IntroductionAlthough optimising rectal cancer treatment has reduced local recurrence rates, many patients develop distant metastases (DM). The current study investigated whether a total neoadjuvant...Show moreIntroductionAlthough optimising rectal cancer treatment has reduced local recurrence rates, many patients develop distant metastases (DM). The current study investigated whether a total neoadjuvant treatment strategy influences the development, location, and timing of metastasesin patients diagnosed with high-risk locally advanced rectal cancer included in the Rectal cancer And Pre-operative Induction therapy followed by Dedicated Operation (RAPIDO) trial.Material and methodsPatients were randomly assigned to short-course radiotherapy followed by 18 weeks of CAPOX or FOLFOX4 before surgery (EXP), or long-course chemoradiotherapy with optional postoperative chemotherapy (SC-G). Assessments for metastatic disease were performed pre- and post-treatment, during surgery, and 6, 12, 24, 36, and 60 months postoperatively. From randomisation, differences in the occurrence of DM and first site of metastasis were evaluated.ResultsIn total, 462 patients were evaluated in the EXP and 450 patients in the SC-G groups. The cumulative probability of DM at 5 years after randomisation was 23% [95% CI 19–27] and 30% [95% CI 26–35] (HR 0.72 [95% CI 0.56–0.93]; P = 0.011) in the EXP and SC-G, respectively. The median time to DM was 1.4 (EXP) and 1.3 years (SC-G). After diagnosis of DM, median survival was 2.6 years [95% CI 2.0–3.1] in the EXP and 3.2 years [95% CI 2.3–4.1] in the SC-G groups (HR 1.39 [95% CI 1.01–1.92]; P = 0.04). First occurrence of DM was most often in the lungs (60/462 [13%] EXP and 55/450 [12%] SC-G) or the liver (40/462 [9%] EXP and 69/450 [15%] SC-G). A hospital policy of postoperative chemotherapy did not influence the development of DM.ConclusionsCompared to long-course chemoradiotherapy, total neoadjuvant treatment with short-course radiotherapy and chemotherapy significantly decreased the occurrence of metastases, particularly liver metastases. Show less
From 2016 EBMT and JACIE developed an international risk-adapted benchmarking program of haematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) outcome to provide individual EBMT Centers with a means of... Show moreFrom 2016 EBMT and JACIE developed an international risk-adapted benchmarking program of haematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) outcome to provide individual EBMT Centers with a means of quality-assuring the HSCT process and meeting FACT-JACIE accreditation requirements relating to 1-year survival outcomes. Informed by previous experience from Europe, North America and Australasia, the Clinical Outcomes Group (COG) established criteria for patient and Center selection, and a set of key clinical variables within a dedicated statistical model adapted to the capabilities of the EBMT Registry. The first phase of the project was launched in 2019 to test the acceptability of the benchmarking model through assessment of Centers' performance for 1-year data completeness and survival outcomes of autologous and allogeneic HSCT covering 2013-2016. A second phase was delivered in July 2021 covering 2015-2019 and including survival outcomes. Reports of individual Center performance were shared directly with local principal investigators and their responses were assimilated. The experience thus far has supported the feasibility, acceptability and reliability of the system as well as identifying its limitations. We provide a summary of experience and learning so far in this 'work in progress', as well as highlighting future challenges of delivering a modern, robust, data-complete, risk-adapted benchmarking program across new EBMT Registry systems. Show less
Kantidakis, G.; Putter, H.; Litière, S.; Fiocco, M. 2023
BackgroundIn health research, several chronic diseases are susceptible to competing risks (CRs). Initially, statistical models (SM) were developed to estimate the cumulative incidence of an event... Show moreBackgroundIn health research, several chronic diseases are susceptible to competing risks (CRs). Initially, statistical models (SM) were developed to estimate the cumulative incidence of an event in the presence of CRs. As recently there is a growing interest in applying machine learning (ML) for clinical prediction, these techniques have also been extended to model CRs but literature is limited. Here, our aim is to investigate the potential role of ML versus SM for CRs within non-complex data (small/medium sample size, low dimensional setting).MethodsA dataset with 3826 retrospectively collected patients with extremity soft-tissue sarcoma (eSTS) and nine predictors is used to evaluate model-predictive performance in terms of discrimination and calibration. Two SM (cause-specific Cox, Fine-Gray) and three ML techniques are compared for CRs in a simple clinical setting. ML models include an original partial logistic artificial neural network for CRs (PLANNCR original), a PLANNCR with novel specifications in terms of architecture (PLANNCR extended), and a random survival forest for CRs (RSFCR). The clinical endpoint is the time in years between surgery and disease progression (event of interest) or death (competing event). Time points of interest are 2, 5, and 10 years.ResultsBased on the original eSTS data, 100 bootstrapped training datasets are drawn. Performance of the final models is assessed on validation data (left out samples) by employing as measures the Brier score and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) with CRs. Miscalibration (absolute accuracy error) is also estimated. Results show that the ML models are able to reach a comparable performance versus the SM at 2, 5, and 10 years regarding both Brier score and AUC (95% confidence intervals overlapped). However, the SM are frequently better calibrated.ConclusionsOverall, ML techniques are less practical as they require substantial implementation time (data preprocessing, hyperparameter tuning, computational intensity), whereas regression methods can perform well without the additional workload of model training. As such, for non-complex real life survival data, these techniques should only be applied complementary to SM as exploratory tools of model's performance. More attention to model calibration is urgently needed. Show less
Multi-state models are used to describe how individuals transition through different states over time. The distribution of the time spent in different states, referred to as 'length of stay', is... Show moreMulti-state models are used to describe how individuals transition through different states over time. The distribution of the time spent in different states, referred to as 'length of stay', is often of interest. Methods for estimating expected length of stay in a given state are well established. The focus of this paper is on the distribution of the time spent in different states conditional on the complete pathway taken through the states, which we call 'conditional length of stay'. This work is motivated by questions about length of stay in hospital wards and intensive care units among patients hospitalised due to Covid-19. Conditional length of stay estimates are useful as a way of summarising individuals' transitions through the multi-state model, and also as inputs to mathematical models used in planning hospital capacity requirements. We describe non-parametric methods for estimating conditional length of stay distributions in a multi-state model in the presence of censoring, including conditional expected length of stay (CELOS). Methods are described for an illness-death model and then for the more complex motivating example. The methods are assessed using a simulation study and shown to give unbiased estimates of CELOS, whereas naive estimates of CELOS based on empirical averages are biased in the presence of censoring. The methods are applied to estimate conditional length of stay distributions for individuals hospitalised due to Covid-19 in the UK, using data on 42,980 individuals hospitalised from March to July 2020 from the COVID19 Clinical Information Network. Show less
Suvaal, I.; Kirchheiner, K.; Nout, R.A.; Sturdza, A.E.; Limbergen, E. van; Lindegaard, J.C.; ... ; Kuile, M.M. ter 2023
Objective. The EMBRACE-vaginal morbidity substudy prospectively evaluated physician-assessed vaginal changes and patient-reported-outcomes (PRO) on vaginal and sexual functioning problems and... Show moreObjective. The EMBRACE-vaginal morbidity substudy prospectively evaluated physician-assessed vaginal changes and patient-reported-outcomes (PRO) on vaginal and sexual functioning problems and distress in the first 2-years after image-guided radio(chemo)therapy and brachytherapy for locally advanced cervical cancer.Methods. Eligible patients had stage IB1-IIIB cervical cancer with <= 5 mm vaginal involvement. Assessment of vaginal changes was graded using CTCAE. PRO were assessed using validated Quality-of-Life and sexual question-naires. Statistical analysis included Generalized-Linear-Mixed-Models and Spearman's rho-correlation coeffi-cients.Results. 113 eligible patients were included. Mostly mild (grade 1) vaginal changes were reported over time in about 20% (range 11-37%). At 2-years, 47% was not sexually active. Approximately 50% of the sexually active women reported any vaginal and sexual functioning problems and distress over time; more substantial vaginal and sexual problems and distress were reported by up to 14%, 20% and 8%, respectively. Physician-assessed vag-inal changes and PRO sexual satisfaction differed significantly (p <=.05) between baseline and first follow-up, without further significant changes over time. No or only small associations between physician-assessed vaginal changes and PRO vaginal functioning problems and sexual distress were found.Conclusions. Mild vaginal changes were reported after image-guided radio(chemo)therapy and brachyther-apy, potentially due to the combination of tumors with limited vaginal involvement, EMBRACE-specific treatment optimization and rehabilitation recommendations. Although vaginal and sexual functioning problems and sexual distress were frequently reported, the rate of substantial problems and distress was low. The lack of association between vaginal changes, vaginal functioning problems and sexual distress shows that sexual functioning is more complex than vaginal morbidity alone.(c) 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Show less
Bohnstedt, M.; Gampe, J.; Caljouw, M.A.A.; Putter, H. 2023
In studies of recurrent events, joint modeling approaches are often needed to allow for potential dependent censoring by a terminal event such as death. Joint frailty models for recurrent events... Show moreIn studies of recurrent events, joint modeling approaches are often needed to allow for potential dependent censoring by a terminal event such as death. Joint frailty models for recurrent events and death with an additional dependence parameter have been studied for cases in which individuals are observed from the start of the event processes. However, samples are often selected at a later time, which results in delayed entry so that only individuals who have not yet experienced the terminal event will be included. In joint frailty models such left truncation has effects on the frailty distribution that need to be accounted for in both the recurrence process and the terminal event process, if the two are associated. We demonstrate, in a comprehensive simulation study, the effects that not adjusting for late entry can have and derive the correctly adjusted marginal likelihood, which can be expressed as a ratio of two integrals over the frailty distribution. We extend the estimation method of Liu and Huang (Stat Med 27:2665-2683, 2008.) to include potential left truncation. Numerical integration is performed by Gaussian quadrature, the baseline intensities are specified as piecewise constant functions, potential covariates are assumed to have multiplicative effects on the intensities. We apply the method to estimate age-specific intensities of recurrent urinary tract infections and mortality in an older population. Show less
Background Chronic anal fissure is a common benign anorectal disease with a high recurrence rate. Pelvic floor physical therapy has been proven effective in the short-term management in patients... Show moreBackground Chronic anal fissure is a common benign anorectal disease with a high recurrence rate. Pelvic floor physical therapy has been proven effective in the short-term management in patients with chronic anal fissure and pelvic floor dysfunction (PAF-trial). The aim of this study was to determine the outcomes of the PAF-trial and fissure recurrence in patients who completed the 2 months of pelvic floor physical therapy at 1-year follow-up.Methods Electromyographic registration of the pelvic floor, digital rectal examination, visual analog scales, patient-related outcome measurements, and quality of life were assessed at baseline and at 1-year after inclusion. The primary outcome was muscle tone at rest during electromyographic registration of the pelvic floor at baseline and at 1-year follow-up. Secondary outcomes contained fissure recurrence, pain ratings, pelvic floor dysfunction, complaint reduction measured with a proctology specific patient-reported outcome measurement, and quality of life.Results The treatment protocol was followed by 133 patients. Ninety-seven patients (71%) completed the 1-year follow-up, 48 women (49.5%) and 49 men (50.5%) with a mean age of 44.4 +/- 11.6 years (range 19-68). In the total group of patients, mean resting electromyographic values of the pelvic floor significantly improved from baseline to follow-up at 1 year (mean estimated difference 2.20 mu V; 95% CI, 1.79 to 2.61; p < 0.001). After 1 year, the fissure recurred in 15 patients (15.5%). VAS-pain significantly decreased from baseline to follow-up (mean estimated difference 4.16; 95% CI, 3.75 to 4.58; p < 0.001). Dyssynergia was found in 72.9% at baseline and decreased to 14.4% at 1-year follow-up (p < 0.001). Complaint reduction measured with the Proctoprom significantly improved from baseline to 1-year follow-up (p < 0.001). Quality of life (RAND-36) significantly improved in eight of nine domains at 1-year follow-up. No significant improvement was found in the domain vitality.Conclusions In the PAF-trial, we demonstrated that pelvic floor physical therapy yields a significant and clinical benefit in the time course and therefore should be advocated as adjuvant conservative treatment in patients with chronic anal fissure. Show less
Background: The endometrial cancer molecular classification has been integrated into the 2020 World Health Organization (WHO) diagnostic classification and European treatment guidelines, and... Show moreBackground: The endometrial cancer molecular classification has been integrated into the 2020 World Health Organization (WHO) diagnostic classification and European treatment guidelines, and provides direction towards more effective and less toxic adjuvant treatment strategies for women with endometrial cancer. Primary objective(s): The RAINBO program of clinical trials will investigate four molecular class-directed adjuvant treatment strategies following surgical resection to either increase cure rates through the addition of novel targeted therapies or safely reduce toxicity and improve quality of life through treatment de-escalation. Study hypothesis: Molecular-directed adjuvant treatment strategies will improve clinical outcomes and reduce toxicity of unwarranted therapies in women with endometrial cancer. The overarching and translational research RAINBO program will advance knowledge of predictive and prognostic (bio)markers that will improve prognostication and treatment allocation. Trial design: The RAINBO program is a platform of four international clinical trials and an overarching research program. The randomized phase III p53abn-RED trial for women with invasive stage I-III p53abn endometrial cancer compares adjuvant chemoradiation followed by olaparib for 2 years with adjuvant chemoradiation alone. The randomized phase III MMRd-GREEN trial for women with stage II (with lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI)) or stage III mismatch repair-deficient (MMRd) endometrial cancer compares adjuvant radiotherapy with concurrent and adjuvant durvalumab for 1 year to radiotherapy alone. The randomized phase III NSMP-ORANGE trial is a treatment de-escalation trial for women with estrogen receptor positive stage II (with LVSI) or stage III no specific molecular profile (NSMP) endometrial cancer comparing radiotherapy followed by progestin for 2 years to adjuvant chemoradiation. The POLEmut-BLUE trial is a phase II trial in which the safety of de-escalation of adjuvant therapy is investigated for women with stage I-III POLEmut endometrial cancer: no adjuvant therapy for lower-risk disease and no adjuvant therapy or radiotherapy alone for higher-risk disease. The overarching RAINBO program will combine data and tumor material of all participants to perform translational research and evaluate molecular class-based adjuvant therapy in terms of efficacy, toxicity, quality of life, and cost-utility. Major inclusion/exclusion criteria: Inclusion criteria include a histologically confirmed diagnosis of endometrial cancer treated by hysterectomy and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy with or without lymphadenectomy or sentinel lymph node biopsy, with no macroscopic residual disease after surgery and no distant metastases, and molecular classification according to the WHO 2020 algorithm. Primary endpoint(s): Recurrence-free survival at 3 years in the p53abn-RED, MMRd-GREEN, and NSMP-ORANGE trials and pelvic recurrence at 3 years in the POLEmut-BLUE trial. Sample size: The p53abn-RED trial will include 554 patients, the MMRd-GREEN trial 316, the NSMP-ORANGE trial 600, and the POLEmut-BLUE trial 145 (120 for lower-risk disease and approximately 25 for higher-risk disease). The overarching research program will pool the four sub-trials resulting in a total sample size of around 1600. Estimated dates for completing accrual and presenting results: The four clinical trials will have different completion dates; main results are expected from 2028. Show less
Background: Chronic anal fissure is one of the most common anorectal diseases and is associated with reduced quality of life. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of pelvic floor... Show moreBackground: Chronic anal fissure is one of the most common anorectal diseases and is associated with reduced quality of life. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of pelvic floor physical therapy on quality of life in patients with chronic anal fissure using the Short-Form 36 Health Survey (RAND-36). Methods: Adult patients, with chronic anal fissure and concomitant pelvic floor dysfunction, such as dyssynergia and increased pelvic floor muscle tone, were recruited at the Proctos Clinic in the Netherlands, between December 2018 and July 2021 and randomly assigned to an intervention group, receiving 8 weeks of pelvic floor physical therapy or assigned to a control group receiving postponed pelvic floor physical therapy (PAF trial). Quality of life and pain ratings were outcomes of the study and were measured at 8- and 20-week follow-up. Results: One hundred patients (50 women and 50 men, median age 44.6 years [range 19-68 years]), completed the RAND-36 questionnaire and visual analog (VAS) pain scale score at admission. A significant improvement was found at 20-week follow-up in all domains of the RAND-36; physical functioning, pain, health change (p < 0.001); physical role, vitality, general health, social functioning, emotional role, mental health (p < 0.05). VAS pain was significantly reduced at 8 weeks (mean estimated difference 1.98; 95% CI 1.55-2.42, p < 0.001) and remained significant at 20-week follow-up (p < 0.001). The difference between the groups as regards change in the mean pain intensity scores at 8 weeks was 2.48 (95% CI - 3.20 to - 1.75; p < 0.001). Compared to the reference values of the general Dutch population, the patients in our study with a chronic anal fissure and pelvic floor dysfunction reported an impaired quality of life in 8 of 9 domains of the RAND-36. After treatment, significant lower scores were found in 2 out of 9 domains. Conclusions: The results of this study provide evidence that treatment by pelvic floor physical therapy improves quality of life and reduces pain, making it an important tool in management of chronic anal fissure and concomitant pelvic floor dysfunction. Show less
This study focuses on the impact of complications after rectal cancer surgery on the short-and long-term Health-related Quality of Life (HRQoL). The results show that. short-term HRQoL was affected... Show moreThis study focuses on the impact of complications after rectal cancer surgery on the short-and long-term Health-related Quality of Life (HRQoL). The results show that. short-term HRQoL was affected by complications. Twelve months postoperative HRQoL had returned to the preoperative level regardless of complications. In patients that survived 14-years, there was no effect of complications on HRQoL detected.Background: Survival for rectal cancer patients has improved over the past decades. In parallel, long-term health -related quality of life (HRQoL) is gaining interest. This study focuses on the effect of complications following rectal cancer surgery on HRQoL and survival. Methods: The TME-trial (1996-1999) randomized patients with operable rectal cancer between surgery with preoperative short-course radiotherapy and surgery. Questionnaires including the Rotter-dam Symptom Checklist were sent at 6 time points within the first 24 months and after 14 years the EORTC QLQ-C30 and EORTC QLQ-CR29 questionnaires. Differences in HRQoL and survival between patients with and without compli-cations were analyzed. Results: A total of 1207 patients were included, of which 482 (39.9%) patients experienced complications, surgical complications occurred in 177 (14.6%) patients, non-surgical complications in 197 (16.3%) and 108 patients (8.9%) had a combination of both types of complications. Three months after surgery, patients with a combination of surgical-and non-surgical complications, especially patients with anastomotic leakage, had the worst HRQoL. Twelve months postoperative HRQoL returned to a similar level as before surgery, regardless of complications. In patients who survived 14 years, no significant differences in HRQoL were seen between patients with and without complications. However, patients with complications did have lower overall survival. Conclusion: This study shows that survival and short-term HRQoL are negatively affected by complications. Twelve months after surgery HRQoL had returned to the preoperative level regardless, of complications. Also, in patients that survived 14 years, there was no effect of complications on HRQoL detected. Show less
The additive hazards model specifies the effect of covariates on the hazard in an additive way, in contrast to the popular Cox model, in which it is multiplicative. As the non-parametric model,... Show moreThe additive hazards model specifies the effect of covariates on the hazard in an additive way, in contrast to the popular Cox model, in which it is multiplicative. As the non-parametric model, additive hazards offer a very flexible way of modeling time-varying covariate effects. It is most commonly estimated by ordinary least squares. In this paper, we consider the case where covariates are bounded, and derive the maximum likelihood estimator under the constraint that the hazard is non-negative for all covariate values in their domain. We show that the maximum likelihood estimator may be obtained by separately maximizing the log-likelihood contribution of each event time point, and we show that the maximizing problem is equivalent to fitting a series of Poisson regression models with an identity link under non-negativity constraints. We derive an analytic solution to the maximum likelihood estimator. We contrast the maximum likelihood estimator with the ordinary least-squares estimator in a simulation study and show that the maximum likelihood estimator has smaller mean squared error than the ordinary least-squares estimator. An illustration with data on patients with carcinoma of the oropharynx is provided. Show less
Background: The challenging nature of performing surgery on a personal and professional level demands specific characteristics. Personality traits play an important role in the nature and behavior... Show moreBackground: The challenging nature of performing surgery on a personal and professional level demands specific characteristics. Personality traits play an important role in the nature and behavior of humans, which are studied using the five-factor model. Therefore, we investigated the personality of 3 surgical generations.Methods: Three distinct surgical populations were approached. The Dutch Big Five Inventory-2 was sent out online to 126 surgical residents (response: n = 69) and 104 surgeons (response: n = 60) in a teaching region in the Netherlands. Moreover, medical students interested in surgery were approached via the students' surgical society (response: n = 54). To obtain a normative Dutch population sample, the Longitudinal Internet studies for the Social Sciences panel was used, creating groups of the following age categories: 18 to 25 (n = 84), 26 to 35 (n = 101), 36 to 67 (n = 432). One-way analysis of variance with Bonferroni correction was used to assess differences in personality scores.Results: Individuals interested in surgery (ie, surgically-oriented medical students, surgical residents, and surgeons) generally scored significantly higher on extraversion, conscientiousness, agreeableness, open-mindedness, and lower on negative emotionality compared with the normative population sample. Across the surgical generations, surgical residents scored significantly lower on open-mindedness (3.60) compared with surgeons (3.92) and surgically-oriented medical students (3.82). Surgically-oriented medical students scored significantly higher in negative emotionality (2.44) compared with surgical residents (2.12) and surgeons (2.07).Conclusion: Being a surgeon demands particular levels of determination and emotional stability. The surgical population shows a distinct personality pattern compared with the normative population, and more modest differences exist between persons in different stages of their surgical career.(c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Show less
Weerd, S. van de; Smit, M.A.; Roelands, J.; Mesker, W.E.; Bedognetti, D.; Kuppen, P.J.K.; ... ; Krieken, J.H.J.M. van 2022
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between four distinct histopathological features: (1) tumor infiltrating lymphocytes, (2) mucinous differentiation, (3) tumor-stroma ratio,... Show moreThe purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between four distinct histopathological features: (1) tumor infiltrating lymphocytes, (2) mucinous differentiation, (3) tumor-stroma ratio, plus (4) tumor budding and two gene expression-based classifiers-(1) consensus molecular subtypes (CMS) plus (2) colorectal cancer intrinsic subtypes (CRIS). All four histopathological features were retrospectively scored on hematoxylin and eosin sections of the most invasive part of the primary tumor in 218 stage II and III colon cancer patients from two independent cohorts (AMC-AJCC-90 and AC-ICAM). RNA-based CMS and CRIS assignments were independently obtained for all patients. Contingency tables were constructed and a chi 2 test was used to test for statistical significance. Odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals were calculated. The presence of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes and a mucinous phenotype (>50% mucinous surface area) were strongly correlated with CMS1 (p < 0.001 and p = 0.008) and CRIS-A (p = 0.006 and p < 0.001). The presence of mucus (>= 10%) was associated with CMS3: mucus was present in 64.1% of all CMS3 tumors (p < 0.001). Although a clear association between tumor-stroma ratio and CMS4 was established in this study (p = 0.006), still 32 out of 61 (52.5%) CMS4 tumors were scored as stroma-low, indicating that CMS4 tumors cannot be identified solely based on stromal content. Higher budding counts were seen in CMS4 and CRIS-B tumors (p = 0.045 and p = 0.046). No other associations of the measured parameters were seen for any of the other CRIS subtypes. Our analysis revealed clear associations between histopathologic features and CMS or CRIS subtypes. However, identification of distinct molecular subtypes solely based on histopathology proved to be infeasible. Combining both molecular and morphologic features could potentially improve patient stratification. Show less
Introduction: In older patients with breast cancer, the risk of dying from other causes than breast cancer strongly increases after the age of 70. The aim of this study was to assess contributions... Show moreIntroduction: In older patients with breast cancer, the risk of dying from other causes than breast cancer strongly increases after the age of 70. The aim of this study was to assess contributions of breast cancer mortality versus other-cause mortality after locoregio-nal or distant recurrence in a population-based cohort of older patients analysed by multi-state models. Methods: Surgically treated patients >70 years diagnosed with stage I-III breast cancer in 2003-2009 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. A novel multi-state model with locoregional and distant recurrence that incorporates relative survival was fitted. Other-cause and breast cancer mortality were indicated as population and excess mortality. Results: Overall, 18,419 patients were included. Ten-year cumulative incidences of locoregio-nal and distant recurrence were 2.8% (95%CI 2.6-3.1%) and 12.5% (95%CI 11.9-13.1%). Other-cause mortality increased from 23.9% (95%CI 23.7-24.2%) in patients 70-74 years to 73.8% (95%CI 72.2-75.4%) in those >80 years. Ten-year probabilities of locoregional or distant recurrence with subsequent breast cancer death were 0.4-1.3% and 10.2-14.6%, respectively. For patients with a distant recurrence in the first two years after diagnosis, breast cancer death probabilities were 95.3% (95%CI 94.2-96.4%), 93.1% (95%CI 91.6-94.6%), and 88.6% (95%CI 86.5-90.8%) in patients 70-74, 75-79, and >80 years. Conclusion: In older patients without recurrence, prognosis is driven by other-cause mortality. Although locoregional recurrence is a predictor for worse outcome, given its low incidence it contributes little to breast cancer mortality after diagnosis. For patients who develop a distant recurrence, breast cancer remains the dominant cause of death, even at old age.(c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Show less
Gomon, D.; Putter, H.; Nelissen, R.G.H.H.; Pas, S.L. van der 2022
Rapidly detecting problems in the quality of care is of utmost importance for the well-being of patients. Without proper inspection schemes, such problems can go undetected for years. Cumulative... Show moreRapidly detecting problems in the quality of care is of utmost importance for the well-being of patients. Without proper inspection schemes, such problems can go undetected for years. Cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts have proven to be useful for quality control, yet available methodology for survival outcomes is limited. The few available continuous time inspection charts usually require the researcher to specify an expected increase in the failure rate in advance, thereby requiring prior knowledge about the problem at hand. Misspecifying parameters can lead to false positive alerts and large detection delays. To solve this problem, we take a more general approach to derive the new Continuous time Generalized Rapid response CUSUM (CGR-CUSUM) chart. We find an expression for the approximate average run length (average time to detection) and illustrate the possible gain in detection speed by using the CGR-CUSUM over other commonly used monitoring schemes on a real-life data set from the Dutch Arthroplasty Register as well as in simulation studies. Besides the inspection of medical procedures, the CGR-CUSUM can also be used for other real-time inspection schemes such as industrial production lines and quality control of services. Show less
Gomon, D.; Putter, H.; Nelissen, R.G.H.H.; Pas, S. van der 2022
Rapidly detecting problems in the quality of care is of utmost importance for the well-being of patients. Without proper inspection schemes, such problems can go undetected for years. Cumulative... Show moreRapidly detecting problems in the quality of care is of utmost importance for the well-being of patients. Without proper inspection schemes, such problems can go undetected for years. Cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts have proven to be useful for quality control, yet available methodology for survival outcomes is limited. The few available continuous time inspection charts usually require the researcher to specify an expected increase in the failure rate in advance, thereby requiring prior knowledge about the problem at hand. Misspecifying parameters can lead to false positive alerts and large detection delays. To solve this problem, we take a more general approach to derive the new Continuous time Generalized Rapid response CUSUM (CGR-CUSUM) chart. We find an expression for the approximate average run length (average time to detection) and illustrate the possible gain in detection speed by using the CGR-CUSUM over other commonly used monitoring schemes on a real-life data set from the Dutch Arthroplasty Register as well as in simulation studies. Besides the inspection of medical procedures, the CGR-CUSUM can also be used for other real-time inspection schemes such as industrial production lines and quality control of services. Show less
PURPOSE For postmenopausal patients with breast cancer, previous subgroup analyses have shown a modest benefit from adjuvant bisphosphonate treatment. However, the efficacy of oral nitrogen... Show morePURPOSE For postmenopausal patients with breast cancer, previous subgroup analyses have shown a modest benefit from adjuvant bisphosphonate treatment. However, the efficacy of oral nitrogen-containing bisphosphonates such as ibandronate is unclear in this setting. TEAM-IIB investigates adjuvant ibandronate in postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer. METHODS TEAM-IIB is a randomized, open-label, multicenter phase III study. Postmenopausal women with stage I-III ER+ breast cancer and an indication for adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) were randomly assigned 1:1 to 5 years of ET with or without oral ibandronate 50 mg once daily for 3 years. Major ineligibility criteria were bilateral breast cancer, active gastroesophageal problems, and health conditions that might interfere with study treatment. Primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS), analyzed in the intention-to-treat population. RESULTS Between February 1, 2007, and May 27, 2014, 1,116 patients were enrolled, 565 to ET with ibandronate (ibandronate arm) and 551 to ET alone (control arm). Median follow-up was 8.5 years. DFS was not significantly different between the ibandronate and control arms (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.76 to 1.24; log-rank P = .811). Three years after random assignment, DFS was 94% in the ibandronate arm and 91% in the control arm. Five years after random assignment, this was 89% and 86%, respectively. In the ibandronate arm, 97/565 (17%) of patients stopped ibandronate early because of adverse events. Significantly more patients experienced GI issues, mainly dyspepsia, in the ibandronate arm than in the control arm (89 [16%] and 54 [10%], respectively; P < .003). Eleven patients in the ibandronate arm developed osteonecrosis of the jaw. CONCLUSION In postmenopausal women with ER+ breast cancer, adjuvant ibandronate 50 mg once daily does not improve DFS and should not be recommended as part of standard treatment regimens. Show less
PURPOSEFor postmenopausal patients with breast cancer, previous subgroup analyses have shown a modest benefit from adjuvant bisphosphonate treatment. However, the efficacy of oral nitrogen... Show morePURPOSEFor postmenopausal patients with breast cancer, previous subgroup analyses have shown a modest benefit from adjuvant bisphosphonate treatment. However, the efficacy of oral nitrogen-containing bisphosphonates such as ibandronate is unclear in this setting. TEAM-IIB investigates adjuvant ibandronate in postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor–positive (ER+) breast cancer.METHODSTEAM-IIB is a randomized, open-label, multicenter phase III study. Postmenopausal women with stage I-III ER+ breast cancer and an indication for adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) were randomly assigned 1:1 to 5 years of ET with or without oral ibandronate 50 mg once daily for 3 years. Major ineligibility criteria were bilateral breast cancer, active gastroesophageal problems, and health conditions that might interfere with study treatment. Primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS), analyzed in the intention-to-treat population.RESULTSBetween February 1, 2007, and May 27, 2014, 1,116 patients were enrolled, 565 to ET with ibandronate (ibandronate arm) and 551 to ET alone (control arm). Median follow-up was 8.5 years. DFS was not significantly different between the ibandronate and control arms (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.76 to 1.24; log-rank P = .811). Three years after random assignment, DFS was 94% in the ibandronate arm and 91% in the control arm. Five years after random assignment, this was 89% and 86%, respectively. In the ibandronate arm, 97/565 (17%) of patients stopped ibandronate early because of adverse events. Significantly more patients experienced GI issues, mainly dyspepsia, in the ibandronate arm than in the control arm (89 [16%] and 54 [10%], respectively; P < .003). Eleven patients in the ibandronate arm developed osteonecrosis of the jaw.CONCLUSIONIn postmenopausal women with ER+ breast cancer, adjuvant ibandronate 50 mg once daily does not improve DFS and should not be recommended as part of standard treatment regimens. Show less
Biewenga, M.; Verhelst, X.; Baven-Pronk, M.; Putter, H.; Berg, A. van den; Colle, I.; ... ; Dutch Autoimmune Hepatitis Study Group 2022
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Biochemical remission, important treatment goal in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), has been associated with better long-term survival. The aim of this study was to determine the... Show moreBACKGROUND & AIMS: Biochemical remission, important treatment goal in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), has been associated with better long-term survival. The aim of this study was to determine the independent prognostic value of aminotransferases and immunoglobulin G (IgG) during treatment on long-term transplant-free survival in AIH. METHODS: In a multicenter cohort alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and IgG were collected at diagnosis and 6, 12, 24, and 36 months after start of therapy and related to long-term outcome using Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox regression analysis with landmark analysis at these time points, excluding patients with follow-up ending before each landmark. RESULTS: A total of 301 AIH patients with a median follow-up of 99 (range, 7-438) months were included. During follow-up, 15 patients required liver transplantation and 33 patients died. Higher AST at 12 months was associated with worse survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.86; P <.001), while IgG was not associated with survival (HR, 1.30; P =.53). In multivariate analysis AST at 12 months (HR, 2.13; P <.001) was predictive for survival independent of age, AST at diagnosis and cirrhosis. Multivariate analysis for AST yielded similar results at 6 months (HR, 2.61; P =.001), 24 months (HR, 2.93; P =.003), and 36 months (HR, 3.03; P =.010). There was a trend toward a worse survival in patients with mildly elevated aminotransferases (1-1.53 upper limit of normal) compared with patients with normal aminotransferases (P =.097). CONCLUSIONS: Low aminotransferases during treatment are associated with a better long-term survival in autoimmune hepatitis. IgG was not associated with survival in first 12 months of treatment. Normalization of aminotransferases should be the treatment goal for autoimmune hepatitis to improve long-term survival. Show less
