Inflammatory Bowel Diseases (IBD) such as Crohn’s disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) are chronic immunological digestive diseases with a progressive character and associated with significant... Show moreInflammatory Bowel Diseases (IBD) such as Crohn’s disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) are chronic immunological digestive diseases with a progressive character and associated with significant healthcare costs. Different solutions have been proposed such as innovation in care monitoring or implementation of electronic health (eHealth). IBD is one of many chronic diseases that could benefit from eHealth, adding smartphone applications to the toolbox for care management has the potential improve disease understanding, enhance medication adherence, improve patient-physician communications, and for earlier interventions by medical professionals when problems arise. Furthermore, the accessibility to Big Data and increased computational resources have paved the way for Artificial Intelligence (AI) to provide potential solutions for the management of prototypical complex diseases with advanced heterogeneity and alternating disease states, like IBD. In this thesis we assessed the current economic and psychosocial impact of IBD by assessing its effect on indirect costs, productivity and caregiving. Furthermore, we observed if we can proactively identify IBD patients’ needs using eHealth and Artificial Intelligence. Lastly, we analyze the impact of monitoring IBD patients using eHealth interventions in order to facilitate the delivery of high-value care. Show less
This thesis describes the importance of being able to control the selectivity of potential drug candidates. It explains how computational models are employed to predict and rationalize compound... Show moreThis thesis describes the importance of being able to control the selectivity of potential drug candidates. It explains how computational models are employed to predict and rationalize compound-protein binding (affinity) and therewith, selectivity of compounds. Moreover, it shows that selectivity can purposely be tuned to target either a single protein or an entire panel of proteins. The challenges of selectivity modeling are addressed based on case studies in the sodium-dependent glucose co-transporters, G protein-coupled receptors, and kinases. Show less
Background Recent technological advances have led to the development and implementation of machine learning (ML) in various disciplines, including neurosurgery. Our goal was to conduct a... Show moreBackground Recent technological advances have led to the development and implementation of machine learning (ML) in various disciplines, including neurosurgery. Our goal was to conduct a comprehensive survey of neurosurgeons to assess the acceptance of and attitudes toward ML in neurosurgical practice and to identify factors associated with its use. Methods The online survey consisted of nine or ten mandatory questions and was distributed in February and March 2019 through the European Association of Neurosurgical Societies (EANS) and the Congress of Neurosurgeons (CNS). Results Out of 7280 neurosurgeons who received the survey, we received 362 responses, with a response rate of 5%, mainly in Europe and North America. In total, 103 neurosurgeons (28.5%) reported using ML in their clinical practice, and 31.1% in research. Adoption rates of ML were relatively evenly distributed, with 25.6% for North America, 30.9% for Europe, 33.3% for Latin America and the Middle East, 44.4% for Asia and Pacific and 100% for Africa with only two responses. No predictors of clinical ML use were identified, although academic settings and subspecialties neuro-oncology, functional, trauma and epilepsy predicted use of ML in research. The most common applications were for predicting outcomes and complications, as well as interpretation of imaging. Conclusions This report provides a global overview of the neurosurgical applications of ML. A relevant proportion of the surveyed neurosurgeons reported clinical experience with ML algorithms. Future studies should aim to clarify the role and potential benefits of ML in neurosurgery and to reconcile these potential advantages with bioethical considerations. Show less
Objective: We aimed to explore the added value of common machine learning (ML) algorithms for prediction of outcome for moderate and severe traumatic brain injury.Study Design and Setting: We... Show moreObjective: We aimed to explore the added value of common machine learning (ML) algorithms for prediction of outcome for moderate and severe traumatic brain injury.Study Design and Setting: We performed logistic regression (LR), lasso regression, and ridge regression with key baseline predictors in the IMPACT-II database (15 studies, n = 11,022). ML algorithms included support vector machines, random forests, gradient boosting machines, and artificial neural networks and were trained using the same predictors. To assess generalizability of predictions, we performed internal, internal-external, and external validation on the recent CENTER-TBI study (patients with Glasgow Coma Scale <13, n = 1,554). Both calibration (calibration slope/intercept) and discrimination (area under the curve) was quantified.Results: In the IMPACT-II database, 3,332/11,022 (30%) died and 5,233(48%) had unfavorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale less than 4). In the CENTER-TBI study, 348/1,554(29%) died and 651(54%) had unfavorable outcome. Discrimination and calibration varied widely between the studies and less so between the studied algorithms. The mean area under the curve was 0.82 for mortality and 0.77 for unfavorable outcomes in the CENTER-TBI study.Conclusion: ML algorithms may not outperform traditional regression approaches in a low-dimensional setting for outcome prediction after moderate or severe traumatic brain injury. Similar to regression-based prediction models, ML algorithms should be rigorously validated to ensure applicability to new populations. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. Show less
Cammel, S.A.; Vos, M.S. de; Soest, D. van; Hettne, K.M.; Boer, F.; Steyerberg, E.W.; Boosman, H. 2020
Background Patient experience surveys often include free-text responses. Analysis of these responses is time-consuming and often underutilized. This study examined whether Natural Language... Show moreBackground Patient experience surveys often include free-text responses. Analysis of these responses is time-consuming and often underutilized. This study examined whether Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques could provide a data-driven, hospital-independent solution to indicate points for quality improvement. Methods This retrospective study used routinely collected patient experience data from two hospitals. A data-driven NLP approach was used. Free-text responses were categorized into topics, subtopics (i.e. n-grams) and labelled with a sentiment score. The indicator 'impact', combining sentiment and frequency, was calculated to reveal topics to improve, monitor or celebrate. The topic modelling architecture was tested on data from a second hospital to examine whether the architecture is transferable to another hospital. Results A total of 38,664 survey responses from the first hospital resulted in 127 topics and 294 n-grams. The indicator 'impact' revealed n-grams to celebrate (15.3%), improve (8.8%), and monitor (16.7%). For hospital 2, a similar percentage of free-text responses could be labelled with a topic and n-grams. Between-hospitals, most topics (69.7%) were similar, but 32.2% of topics for hospital 1 and 29.0% of topics for hospital 2 were unique. Conclusions In both hospitals, NLP techniques could be used to categorize patient experience free-text responses into topics, sentiment labels and to define priorities for improvement. The model's architecture was shown to be hospital-specific as it was able to discover new topics for the second hospital. These methods should be considered for future patient experience analyses to make better use of this valuable source of information. Show less
Real-life processes are characterized by dynamics involving time. Examples are walking, sleeping, disease progress in medical treatment, and events in a workflow. To understand complex behavior one... Show moreReal-life processes are characterized by dynamics involving time. Examples are walking, sleeping, disease progress in medical treatment, and events in a workflow. To understand complex behavior one needs expressive models, parsimonious enough to gain insight. Uncertainty is often fundamental for process characterization, e.g., because we sometimes can observe phenomena only partially. This makes probabilistic graphical models a suitable framework for process analysis. In this thesis, new probabilistic graphical models that offer the right balance between expressiveness and interpretability are proposed, inspired by the analysis of complex, real-world problems. We first investigate processes by introducing latent variables, which capture abstract notions from observable data (e.g., intelligence, health status). Such models often provide more accurate descriptions of processes. In medicine, such models can also reveal insight on patient treatment, such as predictive symptoms. The second viewpoint looks at processes by identifying time points in the data where the relationships between observable variables change. This provides an alternative characterization of process change. Finally, we try to better understand processes by identifying subgroups of data that deviate from the whole dataset, e.g., process workflows whose event dynamics differ from the general workflow. Show less
Background Postoperative gastrointestinal leak and venous thromboembolism (VTE) are devastating complications of bariatric surgery. The performance of currently available predictive models for... Show moreBackground Postoperative gastrointestinal leak and venous thromboembolism (VTE) are devastating complications of bariatric surgery. The performance of currently available predictive models for these complications remains wanting, while machine learning has shown promise to improve on traditional modeling approaches. The purpose of this study was to compare the ability of two machine learning strategies, artificial neural networks (ANNs), and gradient boosting machines (XGBs) to conventional models using logistic regression (LR) in predicting leak and VTE after bariatric surgery. Methods ANN, XGB, and LR prediction models for leak and VTE among adults undergoing initial elective weight loss surgery were trained and validated using preoperative data from 2015 to 2017 from Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program database. Data were randomly split into training, validation, and testing populations. Model performance was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) on the testing data for each model. Results The study cohort contained 436,807 patients. The incidences of leak and VTE were 0.70% and 0.46%. ANN (AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.73-0.78) was the best-performing model for predicting leak, followed by XGB (AUC 0.70, 95% CI 0.68-0.72) and then LR (AUC 0.63, 95% CI 0.61-0.65, p < 0.001 for all comparisons). In detecting VTE, ANN, and XGB, LR achieved similar AUCs of 0.65 (95% CI 0.63-0.68), 0.67 (95% CI 0.64-0.70), and 0.64 (95% CI 0.61-0.66), respectively; the performance difference between XGB and LR was statistically significant (p = 0.001). Conclusions ANN and XGB outperformed traditional LR in predicting leak. These results suggest that ML has the potential to improve risk stratification for bariatric surgery, especially as techniques to extract more granular data from medical records improve. Further studies investigating the merits of machine learning to improve patient selection and risk management in bariatric surgery are warranted. Show less
Aims Symptom-based pretest probability scores that estimate the likelihood of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) in stable chest pain have moderate accuracy. We sought to develop a machine ... Show moreAims Symptom-based pretest probability scores that estimate the likelihood of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) in stable chest pain have moderate accuracy. We sought to develop a machine [earning (ML) model,utilizing clinical factors and the coronary artery calcium score (CACS), to predict the presence of obstructive CAD on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA).Methods and results The study screened 35 281 participants enrolled in the CONFIRM registry, who underwent >= 64 detector row CCTA evaluation because of either suspected or previously established CAD. A boosted ensemble algorithm (XGBoost) was used, with data split into a training set (80%) on which 10-fold cross-validation was done and a test set (20%). Performance was assessed of the (1) ML model (using 25 clinical and demographic features), (2) ML + CACS, (3) CAD consortium clinical score, (4) CAD consortium clinical score + CACS, and (5) updated Diamond-Forrester (UDF) score. The study population comprised of 13 054 patients, of whom 2380 (18.2%) had obstructive CAD (>= 50% stenosis). Machine learning with CACS produced the best performance [area under the curve (AUC) of 0.881] compared with ML alone (AUC of 0.773), CAD consortium clinical score (AUC of 0.734), and with CACS (AUC of 0.866) and UDF (AUC of 0.682), P < 0.05 for all comparisons. CACS, age, and gender were the highest ranking features.Conclusion A ML model incorporating clinical features in addition to CACS can accurately estimate the pretest likelihood of obstructive CAD on CCTA. In clinical practice, the utilization of such an approach could improve risk stratification and help guide downstream management. Show less
People diagnosed with Borderline Personality Disorder (BPD) continuously struggle with knowing who they are and maintaining relationships. Fortunately, psychotherapies for BPD have proven effective... Show morePeople diagnosed with Borderline Personality Disorder (BPD) continuously struggle with knowing who they are and maintaining relationships. Fortunately, psychotherapies for BPD have proven effective. However, not everyone benefits from treatment with particular challenges remaining in social relations and finding meaning in life. Therefore, it is important to understand how we can better support people with BPD.We know that identity disturbances relate to interpersonal difficulties but we do not really understand how. Therefore, we investigated how interactions with others are influenced by how people see themselves, in the general population and in people diagnosed with BPD. To this end, we studied brain activation and the role of childhood trauma and low self-esteem. In addition, we investigated whether self-views can be strengthened using positive memories.We found that the way people respond to critiques and compliments relates to how positive or negative they see themselves. Moreover, vivid positive memories can benefit mood and self-esteem. However, people with BPD seem to not sufficiently distance themselves from critiques nor engage in positive memories and compliments. Finding the right balance between distance from critiques and engagement with a positive self-image may break the cycle of negative self-knowledge and contribute to better social interactions. Show less
Wall, H.E.C. van der; Doll, R.J.; Westen, G.J.P. van der; Koopmans, I.; Zuiker, R.G.; Burggraaf, J.; Cohen, A.F. 2020
