BackgroundDual anti-HER2-targeted therapy in breast cancer (BC) significantly increased the rate of pathological complete response (pCR) compared to single blockade when added to chemotherapy.... Show moreBackgroundDual anti-HER2-targeted therapy in breast cancer (BC) significantly increased the rate of pathological complete response (pCR) compared to single blockade when added to chemotherapy. However, limited data exist on the long-term impact on survival of the additional increase in pCR.MethodsNeoadjuvant lapatinib and/or trastuzumab treatment optimisation (NCT00553358) is an international, randomised, open-label, phase III study investigating the addition of lapatinib to chemotherapy plus trastuzumab in HER2-positive early BC. Ten-year event-free survival (EFS), overall survival (OS) and safety were assessed on intention-to-treat population. The association between pCR and EFS or OS was investigated in landmark population.ResultsA total of 455 patients were randomised to receive lapatinib (154), trastuzumab (149) or the combination (152). Ten-year EFS estimates were 63% (95% confidence interval [CI], 54%–71%) in the lapatinib group, 64% (95% CI, 55%–72%) in the trastuzumab group and 67% (95% CI, 58%–74%) in the combination group. Ten-year OS rates were 76% (95% CI, 67%–83%), 75% (95% CI, 66%–82%) and 80% (95% CI, 73%–86%) in the lapatinib, trastuzumab and combination groups, respectively. Women who achieved a pCR had improved EFS (hazard ratio 0.48, 95% CI, 0.31–0.73) and OS (hazard ratio 0.37, 95% CI, 0.20–0.63) compared with those who did not. The numerical difference in survival according to pCR status was greater in women treated with the combination and those with hormone-receptor-negative tumours. There were no new or long-term safety concerns.ConclusionsPatients with HER2-positive BC showed a durable survival benefit of neoadjuvant anti-HER2, irrespective of treatment arm. Patients who achieve pCR have significantly better outcomes than patients without pCR. Show less
The prognostic performance of PREDICT in patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer (EBC) treated in the modern era with effective chemotherapy and anti-HER2 targeted therapies is unclear.... Show moreThe prognostic performance of PREDICT in patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer (EBC) treated in the modern era with effective chemotherapy and anti-HER2 targeted therapies is unclear. Therefore, we investigated its prognostic performance using data extracted from ALTTO, a phase III trial evaluating adjuvant lapatinib +/- trastuzumab vs. trastuzumab alone in patients with HER2-positive EBC. Our analysis included 2794 patients. After a median follow-up of 6.0 years (IQR, 5.8-6.7), 182 deaths were observed. Overall, PREDICT underestimated 5-year OS by 6.7% (95% CI, 5.8-7.6): observed 5-year OS was 94.7% vs. predicted 88.0%. The underestimation was consistent across all subgroups, including those according to the type of anti HER2-therapy. The highest absolute differences were observed for patients with hormone receptor negative-disease, nodal involvement, and large tumor size (13.0%, 15.8%, and 15.3%, respectively). AUC under the ROC curve was 73.7% (95% CI 69.7-77.8) in the overall population, ranging between 61.7% and 77.7% across the analyzed subgroups. In conclusion, our analysis showed that PREDICT highly underestimated OS in HER2-positive EBC. Hence, it should be used with caution to give prognostic estimation to HER2-positive EBC patients treated in the modern era with effective chemotherapy and anti-HER2 targeted therapies. Show less
