BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recent pancreatic cancer surveil-lance programs of high-risk individuals have reported improved outcomes. This study assessed to what extent outcomes of pancreatic ductal... Show moreBACKGROUND & AIMS: Recent pancreatic cancer surveil-lance programs of high-risk individuals have reported improved outcomes. This study assessed to what extent outcomes of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients with a CDKN2A/p16 pathogenic variant diagnosed under surveillance are better as compared with patients with PDAC diagnosed outside surveillance.METHODS: In a pro-pensity score matched cohort using data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry, we compared resectability, stage, and survival between patients diagnosed under sur-veillance with non-surveillance patients with PDAC. Survival analyses were adjusted for potential effects of lead time.RESULTS: Between January 2000 and December 2020, 43,762 patients with PDAC were identified from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Thirty-one patients with PDAC under surveillance were matched in a 1:5 ratio with 155 non surveillance patients based on age at diagnosis, sex, year diagnosis, and tumor location. Outside surveillance, 5.8% of the patients had stage I cancer, as compared with 38.7% of surveillance patients with PDAC (odds ratio [OR], 0.09; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.04-0.19). In total, 18.7% of non surveillance patients vs 71.0% of surveillance patients un- derwent a surgical resection (OR, 10.62; 95% CI, 4.56-26.63). Patients in surveillance had a better prognosis, reflected by 5-year survival of 32.4% and a median overall survival of 26.8 months vs 4.3% 5-year survival and 5.2 months median overall survival in non-surveillance patients (hazard ratio, 0.31; 95% CI 0.19-0.50). For all adjusted lead times, survival remained significantly longer in surveillance patients than non-surveillance patients.CONCLUSION: Surveillance for PDAC in carriers of a CDKN2A/p16 pathogenic variant results in earlier detection, increased resectability, and improved survival as compared with non-surveillance patients with PDAC. Show less
Ibrahim, I.S.; Vasen, H.F.A.; Wasser, M.N.J.M.; Feshtali, S.; Bonsing, B.A.; Morreau, H.; ... ; Hout, W.B. van den 2023
Background: CDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers have a high lifetime risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), with very poor survival. Surveillance may improve prognosis.... Show moreBackground: CDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers have a high lifetime risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), with very poor survival. Surveillance may improve prognosis. Objective: To assess the cost-effectiveness of surveillance, as compared to no surveillance. Methods: In 2000, a surveillance program was initiated at Leiden University Medical Center with annual MRI and optional endoscopic ultrasound. Data were collected on the resection rate of screen-detected tumors and on survival. The Kaplan-Meier method and a parametric cure model were used to analyze and compare survival. Based on the surveillance and survival data from the screening program, a state-transition model was constructed to estimate lifelong outcomes. Results: A total of 347 mutation carriers participated in the surveillance program. PDAC was detected in 31 patients (8.9%) and the tumor could be resected in 22 patients (71.0%). Long-term cure among patients with resected PDAC was estimated at 47.1% (p < 0.001). The surveillance program was estimated to reduce mortality from PDAC by 12.1% and increase average life expectancy by 2.10 years. Lifelong costs increased by euro13,900 per patient, with a cost-utility ratio of euro14,000 per quality-adjusted life year gained. For annual surveillance to have an acceptable cost-effectiveness in other settings, lifetime PDAC risk needs to be 10% or higher. Conclusion: The tumor could be resected in most patients with a screen-detected PDAC. These patients had considerably better survival and as a result annual surveillance was found to be cost-effective. Show less
Ibrahim, I.S.; Vasen, H.F.A.; Wasser, M.N.J.M.; Feshtali, S.; Bonsing, B.A.; Morreau, H.; ... ; Hout, W.B. van den 2023
BackgroundCDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers have a high lifetime risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), with very poor survival. Surveillance may improve prognosis... Show moreBackgroundCDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers have a high lifetime risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), with very poor survival. Surveillance may improve prognosis.ObjectiveTo assess the cost-effectiveness of surveillance, as compared to no surveillance.MethodsIn 2000, a surveillance program was initiated at Leiden University Medical Center with annual MRI and optional endoscopic ultrasound. Data were collected on the resection rate of screen-detected tumors and on survival. The Kaplan–Meier method and a parametric cure model were used to analyze and compare survival. Based on the surveillance and survival data from the screening program, a state-transition model was constructed to estimate lifelong outcomes.ResultsA total of 347 mutation carriers participated in the surveillance program. PDAC was detected in 31 patients (8.9%) and the tumor could be resected in 22 patients (71.0%). Long-term cure among patients with resected PDAC was estimated at 47.1% (p < 0.001). The surveillance program was estimated to reduce mortality from PDAC by 12.1% and increase average life expectancy by 2.10 years. Lifelong costs increased by €13,900 per patient, with a cost-utility ratio of €14,000 per quality-adjusted life year gained. For annual surveillance to have an acceptable cost-effectiveness in other settings, lifetime PDAC risk needs to be 10% or higher.ConclusionThe tumor could be resected in most patients with a screen-detected PDAC. These patients had considerably better survival and as a result annual surveillance was found to be cost-effective. Show less
CDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers have a 20% to 25% risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Better understanding of the natural course of PDAC might allow the surveillance... Show moreCDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers have a 20% to 25% risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Better understanding of the natural course of PDAC might allow the surveillance protocol to be improved. The aims of the study were to evaluate the role of cystic precursor lesions in the development of PDAC and to assess the growth rate. In 2000, a surveillance program was initiated, consisting of annual MRI in carriers of a CDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation. The study cohort induded 204 (42% male) patients. Cystic precursor lesions were found in 52 (25%) of 204 mutation carriers. Five (9.7%) of 52 mutation carriers with cystic lesions and 8 (7.0%) of 114 mutation carriers without cystic lesions developed PDAC (P = 0.56). Three of 6 patients with a cystic lesion of >= 10 mm developed PDAC. The median size of all incident PDAC detected between 9 and 12 months since the previous normal MRI was 15 mm, suggesting an annual growth rate of about 15 mm/year. In conclusion, our findings show that patients with and without a cystic lesions have a similar risk of PDAC. However, cystic precursor lesions between 10 and 20 mm increase the risk of PDAC substantially. In view of the large size of the screen-detected tumors, a shorter interval of screening might be recommended for all patients. (C) 2018 AACR. Show less
CDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers have a substantial risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). One of the main clinical features of hereditary cancer is the development of... Show moreCDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers have a substantial risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). One of the main clinical features of hereditary cancer is the development of multiple cancers. Since 2000, we have run a surveillance program for CDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers. The patients are offered a yearly MRI with optionally endoscopic ultrasound. In patients with a confirmed lesion, usually, a partial resection of the pancreas is recommended. A total of 18 PDAC (8.3%) were detected in 218 mutation carriers. In this report, we describe two CDKN2A-p16-Leiden patients with a synchronous and metachronous PDAC. Including two previously-reported cases, we identified four patients with multiple PDAC: two of 18 patients within the surveillance program (11%) and two patients with a proven CDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation not participating in the surveillance program. In conclusion, this study demonstrated a high risk of developing multiple PDAC in CDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers. After detecting a primary tumor, it is very important to exclude the presence of a second synchronous tumor. Moreover, after a partial pancreatectomy for PDAC, close surveillance is necessary. In view of the current findings, offering a total pancreatectomy might be an appropriate option in patients with an early PDAC. Show less
