OBJECTIVE\nTo determine whether a multibiomarker disease activity (MBDA) score predicts radiographic damage progression in the subsequent year in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis.\nMETHODS... Show moreOBJECTIVE\nTo determine whether a multibiomarker disease activity (MBDA) score predicts radiographic damage progression in the subsequent year in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis.\nMETHODS\nThere were 180 serum samples available in the BeSt study (trial numbers NTR262, NTR 265): 91 at baseline (84 with radiographs available) and 89 at 1-year followup (81 with radiographs available). Radiographs were assessed using the Sharp/van der Heijde Score (SvdH). Twelve serum biomarkers were measured to determine MBDA scores using a validated algorithm. Receiver-operating curves and Poisson regression analyses were performed, with Disease Activity Score (DAS) and MBDA score as independent variables, and radiographic progression as dependent variable.\nRESULTS\nAt baseline, MBDA scores discriminated more between patients who developed radiographic progression (increase in SvdH ≥ 5 points) and patients who did not [area under the curve (AUC) 0.767, 95% CI 0.639-0.896] than did DAS (AUC 0.521, 95% CI 0.358-0.684). At 1 year, MBDA score had an AUC of 0.691 (95% CI 0.453-0.929) and DAS had an AUC of 0.649 (95% CI 0.417-0.880). Adjusted for anticitrullinated protein antibody status and DAS, higher MBDA scores were associated with an increased risk for SvdH progression [relative risk (RR) 1.039, 95% CI 1.018-1.059 for baseline MBDA score; 1.037, 95% CI 1.009-1.065 for Year 1 MBDA score]. Categorized high MBDA scores were also correlated with SvdH progression (RR for high MBDA score at baseline 3.7; low or moderate MBDA score as reference). At 1 year, high MBDA score gave a RR of 4.6 compared to low MBDA score.\nCONCLUSION\nMBDA scores predict radiographic damage progression at baseline and during disease course. Show less
OBJECTIVE: To assess long-term disease outcome of undifferentiated arthritis (UA) after initial treatment with methotrexate (MTX) or placebo. METHODS: 110 patients with UA were randomised to... Show moreOBJECTIVE: To assess long-term disease outcome of undifferentiated arthritis (UA) after initial treatment with methotrexate (MTX) or placebo. METHODS: 110 patients with UA were randomised to receive MTX (n=55) or placebo (n=55) for 1 year. After 5 years the outcomes for diagnosis (rheumatoid arthritis, 1987 criteria (RA (1987)), UA or UA in remission) and radiographic progression were compared between treatment arms and anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA)-positive and -negative patients. Outcomes were recalculated for patients who, with hindsight, might have been classified at baseline as having RA according to the 2010 criteria (RA (2010)). RESULTS: 25 patients in the MTX group and 29 in the placebo group progressed to RA (1987) (p=0.45). MTX delayed progression from UA to RA (1987) but only in ACPA-positive patients. Drug-free remission was achieved in 35 patients, 20 of whom were initially treated with MTX, and 32 were ACPA-negative. ACPA-positive patients had more radiographic progression, regardless of treatment. Forty-three patients (39%) could be reclassified as having had RA (2010) at baseline, 6/24 (25%) of whom achieved remission after placebo treatment. CONCLUSIONS: After 5 years there is no lasting benefit of a 1 year initial course of MTX for patients with undifferentiated arthritis, compared with initial placebo. Progression to classifiable RA was not suppressed, drug-free remission not induced and the progression of radiological damage was similar in both groups. Reclassification at baseline with the 2010 criteria showed that 25% of patients with RA (2010) achieved spontaneous drug-free remission. Show less
Broek, M. van den; Heimans, L.; Cessie, S. le; Siegerink, B.; Ronday, H.K.; Han, K.H.; ... ; Allaart, C.F. 2012
