The research in this dissertation aims to optimise blood donation processes in the framework of the Dutch national blood bank Sanquin. The primary health risk for blood donors is iron deficiency,... Show moreThe research in this dissertation aims to optimise blood donation processes in the framework of the Dutch national blood bank Sanquin. The primary health risk for blood donors is iron deficiency, which is evaluated based on donors' hemoglobin and ferritin levels. If either of these levels are inadequate, donors are deferred from donation. Deferral due to low hemoglobin levels occurs on-site, meaning that donors have already traveled to the blood bank and then have to return home without donating, which is demotivating for the donor and inefficient for the blood bank. A large part of this dissertation therefore has the objective to develop a prediction model for donors' hemoglobin levels, based on historical measurements and donor characteristics.The prediction model that was developed reduces the deferral rate by approximately 60\% (from 3\% to 1\% for women, and from 1\% to 0.4\% for men), showing the potential of using data to enhance blood bank policy efficiency. Additionally, the model predictions were made explainable, providing the blood bank with insights into why specific predictions are made. These insights increase our understanding of the relationships between donor characteristics and hemoglobin levels. If this prediction model would be implemented in practice, the explanations could also be shared with the donor to help them understand why they are (not) invited to donate, which could also contribute to donor satisfaction and retention.In a collaborative effort with blood banks in Australia, Belgium, Finland and South Africa, the same prediction model was applied on data from each blood bank. Despite differences in blood bank policies and donor demographics, the models found similar associations with the predictor variables in all countries. Differences in performance could mostly be attributed to differences in deferral rates, with blood banks with higher deferral rates obtaining higher model accuracy.Beyond hemoglobin prediction models, additional research questions are explored. One study aims to identify determinants of ferritin levels in donors through repeated measurements, and linking these to environmental variables. Another study involves modeling the pharmacokinetics of antibodies in COVID-19 recovered donors, and finding relationships between patient characteristics, symptoms, and antibody levels over time.In summary, the research in this dissertation shows the potential within the wealth of data collected by blood banks. The proposed data-driven donation strategies not only decrease deferral rates but also increase donor retention and understanding. This comprehensive approach allows Sanquin to provide more personalised feedback to donors regarding their iron status, ultimately optimising the blood donation process and contributing to the overall efficacy of blood banking systems. Show less
Vinkenoog, M.; Leeuwen, M. van; Janssen, M.P. 2022
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES\nMATERIALS AND METHODS\nRESULTS\nCONCLUSION\nAccurate predictions of haemoglobin (Hb) deferral for whole-blood donors could aid blood banks in reducing deferral rates and... Show moreBACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES\nMATERIALS AND METHODS\nRESULTS\nCONCLUSION\nAccurate predictions of haemoglobin (Hb) deferral for whole-blood donors could aid blood banks in reducing deferral rates and increasing efficiency and donor motivation. Complex models are needed to make accurate predictions, but predictions must also be explainable. Before the implementation of a prediction model, its impact on the blood supply should be estimated to avoid shortages.\nDonation visits between October 2017 and December 2021 were selected from Sanquin's database system. The following variables were available for each visit: donor sex, age, donation start time, month, number of donations in the last 24 months, most recent ferritin level, days since last ferritin measurement, Hb at nth previous visit (n between 1 and 5), days since the nth previous visit. Outcome Hb deferral has two classes: deferred and not deferred. Support vector machines were used as prediction models, and SHapley Additive exPlanations values were used to quantify the contribution of each variable to the model predictions. Performance was assessed using precision and recall. The potential impact on blood supply was estimated by predicting deferral at earlier or later donation dates.\nWe present a model that predicts Hb deferral in an explainable way. If used in practice, 64% of non-deferred donors would be invited on or before their original donation date, while 80% of deferred donors would be invited later.\nBy using this model to invite donors, the number of blood bank visits would increase by 15%, while deferral rates would decrease by 60% (currently 3% for women and 1% for men). Show less
Vinkenoog, M.; Steenhuis, M.; Brinke, A. ten; Hasselt, J.G.C. van: Janssen, M.P.; Leeuwen, M. van; Swaneveld, F.H.; ... ; Schoot, C.E. van der 2022
Many studies already reported on the association between patient characteristics on the severity of COVID-19 disease outcome, but the relation with SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels is less clear. To... Show moreMany studies already reported on the association between patient characteristics on the severity of COVID-19 disease outcome, but the relation with SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels is less clear. To investigate this in more detail, we performed a retrospective observational study in which we used the IgG antibody response from 11,118 longitudinal antibody measurements of 2,082 unique COVID convalescent plasma donors. COVID-19 symptoms and donor characteristics were obtained by a questionnaire. Antibody responses were modelled using a linear mixed-effects model. Our study confirms that the SARS-CoV-2 antibody response is associated with patient characteristics like body mass index and age. Antibody decay was faster in male than in female donors (average half-life of 62 versus 72 days). Most interestingly, we also found that three symptoms (headache, anosmia, nasal cold) were associated with lower peak IgG, while six other symptoms (dry cough, fatigue, diarrhoea, fever, dyspnoea, muscle weakness) were associated with higher IgG concentrations. Show less
