Background Syncope management is fraught with unnecessary tests and frequent failure to establish a diagnosis. We evaluated the potential of implementing the 2018 European Society of Cardiology ... Show moreBackground Syncope management is fraught with unnecessary tests and frequent failure to establish a diagnosis. We evaluated the potential of implementing the 2018 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Syncope Guidelines regarding diagnostic yield, accuracy and costs. Methods A multicentre pre-post study in fve Dutch hospitals comparing two groups of syncope patients visiting the emergency department: one before intervention (usual care; from March 2017 to February 2019) and one afterwards (from October 2017 to September 2019). The intervention consisted of the simultaneous implementation of the ESC Syncope Guidelines with quick referral routes to a syncope unit when indicated. The primary objective was to compare diagnostic accuracy using logistic regression analysis accounting for the study site. Secondary outcome measures included diagnostic yield, syncope-related healthcare and societal costs. One-year follow-up data were used to defne a gold standard reference diagnosis by applying ESC criteria or, if not possible, evaluation by an expert committee. We determined the accuracy by comparing the treating physician’s diagnosis with the reference diagnosis. Results We included 521 patients (usual care, n = 275; syncope guidelines intervention, n = 246). The syncope guidelines intervention resulted in a higher diagnostic accuracy in the syncope guidelines group than in the usual care group (86% vs.69%; risk ratio 1.15; 95% CI 1.07 to 1.23) and a higher diagnostic yield (89% vs. 76%, 95% CI of the diference 6 to 19%). Syncope-related healthcare costs did not difer between the groups, yet the syncope guideline implementation resulted in lower total syncope-related societal costs compared to usual care (saving €908 per patient; 95% CI €34 to €1782). Conclusions ESC Syncope Guidelines implementation in the emergency department with quick referral routes to a syncope unit improved diagnostic yield and accuracy and lowered societal costs Show less
Candel, B.G.J.; Raven, W.; Nissen, S.K.; Morsink, M.E.B.; Gaakeer, M.I.; Brabrand, M.; ... ; Groot, B. de 2023
BackgroundGuidelines and textbooks assert that tachycardia is an early and reliable sign of hypotension, and an increased heart rate (HR) is believed to be an early warning sign for the development... Show moreBackgroundGuidelines and textbooks assert that tachycardia is an early and reliable sign of hypotension, and an increased heart rate (HR) is believed to be an early warning sign for the development of shock, although this response may change by aging, pain, and stress.ObjectiveTo assess the unadjusted and adjusted associations between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and HR in emergency department (ED) patients of different age categories (18–50 years; 50–80 years; > 80 years).MethodsA multicenter cohort study using the Netherlands Emergency department Evaluation Database (NEED) including all ED patients ≥ 18 years from three hospitals in whom HR and SBP were registered at arrival to the ED. Findings were validated in a Danish cohort including ED patients. In addition, a separate cohort was used including ED patients with a suspected infection who were hospitalized from whom measurement of SBP and HR were available prior to, during, and after ED treatment. Associations between SBP and HR were visualized and quantified with scatterplots and regression coefficients (95% confidence interval [CI]).ResultsA total of 81,750 ED patients were included from the NEED, and a total of 2358 patients with a suspected infection. No associations were found between SBP and HR in any age category (18–50 years: −0.03 beats/min/10 mm Hg, 95% CI −0.13–0.07, 51–80 years: −0.43 beats/min/10 mm Hg, 95% CI −0.38 to −0.50, > 80 years: −0.61 beats/min/10 mm Hg, 95% CI −0.53 to −0.71), nor in different subgroups of ED patient. No increase in HR existed with a decreasing SBP during ED treatment in ED patients with a suspected infection.ConclusionNo association between SBP and HR existed in ED patients of any age category, nor in ED patients who were hospitalized with a suspected infection, even during and after ED treatment. Emergency physicians may be misled by traditional concepts about HR disturbances because tachycardia may be absent in hypotension. Show less
Candel, B.G.J.; Nissen, S.K.; Nickel, C.H.; Raven, W.; Thijssen, W.; Gaakeer, M.I.; ... ; Groot, B. de 2023
Objectives: Early Warning Scores (EWSs) have a great potential to assist clinical decision-making in the emergency department (ED). However, many EWS contain methodological weaknesses in... Show moreObjectives: Early Warning Scores (EWSs) have a great potential to assist clinical decision-making in the emergency department (ED). However, many EWS contain methodological weaknesses in development and validation and have poor predictive performance in older patients. The aim of this study was to develop and externally validate an International Early Warning Score (IEWS) based on a recalibrated National Early warning Score (NEWS) model including age and sex and evaluate its performance independently at arrival to the ED in three age categories (18–65, 66–80, > 80 yr).Design: International multicenter cohort study.Setting: Data was used from three Dutch EDs. External validation was performed in two EDs in Denmark.Patients: All consecutive ED patients greater than or equal to 18 years in the Netherlands Emergency department Evaluation Database (NEED) with at least two registered vital signs were included, resulting in 95,553 patients. For external validation, 14,809 patients were included from a Danish Multicenter Cohort (DMC).Measurements and Main Results: Model performance to predict in-hospital mortality was evaluated by discrimination, calibration curves and summary statistics, reclassification, and clinical usefulness by decision curve analysis. In-hospital mortality rate was 2.4% (n = 2,314) in the NEED and 2.5% (n = 365) in the DMC. Overall, the IEWS performed significantly better than NEWS with an area under the receiving operating characteristic of 0.89 (95% CIs, 0.89–0.90) versus 0.82 (0.82–0.83) in the NEED and 0.87 (0.85–0.88) versus 0.82 (0.80–0.84) at external validation. Calibration for NEWS predictions underestimated risk in older patients and overestimated risk in the youngest, while calibration improved for IEWS with a substantial reclassification of patients from low to high risk and a standardized net benefit of 5–15% in the relevant risk range for all age categories.Conclusions: The IEWS substantially improves in-hospital mortality prediction for all ED patients greater than or equal to18 years. Show less
Background Treatment and the clinical course during Emergency Department (ED) stay before Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission may affect predicted mortality risk calculated by the Acute Physiology... Show moreBackground Treatment and the clinical course during Emergency Department (ED) stay before Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission may affect predicted mortality risk calculated by the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-IV, causing lead-time bias. As a result, comparing standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) among hospitals may be difficult if they differ in the location where initial stabilization takes place. The aim of this study was to assess to what extent predicted mortality risk would be affected if the APACHE-IV score was recalculated with the initial physiological variables from the ED. Secondly, to evaluate whether ED Length of Stay (LOS) was associated with a change (delta) in these APACHE-IV scores. Methods An observational multicenter cohort study including ICU patients admitted from the ED. Data from two Dutch quality registries were linked: the Netherlands Emergency department Evaluation Database (NEED) and the National Intensive Care Evaluation (NICE) registry. The ICU APACHE-IV, predicted mortality, and SMR based on data of the first 24 h of ICU admission were compared with an ED APACHE-IV model, using the most deviating physiological variables from the ED or ICU. Results A total of 1398 patients were included. The predicted mortality from the ICU APACHE-IV (median 0.10; IQR 0.03-0.30) was significantly lower compared to the ED APACHE-IV model (median 0.13; 0.04-0.36; p < 0.01). The SMR changed from 0.63 (95%CI 0.54-0.72) to 0.55 (95%CI 0.47-0.63) based on ED APACHE-IV. Predicted mortality risk changed more than 5% in 321 (23.2%) patients by using the ED APACHE-IV. ED LOS > 3.9 h was associated with a slight increase in delta APACHE-IV of 1.6 (95% CI 0.4-2.8) compared to ED LOS < 1.7 h. Conclusion Predicted mortality risks and SMRs calculated by the APACHE IV scores are not directly comparable in patients admitted from the ED if hospitals differ in their policy to stabilize patients in the ED before ICU admission. Future research should focus on developing models to adjust for these differences. Show less
Nissen, S.K.; Candel, B.G.J.; Nickel, C.H.; Jonge, E. de; Ryg, J.; Bogh, S.B.; ... ; Brabrand, M. 2022
Study objective: To investigate how age affects the predictive performance of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) at arrival to the emergency department (ED) regarding inhospital mortality and... Show moreStudy objective: To investigate how age affects the predictive performance of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) at arrival to the emergency department (ED) regarding inhospital mortality and intensive care admission.Methods: International multicenter retrospective cohorts from 2 Danish and 3 Dutch ED. Development cohort: 14,809 Danish patients aged >= 18 years with at least systolic blood pressure or pulse measured from the Danish Multicenter Cohort. External validation cohort: 50,448 Dutch patients aged >18 years with all vital signs measured from the Netherlands Emergency Department Evaluation Database (NEED). Multivariable logistic regression was used for model building. Performance was evaluated overall and within age categories: 18 to 64 years, 65 to 80 years, and more than 80 years.Results: In the Danish Multicenter Cohort, a total of 2.5% died inhospital, and 2.8% were admitted to the ICU, compared with 2.8% and 1.6%, respectively, in the NEED. Age did not add information for the prediction of intensive care admission but was the strongest predictor for inhospital mortality. For NEWS alone, severe underestimation of risk was observed for persons above 80 while overall Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) was 0.82 (confidence interval [CI] 0.80 to 0.84) in the Danish Multicenter Cohort versus 0.75 (CI 0.75 to 0.77) in the NEED. When combining NEWS with age, underestimation of risks was eliminated for persons above 80, and overall AUROC increased significantly to 0.86 (CI 0.85 to 0.88) in the Danish Multicenter Cohort versus 0.82 (CI 0.81 to 0.83) in the NEED.Conclusion: Combining NEWS with age improved the prediction performance regarding inhospital mortality, mostly for persons aged above 80, and can potentially improve decision policies at arrival to EDs. Show less
Raven, W.; Hoven, E.M.P. van den; Gaakeer, M.I.; Avest, E. ter; Sir, O.; Lameijer, H.; ... ; Groot, B. de 2022
Background and importance Although aging societies in Western Europe use presenting complaints (PCs) in emergency departments (EDs) triage systems to determine the urgency and severity of the care... Show moreBackground and importance Although aging societies in Western Europe use presenting complaints (PCs) in emergency departments (EDs) triage systems to determine the urgency and severity of the care demand, it is unclear whether their prognostic value is age-dependent.Objective To assess the frequency and association of PCs with hospitalization and mortality across age categories.Methods An observational multicenter study using all consecutive visits of three EDs in the Netherlands Emergency department Evaluation Database. Patients were stratified by age category (0-18; 19-50; 51-65; 66-80; >80 years), in which the association between PCs and case-mix adjusted hospitalization and mortality was studied using multivariable logistic regression analysis (adjusting for demographics, hospital, disease severity, comorbidity and other PCs)Results We included 172 104 ED-visits. The most frequent PCs were 'extremity problems' [range across age categories (13.5-40.8%)], 'feeling unwell' (9.5-23.4%), 'abdominal pain' (6.0-13.9%), 'dyspnea' (4.5-13.3%) and 'chest pain' (0.6-10.7%). For most PCs, the observed and the case-mix-adjusted odds for hospitalization and mortality increased the higher the age category. The most common PCs with the highest adjusted odds ratios (AORs, 95% CI) for hospitalization were 'diarrhea and vomiting' [2.30 (2.02-2.62)] and 'feeling unwell' [1.60 (1.48-1.73)]. Low hospitalization risk was found for 'chest pain' [0.58 (0.53-0.63)] and `palpitations' [0.64 (0.58-0.71)].Conclusions Frequency of PCs in ED patients varies with age, but the same PCs occur in all age categories. For most PCs, (case-mix adjusted) hospitalization and mortality vary across age categories. 'Chest pain' and 'palpitations,' usually triaged 'very urgent', carry a low risk for hospitalization and mortality. European Journal of Emergency Medicine 29: 33-41 Copyright (c) 2021 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved. Show less
Candel, B.G.J.; Khoudja, J.; Gaakeer, M.I.; Avest, E. ter; Sir, O.; Lameijer, H.; ... ; Groot, B. de 2022
Appropriate interpretation of blood tests is important for risk stratification and guidelines used in the Emergency Department (ED) (such as SIRS or CURB-65). The impact of abnormal blood test... Show moreAppropriate interpretation of blood tests is important for risk stratification and guidelines used in the Emergency Department (ED) (such as SIRS or CURB-65). The impact of abnormal blood test values on mortality may change with increasing age due to (patho)-physiologic changes. The aim of this study was therefore to assess the effect of age on the case-mix adjusted association between biomarkers of renal function and homeostasis, inflammation and circulation and in-hospital mortality. This observational multi-center cohort study has used the Netherlands Emergency department Evaluation Database (NEED), including all consecutive ED patients >= 18 years of three hospitals. A generalized additive logistic regression model was used to visualize the association between in-hospital mortality, age and five blood tests (creatinine, sodium, leukocytes, C-reactive Protein, and hemoglobin). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to assess the association between the number of abnormal blood test values and mortality per age category (18-50; 51-65; 66-80; > 80 years). Of the 94,974 included patients, 2550 (2.7%) patients died in-hospital. Mortality increased gradually for C-reactive Protein (CRP), and had a U-shaped association for creatinine, sodium, leukocytes, and hemoglobin. Age significantly affected the associations of all studied blood tests except in leukocytes. In addition, with increasing age categories, case-mix adjusted mortality increased with the number of abnormal blood tests. In summary, the association between blood tests and (adjusted) mortality depends on age. Mortality increases gradually or in a U-shaped manner with increasing blood test values. Age-adjusted numerical scores may improve risk stratification. Our results have implications for interpretation of blood tests and their use in risk stratification tools and acute care guidelines. Show less
Candel, B.G.J.; Duijzer, R.; Gaakeer, M.I.; Avest, E. ter; Sir, O.; Lameijer, H.; ... ; Groot, B. de 2022
Background Appropriate interpretation of vital signs is essential for risk stratification in the emergency department (ED) but may change with advancing age. In several guidelines, risk scores such... Show moreBackground Appropriate interpretation of vital signs is essential for risk stratification in the emergency department (ED) but may change with advancing age. In several guidelines, risk scores such as the Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) and Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scores, commonly used in emergency medicine practice (as well as critical care) specify a single cut-off or threshold for each of the commonly measured vital signs. Although a single cut-off may be convenient, it is unknown whether a single cut-off for vital signs truly exists and if the association between vital signs and in-hospital mortality differs per age-category. Aims To assess the association between initial vital signs and case-mix adjusted in-hospital mortality in different age categories. Methods Observational multicentre cohort study using the Netherlands Emergency Department Evaluation Database (NEED) in which consecutive ED patients >= 18 years were included between 1 January 2017 and 12 January 2020. The association between vital signs and case-mix adjusted mortality were assessed in three age categories (18-65; 66-80; >80 years) using multivariable logistic regression. Vital signs were each divided into five to six categories, for example, systolic blood pressure (SBP) categories (<= 80, 81-100, 101-120, 121-140, >140 mm Hg). Results We included 101 416 patients of whom 2374 (2.3%) died. Adjusted ORs for mortality increased gradually with decreasing SBP and decreasing peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO(2)). Diastolic blood pressure (DBP), mean arterial pressure (MAP) and heart rate (HR) had quasi-U-shaped associations with mortality. Mortality did not increase for temperatures anywhere in the range between 35.5 degrees C and 42.0 degrees C, with a single cut-off around 35.5 degrees C below which mortality increased. Single cut-offs were also found for MAP 22/min. For all vital signs, older patients had larger increases in absolute mortality compared with younger patients. Conclusion For SBP, DBP, SpO(2) and HR, no single cut-off existed. The impact of changing vital sign categories on prognosis was larger in older patients. Our results have implications for the interpretation of vital signs in existing risk stratification tools and acute care guidelines. Show less
Candel, B.G.J.; Dap, S.; Raven, W.; Lameijer, H.; Gaakeer, M.I.; Jonge, E. de; Groot, B. de 2022
Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate whether sex differences exist in disease presentations, disease severity and (case-mix adjusted) outcomes in the Emergency Department (ED)... Show moreObjective: The aim of this study was to investigate whether sex differences exist in disease presentations, disease severity and (case-mix adjusted) outcomes in the Emergency Department (ED).Methods: Observational multicenter cohort study using the Netherlands Emergency Department Evaluation Database (NEED), including patients >= 18 years of three Dutch EDs. Multivariable logistic regression was used to study the associations between sex and outcome measures in-hospital mortality and Intensive Care Unit/Medium Care Unit (ICU/MCU) admission in ED patients and in subgroups triage categories and presenting complaints.Results: Of 148,825 patients, 72,554 (48.8%) were females. Patient characteristics at ED presentation and diagnoses (such as pneumonia, cerebral infarction, and fractures) were comparable between sexes at ED presentation. In-hospital mortality was 2.2% in males and 1.7% in females. ICU/MCU admission was 4.7% in males and 3.1% in females. Males had higher unadjusted (OR 1.34(1.25-1.45)) and adjusted (AOR 1.34(1.24-1.46)) risks for mortality, and unadjusted (OR 1.54(1.46-1.63)) and adjusted (AOR 1.46(1.37-1.56)) risks for ICU/MCU admission. Males had higher adjusted mortality and ICU/MCU admission for all triage categories, and with almost all presenting complaints except for headache.Conclusions: Although patient characteristics at ED presentation for both sexes are comparable, males are at higher unadjusted and adjusted risk for adverse outcomes. Males have higher risks in all triage categories and with almost all presenting complaints. Future studies should investigate reasons for higher risk in male ED patients. Show less
Candel, B.G.J.; Ingen, I.B. van; Doormalen, I.P.H. van; Raven, W.; Mignot-Evers, L.A.A.; Jonge, E. de; Groot, B. de 2021
Purpose To assess how often baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) could be retrieved from the Electronic Health Record (EHR) in older Emergency Department (ED) patients. Second, to assess whether... Show morePurpose To assess how often baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) could be retrieved from the Electronic Health Record (EHR) in older Emergency Department (ED) patients. Second, to assess whether the difference between baseline SBP and initial SBP in the ED (Delta SBP) was associated with 30-day mortality. Methods A multicenter hypothesis-generating cohort study including patients >= 70 years. EHRs were searched for baseline SBPs. The association between Delta SBP and 30-day mortality was investigated. Results Baseline SBP was found in 220 out of 300 patients (73.3%; 95%CI 68.1-78.0%). In 72 patients with normal initial SBPs (133-166 mmHg) in the ED, fifteen (20.8%) had a negative Delta SBP with 20.0% mortality. A negative Delta SBP was associated with 30-day mortality (AHR 4.7; 1.7-12.7). Conclusion Baseline SBPs are often available in older ED patients. The Delta SBP has prognostic value and could be used as an extra variable to recognize hypotension in older ED patients. Future studies should clarify whether the Delta SBP improves risk stratification in the ED.Key summary pointsAim To investigate whether a baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) in older Emergency Department (ED) patients of >= 70 years has prognostic value, when compared with the initial SBP at presentation in the ED (= Delta SBP). Findings A baseline SBP could be retrieved from the Electronic Health Record for most older ED patients (73.3%). A negative Delta SBP was associated with 30-day mortality. In 20% of the patients with a normal initial SBP in the ED, the Delta SBP was negative, with a high mortality rate. Message A baseline SBP value could be retrieved from the Electronic Health Record in most hospitalized ED patients >= 70 years. In addition, the 21% with a normal SBP at ED presentation had a negative Delta SBP and these patients had an increased risk for 30-day mortality. As a result, Delta SBP may contribute to improved risk stratification and may help to recognize hypotension in older patients. Show less
Luttikhuis, H.M.; Blomaard, L.C.; Kaaij, M.A.E. van der; Gombert-Handoko, K.B.; Groot, B. de; Mooijaart, S.P. 2021
Key summary pointsAim To investigate (a) the prevalence and clinical manifestations of Drug-Related Admissions (DRAs) and the drugs responsible for these admissions, (b) to study the association... Show moreKey summary pointsAim To investigate (a) the prevalence and clinical manifestations of Drug-Related Admissions (DRAs) and the drugs responsible for these admissions, (b) to study the association between geriatric characteristics and DRAs and c) to study the predictive performance of geriatric screening instrument for identifying DRAs in older patients presenting to the Emergency Department (ED). Findings DRAs are prevalent in older hospitalized patients. Polypharmacy, ADL dependency and a high ISAR or ISAR-HP score are associated with higher risk for a DRA, but the predictive value of geriatric screeners is insufficient and therefore they cannot be used alone to predict for Drug-Related Hospital Admissions in Emergency Department. Message Geriatric screening instruments are not specific and sensitive enough to use alone for identifying drug-related hospital admissions in older patients in the ED.Purpose Drug-Related Admissions (DRAs) are a well-known problem among older patients in the Emergency Department (ED). The aim of this study was (a) to investigate the prevalence and clinical manifestations of DRAs and the responsible drugs, (b) to study the association between geriatric characteristics and DRAs, and (c) to study the predictive performance of geriatric screeners for identifying DRAs in older ED patients. Methods Patients aged >= 70 hospitalized from the ED were included. Demographics, geriatric characteristics and medications were collected. The the Acutely Presenting Older Patient (APOP)-screener, the Identification of Seniors At Risk (ISAR) and the ISAR-Hospitalized Patients (ISAR-HP) were used as geriatric screeners. Potential DRAs were identified retrospectively, the association between geriatric screeners and DRAs was investigated with logistic regression and the predictive performance was assessed by calculating the Area under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operator Characteristics (ROC). Results The mean age of patients was 78 (IQR 73-83), using an average of 6 medications. Out of 240 admissions, 77 (30%) were classified as a DRA. Independent risk factors for DRAs were polypharmacy (OR 2.42; 95% CI 1.23-4.74) and the ADL dependency (OR 1.23; 95%CI 1.05-1.44). ISAR (OR 3.27; 95%CI 1.60-6.69) and ISAR-HP (OR 1.83; 95% CI 1.02-3.27) associated with increased risk of DRAs, whereas the APOP screener did not (OR 1.56; 95% CI 0.82-2.97). The predictive performance of all geriatric screeners for predicting DRAs was poor (AUC for all screeners < 0.60). Conclusion DRAs are highly prevalent in older ED patients. Polypharmacy, ADL dependency and a high ISAR or ISAR-HP are associated with higher risk for DRAs, but the predictive value of geriatric screeners is insufficient. Show less
Purpose Despite the rapidly expanding knowledge in the field of Geriatric Emergency Medicine in Europe, widespread implementation of change is still lacking. Many opportunities in everyday clinical... Show morePurpose Despite the rapidly expanding knowledge in the field of Geriatric Emergency Medicine in Europe, widespread implementation of change is still lacking. Many opportunities in everyday clinical care are missed to improve care for this susceptible and growing patient group. The aim was to develop expert clinical recommendations on Geriatric Emergency Medicine to be disseminated across Europe.Methods A group of multi-disciplinary experts in the field of Geriatric Emergency Medicine in Europe was assembled. Using a modified Delphi procedure, a prioritized list of topics related to Geriatric Emergency Medicine was created. Next, a multi-disciplinary group of nurses, geriatricians and emergency physicians performed a review of recent guidelines and literature to create recommendations. These recommendations were voted upon by a group of experts and placed on visually attractive posters. The expert group identified the following eight subject areas to develop expert recommendations on: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment in the Emergency Department (ED), age/frailty adjusted risk stratification, delirium and cognitive impairment, medication reviews in the ED for older adults, family involvement, ED environment, silver trauma, end of life care in the acute setting.Results Eight posters with expert clinical recommendations on the most important topics in Geriatric Emergency Medicine are now available through https://posters.geriemeurope.eu/.Conclusion Expert clinical recommendations for Geriatric Emergency Medicine may help to improve care for older patients in the Emergency Department and are ready for dissemination across Europe. Show less
Hond, A. de; Raven, W.; Kant, I.; Schinkelshoek, L.; Steyerberg, E.; Groot, B. de 2021
Purpose Older people often present to the Emergency Department with nonspecific complaints. We aimed (1) to examine characteristics of older patients presenting to the ED triaged with the... Show morePurpose Older people often present to the Emergency Department with nonspecific complaints. We aimed (1) to examine characteristics of older patients presenting to the ED triaged with the presentational flowchart 'unwell adult' of the Manchester triage system (MTS) and (2) to assess the different mortality and admission rates among triage categories. Methods Retrospective cohort study including all consecutive patients aged 70 years and older who visited the ED of a tertiary care hospital in the Netherlands during a 1-year period. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes were 7-day mortality, hospital admission and ED length of stay. Results 4255 patients were included in this study. Mean age was 78 years (IQR 73.9-83.4) and 2098 were male (49.3%). The MTS presentational flowchart 'unwell adult' was the most commonly used flowchart (n = 815, 19.3%). After the infrequent flowchart 'major trauma' (n = 9, 13.8%), 'unwell adult' had the highest 30-day mortality (n = 88, 10.8%). When compared to all other flowcharts, patients assigned as 'unwell adult' have significantly higher 30-day mortality rates (OR 1.89 (95%CI 1.46-2.46), p = < 0.001), also when adjusted for age, gender and triage priority (OR 1.75 (95%CI 1.32-2.31), p = < 0.001). Patients from the 'unwell adult' flowchart had the highest hospital admission rate (n = 540, 66.3%), and had among the longest ED length of stay. Conclusions Older ED patients are most commonly assigned the presentational flowchart 'unwell adult' when using the MTS. Patients in this category have the highest non-trauma mortality and highest hospital admission rates when compared to other presenting complaints.Key summary pointsAim Examine characteristics of older patients presenting to the ED triaged with the presentational flowchart 'unwell adult' of the Manchester triage system (MTS) and to assess the different mortality and admission rates among triage categories. Findings Older patients assigned to the 'unwell' flowchart have the highest non-trauma mortality rate, independent of urgency category, and highest admission rates of all presenting complaints. Surprisingly, mortality was also observed in the lowest triage categories. Message Patients in the category 'unwell' have the highest non-trauma 30-day mortality and highest hospital admission rates when compared to other presenting complaints, indicating that the nonspecific disease presentation "unwell" is a serious medical condition. Show less
Emergency Departments (EDs) are increasingly seeing more seriously unwell older people living with frailty. In the context of limited resources and increasing demand it's the ED practitioner's... Show moreEmergency Departments (EDs) are increasingly seeing more seriously unwell older people living with frailty. In the context of limited resources and increasing demand it's the ED practitioner's challenge to unpick this constellation of physical, psychological, functional and social issues. To properly assess older people living with frailty at the ED it is crucial to use an holistic approach. This consists of triage with algorithms sensitive to the higher risk of older people living with frailty, a frailty assessment, and an assessment with the help of the principles of Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment. Multi-disciplinary care, a tailor-made treatment plan, based on what the person values most, will help the ED practitioner to deliver appropriate and valuable care during the ED stay, but also in transition from hospital to home. Show less
Hond, A. de; Raven, W.; Schinkelshoek, L.; Gaakeer, M.; Avest, E. ter; Sir, O.; ... ; Groot, B. de 2021
Objective: Early identification of emergency department (ED) patients who need hospitalization is essential for quality of care and patient safety. We aimed to compare machine learning (ML) models... Show moreObjective: Early identification of emergency department (ED) patients who need hospitalization is essential for quality of care and patient safety. We aimed to compare machine learning (ML) models predicting the hospitalization of ED patients and conventional regression techniques at three points in time after ED registration.Methods: We analyzed consecutive ED patients of three hospitals using the Netherlands Emergency Department Evaluation Database (NEED). We developed prediction models for hospitalization using an increasing number of data available at triage, similar to 30 min (including vital signs) and similar to 2 h (including laboratory tests) after ED registration, using ML (random forest, gradient boosted decision trees, deep neural networks) and multivariable logistic regression analysis (including spline transformations for continuous predictors). Demographics, urgency, presenting complaints, disease severity and proxies for comorbidity, and complexity were used as covariates. We compared the performance using the area under the ROC curve in independent validation sets from each hospital.Results: We included 172,104 ED patients of whom 66,782 (39 %) were hospitalized. The AUC of the multi-variable logistic regression model was 0.82 (0.78-0.86) at triage, 0.84 (0.81-0.86) at similar to 30 min and 0.83 (0.75-0.92) after similar to 2 h. The best performing ML model over time was the gradient boosted decision trees model with an AUC of 0.84 (0.77-0.88) at triage, 0.86 (0.82-0.89) at similar to 30 min and 0.86 (0.74-0.93) after similar to 2 h.Conclusions: Our study showed that machine learning models had an excellent but similar predictive performance as the logistic regression model for predicting hospital admission. In comparison to the 30-min model, the 2-h model did not show a performance improvement. After further validation, these prediction models could support management decisions by real-time feedback to medical personal. Show less
Ghariq, M.; Bodegom-Vos, L. van; Brignole, M.; Peeters, S.Y.G.; Groot, B. de; Kaal, E.C.A.; ... ; SYNERGY Consortium 2021
Aims: Syncope care is often fragmented and inefficient. Structuring syncope care through implementation of guidelines and Syncope Units has been shown to improve diagnostic yield, reduce costs and... Show moreAims: Syncope care is often fragmented and inefficient. Structuring syncope care through implementation of guidelines and Syncope Units has been shown to improve diagnostic yield, reduce costs and improve quality of life. We implemented the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 2018 syncope guidelines at the Emergency Departments (ED) and established Syncope Units in five Dutch hospitals. We evaluated the implementation process by identifying factors that hinder ('barriers') and facilitate ('facilitators') the implementation.Methods and results: We conducted, recorded and transcribed semi-structured interviews with 19 specialists and residents involved in syncope care from neurology, cardiology, internal medicine and emergency medicine. Two researchers independently classified the reported barriers and facilitators, according to the framework of qualitative research (Flottorp), which distinguished several separate fields ('levels'). Software package Atlas.ti was used for analysis.We identified 31 barriers and 22 facilitators. Most barriers occurred on the level of the individual health care professional (e.g. inexperienced residents having to work with the guideline at the ED) and the organizational context (e.g. specialists not relinquishing preceding procedures). Participants reported most facilitators at the level of innovation (e.g. structured work -flow at the ED). The multidisciplinary Syncope Unit was welcomed as useful solution to a perceived need in clinical practice.Conclusion: Implementing ESC syncope guidelines at the ED and establishing Syncope Units facilitated a structured multidisciplinary work-up for syncope patients. Most identified barriers related to the individual health care professional and the organizational context. Future implementation of the multidisciplinary guideline should be tailored to address these barriers.(c) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Show less
BackgroundDuring the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic older patients had an increased risk of hospitalisation and death. Reports on the association of frailty with poor outcome have been... Show moreBackgroundDuring the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic older patients had an increased risk of hospitalisation and death. Reports on the association of frailty with poor outcome have been conflicting.ObjectiveThe aim of the present study was to investigate the independent association between frailty and in-hospital mortality in older hospitalised COVID-19 patients in the Netherlands.MethodsThis was a multi-centre retrospective cohort study in 15 hospitals in the Netherlands, including all patients aged ≥70 years, who were hospitalised with clinically confirmed COVID-19 between February and May 2020. Data were collected on demographics, co-morbidity, disease severity and Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS). Primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.ResultsA total of 1,376 patients were included (median age 78 years (IQR 74-84), 60% male). In total, 499 (38%) patients died during hospital admission. Parameters indicating presence of frailty (CFS 6-9) were associated with more co-morbidities, shorter symptom duration upon presentation (median 4 vs. 7 days), lower oxygen demand and lower levels of CRP. In multivariable analyses, the CFS was independently associated with in-hospital mortality: compared to patients with CFS 1-3, patients with CFS 4-5 had a two times higher risk (odds ratio (OR) 2.0 (95%CI 1.3-3.0) and patients with CFS 6-9 had a three times higher risk of in-hospital mortality (OR 2.8 (95%CI 1.8-4.3)).ConclusionsThe in-hospital mortality of older hospitalised COVID-19 patients in the Netherlands was 38%. Frailty was independently associated with higher in-hospital mortality, even though COVID-19 patients with frailty presented earlier to the hospital with less severe symptoms. Show less
