Aims Automated coronary total plaque volume (TPV) quantification derived from coronary computed tomographic angiography (CTA) datasets provide exact and reliable assessment of calcified and non... Show moreAims Automated coronary total plaque volume (TPV) quantification derived from coronary computed tomographic angiography (CTA) datasets provide exact and reliable assessment of calcified and non-calcified coronary atheroscler- osis burden. The aim of this analysis was to investigate the long-term predictive value of TPV.Methods and results TPV was quantified in 1577 patients undergoing coronary CTA and cardiovascular events were collected during 10.5 years (interquartile range 6.0-11.4) of follow-up. The study endpoint comprised cardiac death and acute cor- onary syndrome and occurred in 59 (3.7%) patients. Coronary TPV provided additive prognostic value over clinical risk assessed with the Morise Score and coronary artery disease severity (rise in C-index from 0.744 to 0.769, P=0.03). A category-based reclassification approach combining the Morise Score and TPV revealed superior risk stratification (categorical net reclassification improvement: 0.48 with 95% CI 0.13-0.68, P< 0.001) and resulted in reclassification of 800 (51%) patients compared with the Morise Score alone. The 10-year risk for the study endpoint was 0.6% (95% CI 0-1.3) for patients classified as low risk (n = 807), 4.8% (95% CI 2.4-7.2) for patients at intermediate risk (n = 400), and 10.3% (95% CI 6.6-13.9) for patients at high risk (n = 370) using the combined reclassification approach.Conclusion Quantification of TPV from coronary CTA permits an improved 10-year cardiovascular risk stratification. Show less
Purpose: The rationale of this study was to identify patients with fast progression of coronary plaque volume PV and characterize changes in PV and plaque components over time.Method: Total PV (TPV... Show morePurpose: The rationale of this study was to identify patients with fast progression of coronary plaque volume PV and characterize changes in PV and plaque components over time.Method: Total PV (TPV) was measured in 350 patients undergoing serial coronary computed tomography angiography (median scan interval 3.6 years) using semi-automated software. Plaque morphology was assessed based on attenuation values and stratified into calcified, fibrous, fibrous-fatty and low-attenuation PV for volumetric measurements. Every plaque was additionally classified as either calcified, partially calcified or non-calcified.Results: In total, 812 and 955 plaques were detected in the first and second scan. Mean TPV increase was 20 % on a per-patient base (51.3 mm(3) [interquartile range (IQR): 14.4, 126.7] vs. 61.6 mm(3) [IQR: 16.7, 170.0]). TPV increase was driven by calcified PV (first scan: 7.6 mm(3) [IQR: 0.2, 33.6] vs. second scan: 16.6 mm(3) [IQR: 1.8, 62.1], p < 0.01). Forty-two patients showed fast progression of TPV, defined as > 1.3 mm(3) increase of TPV per month. Male sex (odds ratio 3.1, p = 0.02) and typical angina (odds ratio 3.95, p = 0.03) were identified as risk factors for fast TPV progression, while high-density lipoprotein cholesterol had a protective effect (odds ratio per 10 mg/dl increase of HDL cholesterol: 0.72, p < 0.01). Progression to > 50 % stenosis at follow-up was observed in 34 of 327 (10.4 %) calcified plaques, in 13 of 401 (3.2 %) partially calcified plaques and 2 of 221 (0.9 %) non-calcified plaques (p < 0.01).Conclusion: Fast plaque progression was observed in male patients and patients with typical angina. High HDL cholesterol showed a protective effect. Show less
