Background-The predictive value of coronary artery calcium (CAC) has been widely studied; however, little is known about specific characteristics of CAC that are most predictive. We aimed to... Show moreBackground-The predictive value of coronary artery calcium (CAC) has been widely studied; however, little is known about specific characteristics of CAC that are most predictive. We aimed to determine the independent associations of Agatston score, CAC volume, CAC area, CAC mass, and CAC density score with major adverse cardiac events in patients with suspected coronary artery disease.Methods and Results-A total of 379 symptomatic participants, aged 45 to 85 years, referred for invasive coronary angiography, who underwent coronary calcium scanning and computed tomography angiography as part of the CORE320 (Combined Noninvasive Coronary Angiography and Myocardial Perfusion Imaging Using 320 Detector Computed Tomography) study, were included. Agatston score, CAC volume, area, mass, and density were computed on noncontrast images. Stenosis measurements were made on contrast-enhanced images. The primary outcome of 2-year major adverse cardiac events (30 revascularizations [>182 days of index catheterization], 5 myocardial infarctions, 1 cardiac death, 9 hospitalizations, and 1 arrhythmia) occurred in 32 patients (8.4%). Associations were estimated using multivariable proportional means models. Median age was 62 (interquartile range, 56-68) years, 34% were women, and 56% were white. In separate models, the Agatston, volume, and density scores were all significantly associated with higher risk of major adverse cardiac events after adjustment for age, sex, race, and statin use; density was the strongest predictor in all CAC models. CAC density did not provide incremental value over Agatston score after adjustment for diameter stenosis, age, sex, and race.Conclusions-In symptomatic patients, CAC density was the strongest independent predictor of major adverse cardiac events among CAC scores, but it did not provide incremental value beyond the Agatston score after adjustment for diameter stenosis. Show less
Prihadi, E.A.; Bijl, P. van der; Dietz, M.; Abou, R.; Vollema, E.M.; Marsan, N.A.; ... ; Bax, J.J. 2019
BACKGROUND: In patients with significant functional tricuspid regurgitation, timely detection of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction with conventional 2-dimensional echocardiography is challenging,... Show moreBACKGROUND: In patients with significant functional tricuspid regurgitation, timely detection of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction with conventional 2-dimensional echocardiography is challenging, whereas speckle-tracking echocardiography RV free wall longitudinal strain has been proposed as better prognosticator. We evaluated the prevalence and prognostic value of impaired RV free wall longitudinal strain in patients with significant functional tricuspid regurgitation, in comparison with tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and fractional area change (FAC).METHODS: Eight hundred ninety-six patients (51.3% men, 71 years [62-78 years]) with significant functional tricuspid regurgitation were divided according to the presence of RV dysfunction (defined as TAPSE < 17 mm, FAC <35%, and RV free wall longitudinal strain >-23%) and were followed for the occurrence of all-cause mortality.RESULTS: RV free wall longitudinal strain identified the highest percentage of RV dysfunction (84.9%), in comparison to FAC (48.5%) and TAPSE (71.7%). During a median follow-up of 2.8 years (1.3-5.4 years), 443 (49.4%) patients died. Compared with survivors, nonsurvivors showed worse RV systolic dysfunction (FAC=36.5 +/- 12.7% versus 33.9 +/- 11.8%, P=0.001; TAPSE=15.4 +/- 5.0 versus 14.0 +/- 4.5 mm, P<0.001; RV free wall longitudinal strain=-15.9 +/- 7.5% versus -12.9 +/- 6.8%, P<0.001). Cumulative event-free survival was significantly worse in patients with decreased FAC, decreased TAPSE, and impaired RV free wall longitudinal strain. On multivariate analysis, RV free wall longitudinal strain was independently associated with all-cause mortality and incremental to FAC and TAPSE.CONCLUSIONS: In significant tricuspid regurgitation, impaired RV free wall longitudinal strain identifies higher rates of RV dysfunction and is associated with worse outcome beyond conventional echocardiographic parameters of RV systolic function. Show less
Melis, R.J.F.; Haaksma, M.L.; Muniz-Terrera, G. 2019
Purpose of reviewTo date, most research in dementia has focused either on the identification of dementia risk prediction or on understanding changes and predictors experienced by individuals before... Show morePurpose of reviewTo date, most research in dementia has focused either on the identification of dementia risk prediction or on understanding changes and predictors experienced by individuals before diagnosis. Despite little is known about how individuals change after dementia diagnosis, there is agreement that changes occur over different time scales and are multidomain. In this study, we present an overview of the literature regarding the longitudinal course of dementia.Recent findingsOur review suggests the evidence is scarce and findings reported are often inconsistent. We identified large heterogeneity in dementia trajectories, risk factors considered and modelling approaches employed. The heterogeneity of dementia trajectories also varies across outcomes and domains investigated.SummaryIt became clear that dementia progresses very differently, both between and within individuals. This implies an average trajectory is not informative to individual persons and this needs to be taken into account when communicating prognosis in clinical care. As persons with dementia change in many more ways during their patient journey, heterogeneous disease progressions are the result of disease and patient characteristics. Prognostic models would benefit from including variables across a number of domains. International coordination of replication and standardization of the research approach is recommended. Show less
Objectives: The predictive value of frailty and comorbidity, in addition to more readily available information, is not widely studied. We determined the incremental predictive value of frailty and... Show moreObjectives: The predictive value of frailty and comorbidity, in addition to more readily available information, is not widely studied. We determined the incremental predictive value of frailty and comorbidity for mortality and institutionalization across both short and long prediction periods in persons with dementia.Design: Longitudinal clinical cohort study with a follow-up of institutionalization and mortality occurrence across 7 years after baseline.Setting and Participants: 331 newly diagnosed dementia patients, originating from 3 Alzheimer centers (Amsterdam, Maastricht, and Nijmegen) in the Netherlands, contributed to the Clinical Course of Cognition and Comorbidity (4C) Study.Measures: We measured comorbidity burden using the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale for Geriatrics (CIRS-G) and constructed a Frailty Index (FI) based on 35 items. Time-to-death and time-to-institutionalization from dementia diagnosis onward were verified through linkage to the Dutch population registry.Results: After 7 years, 131 patients were institutionalized and 160 patients had died. Compared with a previously developed prediction model for survival in dementia, our Cox regression model showed a significant improvement in model concordance (U) after the addition of baseline CIRS-G or FI when examining mortality across 3 years (FI: U = 0.178, P = .005, CIRS-G: U = 0.180, P = .012), but not for mortality across 6 years (FI: U = 0.068, P = .176, CIRS-G: U = 0.084, P = .119). In a competing risk regression model for time-to-institutionalization, baseline CIRS-G and FI did not improve the prediction across any of the periods.Conclusions: Characteristics such as frailty and comorbidity change over time and therefore their predictive value is likely maximized in the short term. These results call for a shift in our approach to prognostic modeling for chronic diseases, focusing on yearly predictions rather than a single prediction across multiple years. Our findings underline the importance of considering possible fluctuations in predictors over time by performing regular longitudinal assessments in future studies as well as in clinical practice. (C) 2018 AMDA - The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine. Show less
AimsLeft ventricular (LV) systolic function is a known prognostic factor after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). We evaluated the prognostic value of LV global longitudinal strain... Show moreAimsLeft ventricular (LV) systolic function is a known prognostic factor after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). We evaluated the prognostic value of LV global longitudinal strain (GLS) in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) after STEMI.Methods and resultsOne hundred and forty-three STEMI patients with COPD (mean age 70 +/- 11 years, 71% male), were retrospectively analysed. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and LV GLS were measured on transthoracic echocardiography within 48 h of admission. Patients were followed for the occurrence of all-cause mortality and the combined endpoint of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization. After a median follow-up of 68 (interquartile range 38.5-99) months, 66 (46%) patients died and 70 (49%) patients reached the combined endpoint. The median LV GLS was-14.4%. Patients with LV GLS >-14.4% (more impaired) showed higher cumulative event rates of all-cause mortality (19%, 26%, and 44% vs. 7%, 8%, and 18% at 1, 2, and 5 years follow-up; log-rank P = 0.004) and the combined endpoint (26%, 34%, and 50% vs. 8%, 10%, and 20% at 1, 2, and 5 years follow-up; log-rank P 0.001) as compared to patients with LV GLS <-14.4%. In multivariate analysis, LV GLS >-14.4% was independently associated with increased all-cause mortality and the combined endpoint [hazard ratio (HR) 2.07; P = 0.02 and HR 2.20; P 0.01, respectively] and had incremental prognostic value over LVEF demonstrated by a significant increase in chi(2) (P = 0.023 and P = 0.011, respectively).ConclusionImpaired LV GLS is independently associated with worse long-term survival in STEMI patients with COPD and has incremental prognostic value over LVEF. Show less
Eekelen, R. van; McLernon, D.J.; Wely, M. van; Eijkemans, M.J.; Bhattacharya, S.; Veen, F. van der; Geloven, N. van 2018
Salivary duct carcinoma (SDC) is a subtype of salivary gland cancer with a dismal prognosis and a need for better prognostication and novel treatments. The aim of this national cohort study was to... Show moreSalivary duct carcinoma (SDC) is a subtype of salivary gland cancer with a dismal prognosis and a need for better prognostication and novel treatments. The aim of this national cohort study was to investigate clinical outcome, prognostic factors, androgen receptor (AR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) expression. SDC patients diagnosed between 1990 and 2014 were identified by the Nationwide Network and Registry of Histo- and Cytopathology in the Netherlands (PALGA). Subsequently, medical records were evaluated and pathological diagnoses reviewed. Data were analyzed for overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and prognostic factors. AR was evaluated by immunohistochemistry (IHC), HER2 by IHC and fluorescent in-situ hybridization. A total of 177 patients were included. The median age was 65 years, 75% were male. At diagnosis, 68% presented with lymph node metastases and 6% with distant metastases. Median OS, DFS and DMFS were 51, 23 and 26 months, respectively. In patients presenting without distant metastases, the absolute number of positive lymph nodes was associated with poor OS and DMFS in a multivariable analysis. AR and HER2 were positive in 161/168 (96%) and 44/153 (29%) tumors, respectively, and were not prognostic factors. SDC has a dismal prognosis with primary lymph node involvement in the majority of patients. The absolute number of lymph node metastases was found to be the only prognostic factor for DMFS and OS. AR expression and- to a lesser extent-HER2 expression hold promise for systemic treatment in the metastatic and eventually adjuvant setting. Show less
