AimsTakotsubo syndrome (TTS) is associated with a substantial rate of adverse events. We sought to design a machine learning (ML)-based model to predict the risk of in-hospital death and to perform... Show moreAimsTakotsubo syndrome (TTS) is associated with a substantial rate of adverse events. We sought to design a machine learning (ML)-based model to predict the risk of in-hospital death and to perform a clustering of TTS patients to identify different risk profiles.Methods and resultsA ridge logistic regression-based ML model for predicting in-hospital death was developed on 3482 TTS patients from the International Takotsubo (InterTAK) Registry, randomly split in a train and an internal validation cohort (75% and 25% of the sample size, respectively) and evaluated in an external validation cohort (1037 patients). Thirty-one clinically relevant variables were included in the prediction model. Model performance represented the primary endpoint and was assessed according to area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity. As secondary endpoint, a K-medoids clustering algorithm was designed to stratify patients into phenotypic groups based on the 10 most relevant features emerging from the main model. The overall incidence of in-hospital death was 5.2%. The InterTAK-ML model showed an AUC of 0.89 (0.85–0.92), a sensitivity of 0.85 (0.78–0.95) and a specificity of 0.76 (0.74–0.79) in the internal validation cohort and an AUC of 0.82 (0.73–0.91), a sensitivity of 0.74 (0.61–0.87) and a specificity of 0.79 (0.77–0.81) in the external cohort for in-hospital death prediction. By exploiting the 10 variables showing the highest feature importance, TTS patients were clustered into six groups associated with different risks of in-hospital death (28.8% vs. 15.5% vs. 5.4% vs. 1.0.8% vs. 0.5%) which were consistent also in the external cohort.ConclusionA ML-based approach for the identification of TTS patients at risk of adverse short-term prognosis is feasible and effective. The InterTAK-ML model showed unprecedented discriminative capability for the prediction of in-hospital death. Show less
Grehn, M.; Mandija, S.; Miszczyk, M.; Krug, D.; Tomasik, B.; Stickney, K.E.; ... ; Verhoeff, J.J.C. 2023
The EU Horizon 2020 Framework-funded Standardized Treatment and Outcome Platform for Stereotactic Therapy Of Re-entrant tachycardia by a Multidisciplinary (STOPSTORM) consortium has been... Show moreThe EU Horizon 2020 Framework-funded Standardized Treatment and Outcome Platform for Stereotactic Therapy Of Re-entrant tachycardia by a Multidisciplinary (STOPSTORM) consortium has been established as a large research network for investigating STereotactic Arrhythmia Radioablation (STAR) for ventricular tachycardia (VT). The aim is to provide a pooled treatment database to evaluate patterns of practice and outcomes of STAR and finally to harmonize STAR within Europe. The consortium comprises 31 clinical and research institutions. The project is divided into nine work packages (WPs): (i) observational cohort; (ii) standardization and harmonization of target delineation; (iii) harmonized prospective cohort; (iv) quality assurance (QA); (v) analysis and evaluation; (vi, ix) ethics and regulations; and (vii, viii) project coordination and dissemination. To provide a review of current clinical STAR practice in Europe, a comprehensive questionnaire was performed at project start. The STOPSTORM Institutions’ experience in VT catheter ablation (83% ≥ 20 ann.) and stereotactic body radiotherapy (59% > 200 ann.) was adequate, and 84 STAR treatments were performed until project launch, while 8/22 centres already recruited VT patients in national clinical trials. The majority currently base their target definition on mapping during VT (96%) and/or pace mapping (75%), reduced voltage areas (63%), or late ventricular potentials (75%) during sinus rhythm. The majority currently apply a single-fraction dose of 25 Gy while planning techniques and dose prescription methods vary greatly. The current clinical STAR practice in the STOPSTORM consortium highlights potential areas of optimization and harmonization for substrate mapping, target delineation, motion management, dosimetry, and QA, which will be addressed in the various WPs. Show less
Fortuni, F.; Dietz, M.F.; Prihadi, E.A.; Bijl, P. van der; Ferrari, G.M. de; Bax, J.J.; ... ; Marsan, N.A. 2021
Background: Conventional approaches for the assessment of secondary tricuspid regurgitation (STR) severity do not correct for right heart dimensions. The authors hypothesized that STR severity can... Show moreBackground: Conventional approaches for the assessment of secondary tricuspid regurgitation (STR) severity do not correct for right heart dimensions. The authors hypothesized that STR severity can be proportional or disproportional to the dilation of the tricuspid annulus (TA) and investigated the prognostic impact of this novel definition. Methods: A total of 334 patients with moderate to severe STR and preserved left ventricular systolic function were included. The ratio between vena contracta (VC) width and tricuspid annular diameter was calculated. The cutoff value for VC/TA ratio associated with increased risk for all-cause death was identified using spline-curve analysis. Results: The cutoff value of VC/TA ratio associated with a mortality excess was 0.24, and 165 patients (49%) had VC/TA ratios >_ 0.24. Compared with those with VC/TA ratios < 0.24, patients with VC/TA ratios >_ 0.24 had a higher prevalence of moderate to severe mitral regurgitation, had higher pulmonary pressures, and were more frequently treated with diuretics. During a median follow-up period of 62 months (interquartile range, 28-101 months), 128 patients (38%) died. The cumulative 5-year survival rate was significantly worse in patients with VC/TA ratios >_ 0.24 (55% vs 71%, P = .001). VC/TA ratio >_ 0.24 was independently associated with poor outcomes on multivariate analysis (hazard ratio, 1.567; 95% CI, 1.044-2.352; P = .030) together with coronary artery disease, renal impairment, right ventricular systolic function (evaluated using either tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion or right ventricular free wall strain), and pulmonary pressures. Conclusions: VC/TA ratio >_ 0.24 is independently associated with poor prognosis in patients with STR. This parameter may be considered as a marker of disproportionate STR and could improve risk stratification and clinical decision-making. (J Am Soc Echocardiogr 2021;34:944-54.) Show less
Fortuni, F.; Butcher, S.C.; Dietz, M.F.; Bijl, P. van der; Prihadi, E.A.; Ferrari, G.M. de; ... ; Delgado, V. 2021
Chronic pressure-overload induces right ventricular (RV) adaptation to maintain RV -pulmonary arterial (PA) coupling. RV remodeling is frequently associated with secondary tricuspid regurgitation ... Show moreChronic pressure-overload induces right ventricular (RV) adaptation to maintain RV -pulmonary arterial (PA) coupling. RV remodeling is frequently associated with secondary tricuspid regurgitation (TR) which may accelerate uncoupling. Our aim is to determine whether the non-invasive analysis of RV-PA coupling could improve risk stratification in patients with secondary TR. A total of 1,149 patients (median age 72[IQR, 63 to 79] years, 51% men) with moderate or severe secondary TR were included. RV-PA coupling was estimated using the ratio between two standard echocardiographic measurements: tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP). The risk of all-cause mortality across different values of TAPSE/PASP was analyzed with a spline analysis. The cut-off value of TAPSE/PASP to identify RV-PA uncoupling was based on the spline curve analysis. At the time of significant secondary TR diagnosis the median TAPSE/PASP was 0.35 (IQR, 0.25 to 0.49) mm/mm Hg. A total of 470 patients (41%) demonstrated RV-PA uncoupling (< 0.31 mm/mm Hg). Patients with RV-PA uncoupling presented more frequently with heart failure symptoms had larger RV and left ventricular dimensions, and more severe TR compared to those with RV-PA coupling. During a median follow-up of 51 (IQR, 17 to 86) months, 586 patients (51%) died. The cumulative 5-year survival rate was lower in patients with RV-PA uncoupling compared to their counterparts (37% vs 64%, p < 0.001). After correcting for potential confounders, RV-PA uncoupling was the only echocardiographic parameter independently associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.462; 95% CI 1.192 to 1.793; p < 0.001). In conclusion, RV-PA uncoupling in patients with secondary TR is independently associated with poor prognosis and may improve risk stratification. (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. Show less
Aims Permanent pacemaker implantation (PPI) may be required after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Evidence on PPI prediction has largely been gathered from high-risk patients... Show moreAims Permanent pacemaker implantation (PPI) may be required after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Evidence on PPI prediction has largely been gathered from high-risk patients receiving first-generation valve implants. We undertook a meta-analysis of the existing literature to examine the incidence and predictors of PPI after TAVI according to generation of valve, valve type, and surgical risk.Methods and results We made a systematic literature search for studies with >= 100 patients reporting the incidence and adjusted predictors of PPI after TAVI. Subgroup analyses examined these features according to generation of valve, specific valve type, and surgical risk. We obtained data from 43 studies, encompassing 29 113 patients. Permanent pacemaker implantation rates ranged from 6.7% to 39.2% in individual studies with a pooled incidence of 19% (95% CI 16-21). Independent predictors for PPI were age [odds ratio (OR) 1.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.09], left bundle branch block (LBBB) (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.12-1.77), right bundle branch block (RBBB) (OR 4.15, 95% CI 3.23-4.88), implantation depth (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.11-1.26), and self-expanding valve prosthesis (OR 2.99, 95% CI 1.39-4.59). Among subgroups analysed according to valve type, valve generation and surgical risk, independent predictors were RBBB, self-expanding valve type, first-degree atrioventricular block, and implantation depth.Conclusions The principle independent predictors for PPI following TAVI are age, RBBB, LBBB, self-expanding valve type, and valve implantation depth. These characteristics should be taken into account in pre-procedural assessment to reduce PPI rates. Show less
Post-acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients are at very high risk for recurrent events and mortality, despite the availability of effective pharmacological approaches. In 2018, the ACS EuroPath... Show morePost-acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients are at very high risk for recurrent events and mortality, despite the availability of effective pharmacological approaches. In 2018, the ACS EuroPath Survey, performed in collaboration with 555 European cardiologists, identified a sub-optimal LDL-C management in post-ACS patients.Based on these premises, the ACS EuroPath II project led to the development of a self-assessment tool to improve lipid management in these very high risk patients, taking into consideration the new 2019 ESC/EAS guidelines. This tool is built in 3 sections. The first is a questionnaire to assess the lipid management practice from the acute phase up to 12 months of follow-up. The main topics covered in this section relate to 1) acute phase (lipid management of ACS patients during hospitalization; 2) discharge (lipid management at discharge, with focus on follow-up plan); 3) follow-up (lipid management at the time of first and subsequent follow-ups); 4) referral pathway for definitive lipid management care of post-ACS patients; 5) evaluation of the achieved goal at 6 months to 1 year and key implications. The second section is a brief report to position the results against other European Union clinical practice and European guidelines. The last section allows the physician to evaluate and consider the implementation of one or more strategies, successfully developed in leading European centers, in order to optimize their own clinical practice.(c) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). Show less
Fortuni, F.; Dietz, M.F.; Prihadi, E.A.; Bijl, P. van der; Ferrari, G.M. de; Knuuti, J.; ... ; Marsan, N.A. 2020
OBJECTIVES A novel tricuspid regurgitation (TR) grading system, using vena contracta (VC) width and effective regurgitant orifice area (EROA), was proposed and validated based on its prognostic... Show moreOBJECTIVES A novel tricuspid regurgitation (TR) grading system, using vena contracta (VC) width and effective regurgitant orifice area (EROA), was proposed and validated based on its prognostic usefulness.BACKGROUND The clinical need of a new grading system for TR has recently been emphasized to depict the whole spectrum of TR severity, particularly beyond severe TR (massive or torrential).METHODS TR severity was characterized in 1,129 patients with moderate or severe secondary TR (STR). Recently proposed cutoff values of VC width were more effective in differentiating the prognosis of patients with moderate STR, whereas EROA cutoff values performed better in characterizing the risk of patients with more severe STR. Therefore, these 2 parameters were combined into a novel grading system to define moderate (VC <7 mm), severe (VC >= 7 mm and EROA <80 mm(2)), and torrential (VC >= 7 mm and EROA >= 80 mm(2)) STR.RESULTS A total of 143 patients (13%) showed moderate STR, whereas 536 patients (47%) had severe STR, and 450 (40%) had torrential STR. Patients with torrential STR had larger right ventricular (RV) dimensions, lower RV systolic function, and were more likely to receive diuretics. The cumulative 10-year survival rate was 53% for moderate, 45% for severe, and 35% for torrential STR (p = 0.007). After adjusting for potential confounders, torrential STR retained an association with worse prognosis compared with other STR grades (hazard ratio: 1.245; 95% confidence interval: 1.023 to 1.516; p = 0.029).CONCLUSIONS A novel STR grading system was able to capture the whole range of STR severity and identified patients with torrential STR who were characterized by a worse prognosis. (C) 2021 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation. Show less
D'Ascenzo, F.; Gili, S.; Bertaina, M.; Iannaccone, M.; Cammann, V.L.; Vece, D. di; ... ; Templin, C. 2020
AimsThe aim of the present study was to investigate the impact of aspirin on prognosis in takotsubo syndrome (TTS).Methods and resultsPatients from the International Takotsubo (InterTAK) Registry... Show moreAimsThe aim of the present study was to investigate the impact of aspirin on prognosis in takotsubo syndrome (TTS).Methods and resultsPatients from the International Takotsubo (InterTAK) Registry were categorized into two groups based on aspirin prescription at discharge. A comparison of clinical outcomes between groups was performed using an adjusted analysis with propensity score (PS) stratification; results from the unadjusted analysis were also reported to note the effect of the PS adjustment. Major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE: a composite of death, myocardial infarction, TTS recurrence, stroke or transient ischaemic attack) were assessed at 30-day and 5-year follow-up. A total of 1533 TTS patients with known status regarding aspirin prescription at discharge were included. According to the adjusted analysis based on PS stratification, aspirin was not associated with a lower hazard of MACCE at 30-day [hazard ratio (HR) 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.50-3.04, P = 0.64] or 5-year follow-up (HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.78-1.58, P = 0.58). These results were confirmed by sensitivity analyses performed with alternative PS-based methods, i.e. covariate adjustment and inverse probability of treatment weighting.ConclusionIn the present study, no association was found between aspirin use in TTS patients and a reduced risk of MACCE at 30-day and 5-year follow-up. These findings should be confirmed in adequately powered randomized controlled trials.Identifier: NCT01947621. Show less
