Background Prosthesis-patient mismatch (PPM), routinely used to characterize the degree of hemodynamic obstruction caused by a prosthetic heart valve, is associated with adverse patient outcomes... Show moreBackground Prosthesis-patient mismatch (PPM), routinely used to characterize the degree of hemodynamic obstruction caused by a prosthetic heart valve, is associated with adverse patient outcomes after aortic valve replacement (AVR). In the common definition of PPM, the opening area of the valve is related to the patients' cardiac output, by indexing effective orifice area (EOA) with body surface area (BSA). The aim of this study is to assess the implications of using BSA as a proxy for cardiac output. Methods 744 patients with normal LV function underwent echocardiographic assessment after surgical AVR. To validate the use of BSA as a proxy for cardiac output, the relation between these variables was analyzed. The effects of BSA on the classification of PPM (EOAi < 0.85 cm(2)/m(2)) and the presence of hemodynamic obstruction (mean gradient >= 20 mmHg and/or Doppler velocity index < 0.35) were estimated. Results There was a weak correlation between BSA and cardiac output (r: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.22;0.35), and cardiac output was not proportional to BSA (Cardiac output = 1.5 x BSA +1.9). As a result, the increased risk of patients with a large BSA to be labelled with PPM (OR: 5.2, 95% CI: 2.5,11 per m(2) BSA), was not reflected by a significantly higher risk of hemodynamic obstruction (OR: 1.5, 95% CI: 0.5,4.9 per m(2) BSA). Conclusions The current definition of PPM results in a systematic overestimation of hemodynamic obstruction in patients with a larger BSA, and we recommend cautious use in this subgroup. Show less
Objective: Several recent-generation surgical tissue valves have been found to have bleeding rates exceeding rates recommended by regulatory bodies. We explored bleeding events using data from the... Show moreObjective: Several recent-generation surgical tissue valves have been found to have bleeding rates exceeding rates recommended by regulatory bodies. We explored bleeding events using data from the Pericardial Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement (PERIGON) Pivotal Trial for the Avalus valve (Medtronic, Minneapolis, Minn) to examine whether this end point remains relevant for the evaluation of bioprostheses.Methods: Patients (n = 1115) underwent aortic valve replacement. Bleeding and thromboembolic event episodes in patients within 3 years postimplant were analyzed for frequency, timing, and severity, focusing on patients taking antiplatelet/anticoagulant medications at the time of the event. Clinical and hemodynamic outcomes are also reported.Results: At 3 years, the Kaplan-Meier cumulative probability estimate of all-cause death was 7.2% (cardiac, 3.6%; valve-related, 1.1%). The Kaplan-Meier cumulative probability estimates of all and major hemorrhage were 8.7% and 5.2%, respectively. Ninety-nine bleeding events occurred in 86 patients: most occurred >30 days postsurgery. Among the 51 late major bleeds, in 5 cases the patients were taking anticoagulant/antiplatelet medication for prophylaxis after surgical aortic valve replacement at the time of the event, whereas the remaining patients were taking medications for other reasons. Age (hazard ratio, 1.035; 95% confidence interval, 1.004-1.068), peripheral vascular disease (hazard ratio, 2.135; 95% confidence interval, 1.106-4.122), renal dysfunction (hazard ratio, 1.920; 95% confidence interval, 1.055-3.494), and antithrombotic medication use at the time of the event (hazard ratio, 1.417; 95% confidence interval, 1.048-1.915) were associated with late bleeds (major and minor).Conclusions: Overall clinical outcomes demonstrated low mortality and few complications except for major bleeding. Most bleeding events occurred >30 days after surgery and in patients taking antiplatelet and/or anticoagulation for indications other than postimplant prophylaxis. Show less
Background Randomised controlled trials are considered the gold standard for testing the efficacy of novel therapeutic interventions, and typically report the average treatment effect as a summary... Show moreBackground Randomised controlled trials are considered the gold standard for testing the efficacy of novel therapeutic interventions, and typically report the average treatment effect as a summary result. As the result of treatment can vary between patients, basing treatment decisions for individual patients on the overall average treatment effect could be suboptimal. We aimed to develop an individualised decision making tool to select an optimal revascularisation strategy in patients with complex coronary artery disease.Methods The SYNTAX Extended Survival (SYNTAXES) study is an investigator-driven extension follow-up of a multicentre, randomised controlled trial done in 85 hospitals across 18 North American and European countries between March, 2005, and April, 2007. Patients with de-novo three-vessel and left main coronary artery disease were randomly assigned (1:1) to either the percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) group or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) group. The SYNTAXES study ascertained 10-year all-cause deaths. We used Cox regression to develop a clinical prognostic index for predicting death over a 10-year period, which was combined, in a second stage, with assigned treatment (PCI or CABG) and two prespecified effect-modifiers, which were selected on the basis of previous evidence: disease type (three-vessel disease or left main coronary artery disease) and anatomical SYNTAX score. We used similar techniques to develop a model to predict the 5-year risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (defined as a composite of all-cause death, non-fatal stroke, or non-fatal myocardial infarction) in patients receiving PCI or CABG. We then assessed the ability of these models to predict the risk of death or a major adverse cardiovascular event, and their differences (ie, the estimated benefit of CABG versus PCI by calculating the absolute risk difference between the two strategies) by cross-validation with the SYNTAX trial (n=1800 participants) and external validation in the pooled population (n=3380 participants) of the FREEDOM, BEST, and PRECOMBAT trials. The concordance (C)-index was used to measure discriminative ability, and calibration plots were used to assess the degree of agreement between predictions and observations.Findings At cross-validation, the newly developed SYNTAX score II, termed SYNTAX score II 2020, showed a helpful discriminative ability in both treatment groups for predicting 10-year all-cause deaths (C-index=0.73 [95% CI 0.69-0.76] for PCI and 0.73 [0.69-0.76] for CABG) and 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events (C-index=0.65 [0.61-0.69] for PCI and C-index=0.71 [0.67-0.75] for CABG). At external validation, the SYNTAX score II 2020 showed helpful discrimination (C-index=0.67 [0.63-0.70] for PCI and C-index=0.62 [0.58-0.66] for CABG) and good calibration for predicting 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events. The estimated treatment benefit of CABG over PCI varied substantially among patients in the trial population, and the benefit predictions were well calibrated.Interpretation The SYNTAX score II 2020 for predicting 10-year deaths and 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events can help to identify individuals who will benefit from either CABG or PCI, thereby supporting heart teams, patients, and their families to select optimal revascularisation strategies. Copyright (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Show less
Aims Indexed effective orifice area (EOAi) charts are used to determine the likelihood of prosthesis-patient mismatch (PPM) after aortic valve replacement (AVR). The aim of this study is to... Show moreAims Indexed effective orifice area (EOAi) charts are used to determine the likelihood of prosthesis-patient mismatch (PPM) after aortic valve replacement (AVR). The aim of this study is to validate whether these EOAi charts, based on echocardiographic normal reference values, can accurately predict PPM.Methods and results In the PERIcardial SurGical AOrtic Valve ReplacemeNt (PERIGON) Pivotal Trial, 986 patients with aortic valve stenosis/regurgitation underwent AVR with an Avalus valve. Patients were randomly split (50:50) into training and test sets. The mean measured EOAs for each valve size from the training set were used to create an Avalus EOAi chart. This chart was subsequently used to predict PPM in the test set and measures of diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, and negative and positive predictive value) were assessed. PPM was defined by an EOAi <= 0.85 cm(2)/m(2) and severe PPM was defined as EOAi <= 0.65 cm(2)/m(2). The reference values obtained from the training set ranged from 1.27 cm(2) for size 19 mm up to 1.81 cm(2) for size 27 mm. The test set had an incidence of 66% of PPM and 24% of severe PPM. The EOAi chart inaccurately predicted PPM in 30% of patients and severe PPM in 22% of patients. For the prediction of PPM, the sensitivity was 87% and the specificity 37%. For the prediction of severe PPM, the sensitivity was 13% and the specificity 98%.Conclusion use of echocardiographic normal reference values for EOAi charts to predict PPM is unreliable due to the large proportion of misclassifications. Show less