. The validation cohort included 934 patients with choroidal/ciliary body UM treated at Wills Eye Hospital (WEH). Methods: Comparison of clinical, histopathologic, and genetic characteristics of UM in patients with different iris colors. Main Outcome Measures: Melanoma-related survival in UM patients, divided over 3 iris color groups, in relation to the tumor's chromosome 3 and 8q status. Results: Moderate and heavy tumor pigmentations were especially seen in eyes with a brown iris (P < 0.001). Survival did not differ between patients with different iris colors (P = 0.27); however, in patients with a light iris, copy number changes in chromosome 3 and 8q had a greater influence on survival than in patients with a dark iris. Likewise, chromosome 3 and chromosome 8q status affected survival more among patients with lightly pigmented tumors than in patients with heavily pigmented tumors. The WEH cohort similarly showed a greater influence of chromosome aberrations in light-eyed individuals. Conclusions: Although iris color by itself did not relate to UM-related survival, chromosome 3 and 8q aberrations had a larger influence on survival in patients with a light iris than those with a brown iris. This suggests a synergistic effect of iris pigmentation and chromosome status in the regulation of oncogenic behavior of UM. Iris color should be taken into consideration when calculating a patient's risk for developing metastases. (C) 2021 by the American Academy of Ophthalmology. Show less
Purpose: Uveal melanoma (UM) is a rare disease and the most common primary intraocular malignancy in adults, with a high risk of metastases. Reliable prognostication systems are based on anatomic... Show morePurpose: Uveal melanoma (UM) is a rare disease and the most common primary intraocular malignancy in adults, with a high risk of metastases. Reliable prognostication systems are based on anatomic features, as in the tumor-node-metastasis staging of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) system, or on genetic information, as in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) system. Prior evidence suggests that combining both systems may be beneficial. We evaluated the benefit of combining the TCGA and AJCC systems in a large cohort of patients.Design: Retrospective case series of patients with UM.Participants: Nine hundred seventy-nine patients with a choroidal or ciliary body melanoma treated at the Wills Eye Hospital between 1998 and 2020, 94% of whom received eye-sparing treatment.Methods: Tumors were classified into 4 TCGA groups based on chromosome copy number: A (disomy 3, normal 8q), B (disomy 3, any 8q gain), C (monosomy 3, 1 extra copy of 8q), and D (monosomy 3, multiple 8q gain). The eighth edition of the AJCC staging manual was used for AJCC staging. Cox regression and the log-rank test were used for survival analysis.Main Outcome Measure: Metastasis-free survival.Results: Combining information of the 2 systems improved prognostication in intermediate groups: in TCGA group C, we saw an increased rate of metastasis in AJCC stage III (28%) compared with stage 11 (8.9%); the same was seen in AJCC stage II, going from TCGA group C (8.9%) to group D (46%), and in AJCC stage III, going from group C (28%) to group D (49%). In patients with AJCC stage II or III disease, loss of chromosome 3 and gain of 8q (TCGA groups C and D) significantly worsened the prognosis, with multiple 8q gain (TCGA group D) having a greater impact.Conclusions: Combining information from AJCC stages and TCGA groups yields a better predictive power even in this set of relatively small tumors. We propose that physicians take both systems into account whenever possible, especially in moderate-risk groups. (C) 2021 by the American Academy of Ophthalmology. Show less
Stassen, J.; Galloo, X.; Hirasawa, K.; Marsan, N.A.; Bijl, P. van der; Delgado, V.; Bax, J.J. 2022
Aims Tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is common in patients with heart failure (HF) and is associated with worse outcome. This study investigated the effect of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT)... Show moreAims Tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is common in patients with heart failure (HF) and is associated with worse outcome. This study investigated the effect of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) on TR severity and long-term outcome. Methods and results Tricuspid regurgitation severity was assessed at baseline and 6 months after CRT implantation, using a multiparametric approach. Patients were divided into four groups: (i) no or mild TR without progression; (ii) no or mild TR with progression to significant (moderate-severe) TR; (iii) significant TR with improvement to no or mild TR; and (iv) significant TR without improvement. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. A total of 852 patients (mean age 65 +/- 11 years, 77% male) were included. At baseline, 184 (22%) patients had significant TR, with 75 (41%) showing significant improvement at 6-month follow-up. After a median follow-up of 92 (50-137) months, 494 (58%) patients died. Patients with significant TR showing improvement at follow-up had better outcomes than those showing no improvement (P = 0.016). On multivariable analysis, no or mild TR progressing to significant TR [hazard ratio (HR) 1.745; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.287-2.366; P < 0.001] and significant TR without improvement (HR 1.572; 95% CI: 1.198-2.063; P = 0.001) were independently associated with all-cause mortality, whereas significant TR with improvement at follow-up was not (HR: 1.153; 95% CI: 0.814-1.633; P = 0.424). Conclusion Improvement of significant TR after CRT is observed in a substantial proportion of patients, highlighting the potential benefit of CRT for patients with HF having significant TR. Significant TR at 6 months after CRT is independently associated with increased long-term mortality. Show less
Aims: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) patients have an increased risk of ventricular arrhythmias (VA). Four implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) recommendation... Show moreAims: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) patients have an increased risk of ventricular arrhythmias (VA). Four implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) recommendation algorithms are available The International Task Force Consensus ('ITFC'), an ITFC modification by Orgeron et al. ('mITFC'), the AHA/HRS/ACC guideline for VA management ('AHA'), and the HRS expert consensus statement ('HRS'). This study aims to validate and compare the performance of these algorithms in ARVC. Methods and results: We classified 617 definite ARVC patients (38.5 +/- 15.1 years, 52.4% male, 39.2% prior sustained VA) according to four algorithms. Clinical performance was evaluated by sensitivity, specificity, ROC-analysis, and decision curve analysis for any sustained VA and for fast VA (>250 b.p.m.). During 6.4 [2.8-11.5] years follow-up, 282 (45.7%) patients experienced any sustained VA, and 63 (10.2%) fast VA. For any sustained VA, ITFC and mITFC provide higher sensitivity than AHA and HRS (94.0-97.8% vs. 76.7-83.5%), but lower specificity (15.9-32.0% vs. 42.7%-60.1%). Similarly, for fast VA, ITFC and mITFC provide higher sensitivity than AHA and HRS (95.2-97.1% vs. 76.7-78.4%) but lower specificity (42.7-43.1 vs. 76.7-78.4%). Decision curve analysis showed ITFC and mITFC to be superior for a 5-year sustained VA risk ICD indication threshold between 5-25% or 2-9% for fast VA. Conclusion: The ITFC and mITFC provide the highest protection rates, whereas AHA and HRS decrease unnecessary ICD placements. ITFC or mITFC should be used if we consider the 5-year threshold for ICD indication to lie within 5-25% for sustained VA or 2-9% for fast VA. These data will inform decision-making for ICD placement in ARVC. Show less
