Motivation: When phase III clinical drug trials fail their endpoint, enormous resources are wasted. Moreover, even if a clinical trial demonstrates a significant benefit, the observed effects are... Show moreMotivation: When phase III clinical drug trials fail their endpoint, enormous resources are wasted. Moreover, even if a clinical trial demonstrates a significant benefit, the observed effects are often small and may not outweigh the side effects of the drug. Therefore, there is a great clinical need for methods to identify genetic markers that can identify subgroups of patients which are likely to benefit from treatment as this may (i) rescue failed clinical trials and/or (ii) identify subgroups of patients which benefit more than the population as a whole. When single genetic biomarkers cannot be found, machine learning approaches that find multivariate signatures are required. For single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) profiles, this is extremely challenging owing to the high dimensionality of the data. Here, we introduce RAINFOREST (tReAtment benefIt prediction using raNdom FOREST), which can predict treatment benefit from patient SNP profiles obtained in a clinical trial setting.Results: We demonstrate the performance of RAINFOREST on the CAIRO2 dataset, a phase III clinical trial which tested the addition of cetuximab treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer and concluded there was no benefit. However, we find that RAINFOREST is able to identify a subgroup comprising 27.7% of the patients that do benefit, with a hazard ratio of 0.69 (P = 0.04) in favor of cetuximab. The method is not specific to colorectal cancer and could aid in reanalysis of clinical trial data and provide a more personalized approach to cancer treatment, also when there is no clear link between a single variant and treatment benefit. Show less
Background: To compare the median overall survival of patients with isolated nonresectable liver metastases in comparable groups of patients treated with either isolated hepatic perfusion (IHP)... Show moreBackground: To compare the median overall survival of patients with isolated nonresectable liver metastases in comparable groups of patients treated with either isolated hepatic perfusion (IHP) with melphalan or systemic chemotherapy. Patients and methods: Colorectal cancer patients with isolated liver metastases, who underwent IHP, were included in this study. The control group consisted of a subgroup of colorectal cancer patients with liver metastases only, who were enrolled in the randomized CApecitabine, IRinotecan, Oxaliplatin (CAIRO) phase III study. Results: Ninety-nine patients were treated with IHP, and 111 patients were included in the control group. All patient characteristics were comparable except for age. Median follow-up was 78.1 months for IHP versus 54.7 months in the control group. Median overall survival was 25.0 [95% confidence interval (CI) 19.4-30.6] months for IHP and 21.7 (95% CI 19.6-23.8) months for systemic treatment and did not differ significantly (P = 0.29). Treatment-related mortality was 2% for the systemic treatment and 6% for IHP (P = 0.11). Conclusion: Compared with a patient group with comparable characteristics treated with systemic chemotherapy, IHP does not provide a benefit in overall survival in patients with isolated nonresectable colorectal liver metastases. Currently, the use of IHP cannot be advocated outside the scope of clinical studies. Show less
Iersel, L.B.J. van; Koopman, M.; Velde, C.J.H.V. de; Mol, L.; Meerten, E.L.V.P. van; Hartgrink, H.H.; ... ; Gelderblom, H. 2010
Background: To compare the median overall survival of patients with isolated nonresectable liver metastases in comparable groups of patients treated with either isolated hepatic perfusion (IHP)... Show moreBackground: To compare the median overall survival of patients with isolated nonresectable liver metastases in comparable groups of patients treated with either isolated hepatic perfusion (IHP) with melphalan or systemic chemotherapy. Patients and methods: Colorectal cancer patients with isolated liver metastases, who underwent IHP, were included in this study. The control group consisted of a subgroup of colorectal cancer patients with liver metastases only, who were enrolled in the randomized CApecitabine, IRinotecan, Oxaliplatin (CAIRO) phase III study. Results: Ninety-nine patients were treated with IHP, and 111 patients were included in the control group. All patient characteristics were comparable except for age. Median follow-up was 78.1 months for IHP versus 54.7 months in the control group. Median overall survival was 25.0 [95% confidence interval (CI) 19.4-30.6] months for IHP and 21.7 (95% CI 19.6-23.8) months for systemic treatment and did not differ significantly (P = 0.29). Treatment-related mortality was 2% for the systemic treatment and 6% for IHP (P = 0.11). Conclusion: Compared with a patient group with comparable characteristics treated with systemic chemotherapy, IHP does not provide a benefit in overall survival in patients with isolated nonresectable colorectal liver metastases. Currently, the use of IHP cannot be advocated outside the scope of clinical studies. Show less
Iersel, L.B.J. van; Koopman, M.; Velde, C.J.H.V. de; Mol, L.; Meerten, E.L.V.P. van; Hartgrink, H.H.; ... ; Gelderblom, H. 2010
BACKGROUND: To compare the median overall survival of patients with isolated nonresectable liver metastases in comparable groups of patients treated with either isolated hepatic perfusion (IHP)... Show moreBACKGROUND: To compare the median overall survival of patients with isolated nonresectable liver metastases in comparable groups of patients treated with either isolated hepatic perfusion (IHP) with melphalan or systemic chemotherapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Colorectal cancer patients with isolated liver metastases, who underwent IHP, were included in this study. The control group consisted of a subgroup of colorectal cancer patients with liver metastases only, who were enrolled in the randomized CApecitabine, IRinotecan, Oxaliplatin (CAIRO) phase III study. RESULTS: Ninety-nine patients were treated with IHP, and 111 patients were included in the control group. All patient characteristics were comparable except for age. Median follow-up was 78.1 months for IHP versus 54.7 months in the control group. Median overall survival was 25.0 [95% confidence interval (CI) 19.4-30.6] months for IHP and 21.7 (95% CI 19.6-23.8) months for systemic treatment and did not differ significantly (P = 0.29). Treatment-related mortality was 2% for the systemic treatment and 6% for IHP (P = 0.11). CONCLUSION: Compared with a patient group with comparable characteristics treated with systemic chemotherapy, IHP does not provide a benefit in overall survival in patients with isolated nonresectable colorectal liver metastases. Currently, the use of IHP cannot be advocated outside the scope of clinical studies. Show less
