Background: Young-onset rectal cancer, in patients less than 50 years, is expected to increase in the coming years. A watch-and-wait strategy is nowadays increasingly practised in patients with a... Show moreBackground: Young-onset rectal cancer, in patients less than 50 years, is expected to increase in the coming years. A watch-and-wait strategy is nowadays increasingly practised in patients with a clinical complete response (cCR) after neoadjuvant treatment. Nevertheless, there may be reluctance to offer organ preservation treatment to young patients owing to a potentially higher oncological risk. This study compared patients aged less than 50 years with those aged 50 years or more to identify possible differences in oncological outcomes of watch and wait.Methods: The study analysed data from patients with a cCR after neoadjuvant therapy in whom surgery was omitted, registered in the retrospective-prospective, multicentre International Watch & Wait Database (IWWD).Results: In the IWWD, 1552 patients met the inclusion criteria, of whom 199 (12.8 per cent) were aged less than 50 years. Patients younger than 50 years had a higher T category of disease at diagnosis (P = 0.011). The disease-specific survival rate at 3 years was 98 (95 per cent c.i. 93 to 99) per cent in this group, compared with 97 (95 to 98) per cent in patients aged over 50 years (hazard ratio (HR) 1.67, 95 per cent c.i. 0.76 to 3.64; P = 0.199). The cumulative probability of local regrowth at 3 years was 24 (95 per cent c.i. 18 to 31) per cent in patients less than 50 years and 26 (23 to 29) per cent among those aged 50 years or more (HR 1.09, 0.79 to 1.49; P = 0.603). Both groups had a cumulative probability of distant metastases of 10 per cent at 3 years (HR 1.00, 0.62 to 1.62; P = 0.998).Conclusion: There is no additional oncological risk in young patients compared with their older counterparts when following a watch-and-wait strategy after a cCR. In light of a shared decision-making process, watch and wait should be also be discussed with young patients who have a cCR after neoadjuvant treatment. Show less
Background Young-onset rectal cancer, in patients less than 50 years, is expected to increase in the coming years. A watch-and-wait strategy is nowadays increasingly practised in patients with a... Show moreBackground Young-onset rectal cancer, in patients less than 50 years, is expected to increase in the coming years. A watch-and-wait strategy is nowadays increasingly practised in patients with a clinical complete response (cCR) after neoadjuvant treatment. Nevertheless, there may be reluctance to offer organ preservation treatment to young patients owing to a potentially higher oncological risk. This study compared patients aged less than 50 years with those aged 50 years or more to identify possible differences in oncological outcomes of watch and wait. Methods The study analysed data from patients with a cCR after neoadjuvant therapy in whom surgery was omitted, registered in the retrospective-prospective, multicentre International Watch & Wait Database (IWWD). Results In the IWWD, 1552 patients met the inclusion criteria, of whom 199 (12.8 per cent) were aged less than 50 years. Patients younger than 50 years had a higher T category of disease at diagnosis (P = 0.011). The disease-specific survival rate at 3 years was 98 (95 per cent c.i. 93 to 99) per cent in this group, compared with 97 (95 to 98) per cent in patients aged over 50 years (hazard ratio (HR) 1.67, 95 per cent c.i. 0.76 to 3.64; P = 0.199). The cumulative probability of local regrowth at 3 years was 24 (95 per cent c.i. 18 to 31) per cent in patients less than 50 years and 26 (23 to 29) per cent among those aged 50 years or more (HR 1.09, 0.79 to 1.49; P = 0.603). Both groups had a cumulative probability of distant metastases of 10 per cent at 3 years (HR 1.00, 0.62 to 1.62; P = 0.998). Conclusion There is no additional oncological risk in young patients compared with their older counterparts when following a watch-and-wait strategy after a cCR. In light of a shared decision-making process, watch and wait should be also be discussed with young patients who have a cCR after neoadjuvant treatment.Data from the International Watch and Wait Database have been analysed. There is no additional oncological risk in patients younger than 50 years compared with their older counterparts when following watch and wait after the achievement of a clinical complete response following neoadjuvant treatment for rectal cancer. Show less
When comparing hospitals on their readmission rates as currently done in the Hospital Readmission and Reduction Program (HRRP) in the USA, should we include the competing risk of mortality after... Show moreWhen comparing hospitals on their readmission rates as currently done in the Hospital Readmission and Reduction Program (HRRP) in the USA, should we include the competing risk of mortality after discharge, which precludes the readmission, in the analysis? Not including competing risks in current HRRP metrics was raised recently as a limitation with possible unintended consequences, as financial penalties for higher readmission rates are more severe than for higher mortality rates. Incorrectly including or ignoring competing risks can both induce bias. In this paper, we present a framework to clarify situations when competing risks should be taken into account and when they should not. We argue that the research question and the perspective from which it is asked determine whether the competing risk is also of interest and should be included in the analysis, or if only the event of interest should be considered. This information is often not explicitly reported but is needed to interpret whether the results are valid. Using the examples of readmissions and cancer, we show how different research questions fit different perspectives from which these are asked (patient, system, regulatory/insurance). Slightly changing the research question or perspective may thus change the analysis. Even though some may argue that any introduced bias is likely to be small, in the context of the HRRP, even small changes may mean that a hospital will face (higher) financial penalties. The impact of getting it wrong matters. Show less
Hulst, H.C. van der; Bastiaannet, E.; Portielje, J.E.A.; Bol, J.M. van der; Dekker, J.W.T. 2021
Introduction: Frail patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) are at increased risk of complications after surgery. Prehabilitation seems promising to improve this outcome and therefore we evaluated... Show moreIntroduction: Frail patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) are at increased risk of complications after surgery. Prehabilitation seems promising to improve this outcome and therefore we evaluated the effect of physical prehabilitation on postoperative complications in a retrospective cohort of frail CRC patients. Methods: The study consisted of all consecutive non-metastatic CRC patients >70 years who had elective surgery from 2014 to 2019 in a teaching hospital in the Netherlands, where a physical prehabilitation program was implemented from 2014 on. We performed both an intention-to-treat and per protocol analysis to evaluate postoperative complications in the physical prehabilitation (PhP) and non-prehabilitation (NP) group. Results: Eventually, 334 elective patients were included. The 124 (37.1%) patients in the PhP-group presented with higher age, higher comorbidity scores and walking-aid use compared to the NP-group. Medical complications occurred in 26.6% of the PhP-group and in 20.5% of the NP-group (p = 0.20) and surgical complications in 19.4% and 14.3% (p = 0.22) respectively. In all frailty subgroups, the medical complications were lower in the PhP-group compared to the NP-group (35.9% vs. 45.5% for patients with >2 comorbidities, 36.2% vs. 39.1% for ASA score > III, 29.2% vs. 45.8% for walking-aid use). Differences were not significant. Conclusions: In this study, patients selected for physical prehabilitation had a worse frailty profile and therefore a higher a priori risk of postoperative complications. However, the postoperative complication rate was not increased compared to patients who were less frail at baseline and without prehabilitation. Hence, physical prehabilitation may prevent postoperative complications in frail CRC patients >70 years. (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd, BASO -The Association for Cancer Surgery, and the European Society of Surgical Oncology. All rights reserved. Show less
Plas-Krijgsman, W.G. van der; Giardiello, D.; Putter, H.; Steyerberg, E.W.; Bastiaannet, E.; Stiggelbout, A.M.; ... ; Glas, N.A. de 2021
Background Current prediction tools for breast cancer outcomes are not tailored to the older patient, in whom competing risk strongly influences treatment effects. We aimed to develop and validate... Show moreBackground Current prediction tools for breast cancer outcomes are not tailored to the older patient, in whom competing risk strongly influences treatment effects. We aimed to develop and validate a prediction tool for 5-year recurrence, overall mortality, and other-cause mortality for older patients (aged >= 65 years) with early invasive breast cancer and to estimate individualised expected benefits of adjuvant systemic treatment.Methods We selected surgically treated patients with early invasive breast cancer (stage I-III) aged 65 years or older from the population-based FOCUS cohort in the Netherlands. We developed prediction models for 5-year recurrence, overall mortality, and other-cause mortality using cause-specific Cox proportional hazard models. External validation was performed in a Dutch Cancer registry cohort. Performance was evaluated with discrimination accuracy and calibration plots.Findings We included 2744 female patients in the development cohort and 13631 female patients in the validation cohort. Median age was 74.8 years (range 65-98) in the development cohort and 76.0 years (70-101) in the validation cohort. 5-year follow-up was complete for more than 99% of all patients. We observed 343 and 1462 recurrences, and 831 and 3594 deaths, of which 586 and 2565 were without recurrence, in the development and validation cohort, respectively. The area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve at 5 years in the external dataset was 0.76 (95% CI 0.75-0.76) for overall mortality, 0.76 (0.76-0.77) for recurrence, and 0.75 (0.74-0.75) for other-cause mortality.Interpretation The PORTRET tool can accurately predict 5-year recurrence, overall mortality, and other-cause mortality in older patients with breast cancer. The tool can support shared decision making, especially since it provides individualised estimated benefits of adjuvant treatment. Copyright (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. Show less
Background Long-term use of statins is associated with a small reduced risk of colorectal cancer but their mechanism of action is not well understood. While they are generally believed to act on... Show moreBackground Long-term use of statins is associated with a small reduced risk of colorectal cancer but their mechanism of action is not well understood. While they are generally believed to act on KRAS, we have previously proposed that they act via influencing the BMP pathway. The objective of this study was to look for associations between statin use and the risk of developing colorectal cancer of a particular molecular subtype. Methods By linking two registries unique to the Netherlands, 69,272 statin users and 94,753 controls were identified and, if they developed colorectal cancer, their specimens traced. Colorectal cancers were molecularly subtyped according to the expression of SMAD4 and the mutation status of KRAS and BRAF. Results Statin use was associated with a reduction in the risk of developing colorectal cancer regardless of molecular subtype (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.66-0.89) and a larger reduction in the risk of developing SMAD4-positive colorectal cancer (OR 0.64; 95% CI 0.42-0.82). There was no relationship between statin use and the risk of developing colorectal cancer with a mutation in KRAS and/or BRAF. Conclusions Statin use is associated with a reduced risk of developing colorectal cancer with intact SMAD4 expression. Show less
Background: The incidence of metastatic melanoma is increasing in all ages. Multiple trials with targeted drugs and immune checkpoint inhibitors showed improved survival in metastatic melanoma.... Show moreBackground: The incidence of metastatic melanoma is increasing in all ages. Multiple trials with targeted drugs and immune checkpoint inhibitors showed improved survival in metastatic melanoma. However, patients aged >_75 years are often under-represented in clinical trials, therefore raising questions on safety and efficacy of treatment. Patients and methods: We analyzed a real-world cohort of 3054 patients with metastatic melanoma stratified for age (<_65 years, 66-74 years and >_ 75 years), and BRAF status, providing data on treatment strategies, toxicity, and survival. Kaplan Meier curves and Cox Proportional Hazard Models were used to present overall survival (OS) and Melanoma Specific Survival (MSS). Results: Overall, 52.2% of patients were <_ 65 years and 18.4% of patients >_75 years. BRAF mutated tumors were found less often in patients >_75 years: 34.5% versus 65% in patients <_65 years. Patients >_75 years received systemic therapy less frequently compared to their younger counterparts independent of the BRAF status. When receiving treatment, no statistical significant difference in grade 3 or 4 toxicity was observed. Three year Overall Survival rate was 13.7% (9.1-19.3) in patients >_75 years versus 26.7% (23.1-30.4) in patients <_65 years, with a Hazard Ratio (HR) of 1.71 (95%CI 1.50-1.95), p < 0.001. Three year Melanoma Specific Survival was 30.4% (22.0-39.2) versus 34.0% (29.7-38.2), HR 1.26 (95% CI 1.07-1.49), p = 0.005 with an adjusted HR of 1.21 (1.00-1.47), p = 0.049 Conclusion: Patients with metastatic melanoma >_75 years are less frequently treated, but when treated there is no statistical significant increase in toxicity and only a borderline statistical significant difference in Melanoma Specific Survival was seen, compared to younger patients. (c) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Show less
Mohammadi, M.; IJzerman, N.S.; Hohenberger, P.; Rutkowski, P.; Jones, R.L.; Martin-Broto, J.; ... ; Schrage, Y. 2021
Background: Oesophageal gastrointestinal stromal tumours (GISTs) account for <= 1% of all GISTs. Consequently, evidence to guide clinical decision-making is limited.Methods: Clinicopathological... Show moreBackground: Oesophageal gastrointestinal stromal tumours (GISTs) account for <= 1% of all GISTs. Consequently, evidence to guide clinical decision-making is limited.Methods: Clinicopathological features and outcomes in patients with primary oesophageal GIST from seven European countries were collected retrospectively.Results: Eighty-three patients were identified, and median follow up was 55.0 months. At diagnosis, 59.0% had localized disease, 25.3% locally advanced and 13.3% synchronous metastasis. A biopsy (Fine Needle aspiration n = 29, histological biopsy n = 31) was performed in 60 (72.3%) patients. The mitotic count was low (<5 mitoses/50 High Power Fields (HPF)) in 24 patients and high (>= 5 mitoses/50 HPF) in 27 patients. Fifty-one (61.4%) patients underwent surgical or endoscopic resection. The most common reasons to not perform an immediate resection (n = 31) were; unresectable or metastasized GIST, performance status/comorbidity, patient refusal or ongoing neo-adjuvant therapy. The type of resections were enucleation (n = 11), segmental resection (n = 6) and oesophagectomy with gastric conduit reconstruction (n = 33), with median tumour size of 3.3 cm, 4.5 cm and 7.7 cm, respectively. In patients treated with enucleation 18.2% developed recurrent disease. The recurrence rate in patients treated with segmental resection was 16.7% and in patients undergoing oesophagectomy with gastric conduit reconstruction 36.4%. Larger tumours (>= 4.0 cm) and high (>5/5hpf) mitotic count were associated with worse disease free survival.Conclusion: Based on the current study, enucleation can be recommended for oesophageal GIST smaller than 4 cm, while oesophagectomy should be preserved for larger tumours. Patients with larger tumours (>4 cm) and/or high mitotic count should be treated with adjuvant therapy. (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. Show less
Mohammadi, M.; IJzerman, N.S.; Hohenberger, P.; Rutkowski, P.; Jones, R.L.; Martin-Broto, J.; ... ; Schrage, Y. 2021
Background: Oesophageal gastrointestinal stromal tumours (GISTs) account for <= 1% of all GISTs. Consequently, evidence to guide clinical decision-making is limited.Methods: Clinicopathological... Show moreBackground: Oesophageal gastrointestinal stromal tumours (GISTs) account for <= 1% of all GISTs. Consequently, evidence to guide clinical decision-making is limited.Methods: Clinicopathological features and outcomes in patients with primary oesophageal GIST from seven European countries were collected retrospectively.Results: Eighty-three patients were identified, and median follow up was 55.0 months. At diagnosis, 59.0% had localized disease, 25.3% locally advanced and 13.3% synchronous metastasis. A biopsy (Fine Needle aspiration n = 29, histological biopsy n = 31) was performed in 60 (72.3%) patients. The mitotic count was low (<5 mitoses/50 High Power Fields (HPF)) in 24 patients and high (>= 5 mitoses/50 HPF) in 27 patients. Fifty-one (61.4%) patients underwent surgical or endoscopic resection. The most common reasons to not perform an immediate resection (n = 31) were; unresectable or metastasized GIST, performance status/comorbidity, patient refusal or ongoing neo-adjuvant therapy. The type of resections were enucleation (n = 11), segmental resection (n = 6) and oesophagectomy with gastric conduit reconstruction (n = 33), with median tumour size of 3.3 cm, 4.5 cm and 7.7 cm, respectively. In patients treated with enucleation 18.2% developed recurrent disease. The recurrence rate in patients treated with segmental resection was 16.7% and in patients undergoing oesophagectomy with gastric conduit reconstruction 36.4%. Larger tumours (>= 4.0 cm) and high (>5/5hpf) mitotic count were associated with worse disease free survival.Conclusion: Based on the current study, enucleation can be recommended for oesophageal GIST smaller than 4 cm, while oesophagectomy should be preserved for larger tumours. Patients with larger tumours (>4 cm) and/or high mitotic count should be treated with adjuvant therapy. (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. Show less
Simple Summary The objective was to develop and internally validate a predictive model based on preoperative predictors, including geriatric characteristics, for severe postoperative complications... Show moreSimple Summary The objective was to develop and internally validate a predictive model based on preoperative predictors, including geriatric characteristics, for severe postoperative complications after elective surgery for stage I-III CRC in patients >= 70 years. Potential predictors included demographics, comorbidity, tumour location, activities of daily living (ADL), history of falls, malnutrition, risk factors for delirium, use of mobility aid and polypharmacy. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used for predictor selection and prediction model building. A geriatric model that included gender, previous DVT or pulmonary embolism, COPD/asthma/emphysema, rectal cancer, the use of a mobility aid, ADL assistance, previous delirium and polypharmacy showed satisfactory discrimination with an AUC of 0.69 (95% CI 0.73-0.64); the AUC for the optimism corrected model was 0.65. An eight-item colorectal geriatric model (GerCRC) was developed. After external validation, this risk model has the potential to be used for preoperative (shared) decision-making. Introduction Older patients have an increased risk of morbidity and mortality after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery. Existing CRC surgical prediction models have not incorporated geriatric predictors, limiting applicability for preoperative decision-making. The objective was to develop and internally validate a predictive model based on preoperative predictors, including geriatric characteristics, for severe postoperative complications after elective surgery for stage I-III CRC in patients >= 70 years. Patients and Methods: A prospectively collected database contained 1088 consecutive patients from five Dutch hospitals (2014-2017) with 171 severe complications (16%). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used for predictor selection and prediction model building. Internal validation was done using bootstrapping. Results: A geriatric model that included gender, previous DVT or pulmonary embolism, COPD/asthma/emphysema, rectal cancer, the use of a mobility aid, ADL assistance, previous delirium and polypharmacy showed satisfactory discrimination with an AUC of 0.69 (95% CI 0.73-0.64); the AUC for the optimism corrected model was 0.65. Based on these predictors, the eight-item colorectal geriatric model (GerCRC) was developed. Conclusion: The GerCRC is the first prediction model specifically developed for older patients expected to undergo CRC surgery. Combining tumour- and patient-specific predictors, including geriatric predictors, improves outcome prediction in the heterogeneous older population. Show less
Plas-Krijgsman, W.G. van der; Boer, A.Z. de; Jong, P. de; Bastiaannet, E.; Bos, F. van den; Mooijaart, S.P.; ... ; Glas, N.A. de 2021
The number of older patients with breast cancer has increased due to the aging of the general population. The use of a geriatric assessment in this population has been advocated in many studies and... Show moreThe number of older patients with breast cancer has increased due to the aging of the general population. The use of a geriatric assessment in this population has been advocated in many studies and guidelines as it can be used to identify high risk populations for early mortality and toxicity. Additionally, geriatric parameters could predict relevant outcome measures. This systematic review summarizes all available evidence on predictive factors for various outcomes (disease-related and survival, toxicity, and patient-reported outcomes), with a special focus on geriatric parameters and patient-reported outcomes, in older patients with breast cancer. Studies were identified through systematic review of the literature published up to September 1st 2019 in the PubMed database and EMBASe. A total of 173 studies were included. Most studies investigated disease-related and survival outcomes (n = 123, 71%). Toxicity was investigated in 40 studies (23%) and a mere 15% (n = 26) investigated patient-reported outcomes. Various measures that can be derived from a geriatric assessment were predictive for survival endpoints. Furthermore, geriatric parameters were among the most frequently found predictors for toxicity and patient-reported outcomes. In conclusion, this study shows that geriatric parameters can predict survival, toxicity, and patient-reported outcomes in older patients with breast cancer. These findings can be used in daily clinical practice to identify patients at risk of early mortality, high risk of treatment toxicity or poor functional outcome after treatment. A minority of studies used relevant outcome measures for older patients, showing the need for studies that are tailored to the older population.(c) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Show less
Glas, N.A. de; Bastiaannet, E.; Bos, F. van den; Mooijaart, S.P.; Veldt, A.A.M. van der; Suijkerbuijk, K.P.M.; ... ; Kapiteijn, E.W. 2021
Simple Summary: Trials suggest no differences in immunotherapy treatment between older and younger patients, but mainly young patients with a good performance status were included in these trials.... Show moreSimple Summary: Trials suggest no differences in immunotherapy treatment between older and younger patients, but mainly young patients with a good performance status were included in these trials. The aim of this study was to describe the treatment patterns and outcomes of "real-world" older patients with metastatic melanoma. We included 2216 patients aged >= 65 years from the Dutch Melanoma Treatment Registry and described outcomes of immunotherapy. The study showed that responses and severe side effects did not differ from previously reported younger populations and randomized trials, even in the oldest patients and in patients with other diseases. However, patients aged >= 75 discontinued treatment due to toxicity more often, resulting in fewer treatment cycles. We therefore conclude that immunotherapy seems to have similar effects in older patients compared to younger patients, but the impact of less severe toxicity on quality of life should be further studied as older patients are more likely to discontinue treatment.Background: Previous trials suggest no differences in immunotherapy treatment between older and younger patients, but mainly young patients with a good performance status were included. The aim of this study was to describe the treatment patterns and outcomes of "real-world" older patients with metastatic melanoma and to identify predictors of outcome. Methods: We included patients aged >= 65 years with metastatic melanoma from the Dutch Melanoma Treatment Registry. We described the reasons for hospital admissions and treatment discontinuation. Additionally, we assessed predictors of toxicity and response using logistic regression models and survival using Cox regression models. Results: We included 2216 patients. Grade >= 3 toxicity was not associated with age, comorbidities or WHO status. Patients aged >= 75 discontinued treatment due to toxicity more often, resulting in fewer treatment cycles. Response rates were similar to previous trials (40.3% and 43.6% in patients aged 65-75 and >= 75, respectively, for anti-PD1 treatment) and did not decrease with age or comorbidity. Melanoma-specific survival was not affected by age or comorbidity. Conclusion: Response rates and toxicity outcomes of checkpoint inhibitors did not change with increasing age or comorbidity. However, the impact of grade I-II toxicity on quality of life deserves further study as older patients discontinue treatment more frequently. Show less
Boer, A.Z. de; Bastiaannet, E.; Putter, H.; Mheen, P.M.J. van de; Siesling, S.; Munck, L. de; ... ; Glas, N.A. de 2021
Simple SummarySelecting older patients for adjuvant breast cancer treatments is challenging as its benefits can be diminished by shorter life expectancies. In addition to age, comorbidity increases... Show moreSimple SummarySelecting older patients for adjuvant breast cancer treatments is challenging as its benefits can be diminished by shorter life expectancies. In addition to age, comorbidity increases the risk of dying from other causes than breast cancer. Available prediction tools have either not adjusted for individual comorbidities or have shown inaccurate predictions when a higher number of comorbidities are present. Up to now, an optimal comorbidity score to be used in prediction tools has not been established. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the predictive value of the Charlson comorbidity index for other-cause mortality and to compare these predictions with using a simple comorbidity count. We found that the Charlson index performed similarly as comorbidity count. The use of comorbidity count in the development of new prediction tools for older patients with breast cancer is recommended as its simplicity enhances the tool's applicability in clinical practice.Background: Individualized treatment in older patients with breast cancer can be improved by including comorbidity and other-cause mortality in prediction tools, as the other-cause mortality risk strongly increases with age. However, no optimal comorbidity score is established for this purpose. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the predictive value of the Charlson comorbidity index for other-cause mortality with the use of a simple comorbidity count and to assess the impact of frequently occurring comorbidities. Methods: Surgically treated patients with stages I-III breast cancer aged >= 70 years diagnosed between 2003 and 2009 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Competing risk analysis was performed to associate 5-year other-cause mortality with the Charlson index, comorbidity count, and specific comorbidities. Discrimination and calibration were assessed. Results: Overall, 7511 patients were included. Twenty-nine percent had no comorbidities, and 59% had a Charlson score of 0. After five years, in 1974, patients had died (26%), of which 1450 patients without a distant recurrence (19%). Besides comorbidities included in the Charlson index, the psychiatric disease was strongly associated with other-cause mortality (sHR 2.44 (95%-CI 1.70-3.50)). The c-statistics of the Charlson index and comorbidity count were similar (0.65 (95%-CI 0.64-0.65) and 0.64 (95%-CI 0.64-0.65)). Conclusions: The predictive value of the Charlson index for 5-year other-cause mortality was similar to using comorbidity count. As it is easier to use in clinical practice, our findings indicate that comorbidity count can aid in improving individualizing treatment in older patients with breast cancer. Future studies should elicit whether geriatric parameters could improve prediction. Show less
Huijts, D.D.; Dekker, J.W.T.; Bodegom-Vos, L. van; Groningen, J.T. van; Bastiaannet, E.; Marang-van de Mheen, P.J. 2021
Background: Emergency colon cancer surgery is associated with increased mortality and complication risk, which can be due to differences in the organization of hospital care. This study aimed... Show moreBackground: Emergency colon cancer surgery is associated with increased mortality and complication risk, which can be due to differences in the organization of hospital care. This study aimed.Objective: To explore which structural factors in the preoperative, perioperative and postoperative periods influence outcomes after emergency colon cancer surgery.Methods: An observational study was performed in 30 Dutch hospitals. Medical records from 1738 patients operated in the period 2012 till 2015 were reviewed on the type of referral, intensive care unit (ICU) level, surgeon specialization and experience, duration of surgery and operating room time, blood loss, stay on specialized postoperative ward, complication occurrence, reintervention and day of surgery and linked to case-mix data available in the Dutch Colorectal Audit. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the influence of these factors on 30-day mortality, severe complication and failure to rescue (FTR), after adjustment for case-mix.Results: Patients operated by a non-Gastro intestinal/oncology specialized surgeon have significantly increased mortality (Odds Ratio (OR) 2.28 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.23-4.23]) and severe complication risk (OR 1.61 [95% CI 1.08-2.39]). Also, duration of stay in the operating room was significantly associated with increased risk on severe complication (OR 1.03 [95% CI 1.01-1.06]). Patients admitted to a non-specialized ward have significantly increased mortality (OR 2.25 [95% CI 1.46-3.47]) and FTR risk (OR 2.39 [95% CI 1.52-3.75]). A low ICU level (basic ICU) was associated with a lower severe complication risk (OR 0.72 [95% CI 0.52-1.00]). Surgery on Tuesday was associated with a higher mortality risk (OR 2.82 [95% CI 1.24-6.40]) and a severe complication risk (OR 1.77, [95% CI 1.19-2.65]).Conclusion: This study identified a non-specialized surgeon and ward, operating room, time and day of surgery to be risk factors for worse outcomes in emergency colon cancer surgery. Show less
Objective. There is great need for better risk stratification in vulvar squamous cell carcinoma (VSCC). Our aim was to define the prognostic significance of stratifying VSCC based on p16 and p53... Show moreObjective. There is great need for better risk stratification in vulvar squamous cell carcinoma (VSCC). Our aim was to define the prognostic significance of stratifying VSCC based on p16 and p53 immunohistochemistry (IHC) as surrogate markers for HPV and TP53 mutations.Methods. A large retrospective cohort of surgically treated women with primary VSCC was used. VSCC were classified into three subtypes: HPV-positive (HPVpos), HPV-negative/p53 mutant (HPVneg/p53mut), and HPVnegative/p53 wildtype (HPVneg/p53wt). Overall survival (OS), relative survival (RS), and recurrence-free period (RFP) were depicted using the Kaplan-Meier method and survival curves for relative survival; associations were studied using univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models.Results. Of the 413 VSCCs, 75 (18%) were HPVpos, 63 (15%) HPVneg/p53wt, and 275 (66%) HPVneg/p53mut VSCC. Patients with HPVneg/p53mut VSCC had worse OS and RS (HR 3.43, 95%CI 1.80-6.53, and relative excess risk (RER) of 4.02; 95%CI 1.48-10.90, respectively, and worse RFP (HR 3.76, 95%CI 2.02-7.00). HPVpos VSCC patients showed most favorable outcomes. In univariate analysis, the molecular subtype of VSCC was a prognostic marker for OS, RS and RFP (p = 0.003, p = 0.009, p < 0.001, respectively) and remained prognostic for RFP even after adjusting for known risk factors (p = 0.0002).Conclusions. Stratification of VSCC by p16and p53-IHC has potential to be used routinely in diagnostic pathology. It results in the identification of three clinically distinct subtypes and may be used to guide treatment and follow-up, and in stratifying patients in future clinical trials. (C) 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Show less
Objective: To evaluate the impact of changes in elective Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) management on life-expectancy of AAA patients.Background: Over the past decades AAA repair underwent... Show moreObjective: To evaluate the impact of changes in elective Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) management on life-expectancy of AAA patients.Background: Over the past decades AAA repair underwent substantial changes, that is, the introduction of EVAR and implementation of intensified cardiovascular risk management. The question rises to what extent these changes improved longevity of AAA patients.Methods: National evaluation including all 12.907 (82.7% male) patients who underwent elective AAA repair between 2001 and 2015 in Sweden. The impact of changes in AAA management was established by a time-resolved analysis based on 3 timeframes: open repair dominated period (2001- 2004, n = 2483), transition period (2005-2011, n = 6230), and EVAR-first strategy period (2012-2015, n = 4194). Relative survival was used to quantify AAAassociated mortality, and to adjust for changes in life-expectancy.Results: Relative survival of electively treated AAA patients was stable and persistently compromised [4-year relative survival and 95% confidence interval: 0.87 (0.85- 0.89), 0.87 (0.86- 0.88), 0.89 (0.86- 0.91) for the 3 periods, respectively]. Particularly alarming is the severely compromised survival of female patients (4-year relative survival females 0.78, 0.80, 0.70 vs males 0.89, 0.89, 0.91, respectively). Cardiovascular mortality remained the main cause of death (51.0%, 47.2%, 47.9%) and the proportion cardiovascular disease over non-cardiovascular disease death was stable over time.Conclusions: Changes in elective AAA management reduced short-term mortality, but failed to improve the profound long-term survival disadvantage of AAA patients. The persistent high (cardiovascular) mortality calls for further intensification of cardiovascular risk management, and a critical appraisal of the basis for the excess mortality of AAA patients. Show less
Souwer, E.T.D.; Bastiaannet, E.; Steyerberg, E.W.; Dekker, J.W.T.; Bos, F. van den; Portielje, J.E.A. 2020
Background: An increasing number of patients with Colorectal Cancer (CRC) is 65 years or older. We aimed to systematically review existing clinical prediction models for postoperative outcomes of... Show moreBackground: An increasing number of patients with Colorectal Cancer (CRC) is 65 years or older. We aimed to systematically review existing clinical prediction models for postoperative outcomes of CRC surgery, study their performance in older patients and assess their potential for preoperative decision making.Methods: A systematic search in Pubmed and Embase for original studies of clinical prediction models for outcomes of CRC surgery. Bias and relevance for preoperative decision making with older patients were assessed using the CHARMS guidelines.Results: 26 prediction models from 25 publications were included. The average age of included patients ranged from 61 to 76. Two models were exclusively developed for 65 and older. Common outcomes were mortality (n = 10), anastomotic leakage (n = 7) and surgical site infections (n = 3). No prediction models for quality of life or physical functioning were identified. Age, gender and ASA score were common predictors; 12 studies included intraoperative predictors. For the majority of the models, bias for model development and performance was considered moderate to high.Conclusions: Prediction models are available that address mortality and surgical complications after CRC surgery. Most models suffer from methodological limitations, and their performance for older patients is uncertain. Models that contain intraoperative predictors are of limited use for preoperative decision making. Future research should address the predictive value of geriatric characteristics to improve the performance of prediction models for older patients. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. Show less
Boer, A.Z. de; Water, W. van de; Bastiaannet, E.; Glas, N.A. de; Kiderlen, M.; Portielje, J.E.A.; Extermann, M. 2020
Introduction Since older patients with breast cancer are underrepresented in clinical trials, an oncogeriatric approach is advocated to guide treatment decisions. However, the effect on outcomes is... Show moreIntroduction Since older patients with breast cancer are underrepresented in clinical trials, an oncogeriatric approach is advocated to guide treatment decisions. However, the effect on outcomes is unclear. The aim of this study was to compare treatments and outcomes between patients treated in an oncogeriatric and a standard care setting. Methods Patients aged >= 70 years with early stage breast cancer were included. Theoncogeriatric cohortcomprised unselected patients from the Moffitt Cancer Center, and thestandard cohortpatients from a Dutch population-based cohort. Cox models were used to characterize the influence of care setting on recurrence risk and overall mortality. Results Overall, 268 patients were included in the oncogeriatric and 1932 patients in the standard cohort. Patients in the oncogeriatric cohort were slightly younger, had more comorbidity, and received more adjuvant endocrine therapy and chemotherapy. Oncogeriatric care was associated with a lower risk of recurrence, which remained significant after adjustment for patient and tumour characteristics [hazard ratio (HR) 0.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.44-0.99]. Oncogeriatric care was also associated with a lower overall mortality, which also remained significant after adjustment for patient and tumour characteristics (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.55-0.87). Conclusions Patients treated in the oncogeriatric care setting had a lower risk of recurrence, which may be explained by more systemic treatment. Overall mortality was also lower, but other explanations besides care setting could not be ruled out as the cohorts had different patient profiles. Future studies need to clarify the impact of an oncogeriatric approach on outcomes. Show less
Kooij, M.K. van der; Wetzels, M.J.A.L.; Aarts, M.J.B.; Berkmortel, F.W.P.J. van den; Blank, C.U.; Boers-Sonderen, M.J.; ... ; Kapiteijn, E. 2020
Cutaneous melanoma is a common type of cancer in Adolescents and Young Adults (AYAs, 15-39 years of age). However, AYAs are underrepresented in clinical trials investigating new therapies and the... Show moreCutaneous melanoma is a common type of cancer in Adolescents and Young Adults (AYAs, 15-39 years of age). However, AYAs are underrepresented in clinical trials investigating new therapies and the outcomes from these therapies for AYAs are therefore unclear. Using prospectively collected nation-wide data from the Dutch Melanoma Treatment Registry (DMTR), we compared baseline characteristics, mutational profiles, treatment strategies, grade 3-4 adverse events (AEs), responses and outcomes in AYAs (n= 210) and older adults (n= 3775) who were diagnosed with advanced melanoma between July 2013 and July 2018. Compared to older adults, AYAs were more frequently female (51% versus 40%,p= 0.001), and had a better Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG 0 in 54% versus 45%,p= 0.004). BRAF and NRAS mutations were age dependent, with more BRAF V600 mutations in AYAs (68% versus 46%) and more NRAS mutations in older adults (13% versus 21%),p< 0.001. This finding translated in distinct first-line treatment patterns, where AYAs received more initial targeted therapy. Overall, grade 3-4 AE percentages following first-line systemic treatment were similar for AYAs and older adults; anti-PD-1 (7% versus 14%,p= 0.25), anti-CTLA-4 (16% versus 33%,p= 0.12), anti-PD-1 + anti-CTLA-4 (67% versus 56%,p= 0.34) and BRAF/MEK-inhibition (14% versus 23%,p= 0.06). Following anti-CTLA-4 treatment, no AYAs experienced a grade 3-4 colitis, while 17% of the older adults did (p= 0.046). There was no difference in response to treatment between AYAs and older adults. The longer overall survival observed in AYAs (hazard ratio (HR) 0.7; 95% CI 0.6-0.8) was explained by the increased cumulative incidence of non-melanoma related deaths in older adults (sub-distribution HR 2.8; 95% CI 1.5-4.9), calculated by competing risk analysis. The results of our national cohort study show that baseline characteristics and mutational profiles differ between AYAs and older adults with advanced melanoma, leading to different treatment choices made in daily practice. Once treatment is initiated, AYAs and older adults show similar tumor responses and melanoma-specific survival. Show less
