Aims This study was performed to develop and externally validate prediction models for appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) shock and mortality to identify subgroups with... Show moreAims This study was performed to develop and externally validate prediction models for appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) shock and mortality to identify subgroups with insufficient benefit from ICD implantation.Methods and results We recruited patients scheduled for primary prevention ICD implantation and reduced left ventricular function. Bootstrapping-based Cox proportional hazards and Fine and Gray competing risk models with likely candidate predictors were developed for all-cause mortality and appropriate ICD shock, respectively. Between 2014 and 2018, we included 1441 consecutive patients in the development and 1450 patients in the validation cohort. During a median follow-up of 2.4 (IQR 2.1-2.8) years, 109 (7.6%) patients received appropriate ICD shock and 193 (13.4%) died in the development cohort. During a median follow-up of 2.7 (IQR 2.0-3.4) years, 105 (7.2%) received appropriate ICD shock and 223 (15.4%) died in the validation cohort. Selected predictors of appropriate ICD shock were gender, NSVT, ACE/ARB use, atrial fibrillation history, Aldosterone-antagonist use, Digoxin use, eGFR, (N)OAC use, and peripheral vascular disease. Selected predictors of all-cause mortality were age, diuretic use, sodium, NT-pro-BNP, and ACE/ARB use. C-statistic was 0.61 and 0.60 at respectively internal and external validation for appropriate ICD shock and 0.74 at both internal and external validation for mortality.Conclusion Although this cohort study was specifically designed to develop prediction models, risk stratification still remains challenging and no large group with insufficient benefit of ICD implantation was found. However, the prediction models have some clinical utility as we present several scenarios where ICD implantation might be postponed. Show less
Harlaar, N.; Verberkmoes, N.J.; Voort, P.H. van der; Trines, S.A.; Verstraeten, S.E.; Mertens, B.J.A.; ... ; Brakel, T.J. van 2020
Objective: To compare clinical outcomes of clamping devices and linear nonclamping devices for isolation of the posterior left atrium (box) in thoracoscopic ablation of long-standing persistent... Show moreObjective: To compare clinical outcomes of clamping devices and linear nonclamping devices for isolation of the posterior left atrium (box) in thoracoscopic ablation of long-standing persistent atrial fibrillation.Methods: Eighty patients who underwent thoracoscopic pulmonary vein and box isolation using a bipolar clamping device (42 patients) or bipolar nonclamping device (38 patients) to create the roof/inferior lesions for box isolation were included from 2 centers. Follow-up consisted of 24-hour Holter at regular intervals. Freedom from AF during 1-year follow-up and catheter repeat interventions were compared between groups.Results: Acute intraoperative electrical isolation of the box compartment was significantly higher in the clamping group than in the nonclamping group (100% and 79%, respectively, P <.01). At 1-year follow-up, 91% of the clamping group and 79% of the nonclamping group were in sinus rhythm. During 1-year follow-up, recurrence rates did not significantly differ between the 2 groups (P = .08). Repeat catheter interventions were required in 10% of the clamping group and 21% of the nonclamping group (P = .15).Conduction gaps in the roof or inferior lesions were found in 1 patient (2%) in the clamping group versus 4 patients (11%) in the nonclamping group (P = .13). Conclusions: Thoracoscopic pulmonary vein and box isolation are highly effective in restoring sinus rhythm in long-standing persistent atrial fibrillation on short-term follow-up. Comparison of clamping and nonclamping devices revealed lower rates of intraoperative exit block of the box in the nonclamping group. However, this did not translate into a significant difference in atrial fibrillation freedom at short-term (1-year) follow-up. Show less
