Recurrence risk of venous thromboembolism associated with systemic lupus erythematosus: a retrospective cohort study

Bhoelan, S.; Howard, J.B.; Tichelaar, V.; Daele, P. van; Hak, L.; Voskuyl, A.; ... ; Meijer, K. (2022)

Article / Letter to editor

BackgroundRecurrence risk of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE)-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unclear. AimTo determine the recurrence risk of SLE-associated VTE overall and by presence of provoking factors and SLE flares. MethodsA multicenter, retrospective cohort study was conducted among patients with first SLE-associated VTE who discontinued anticoagulation. SLE flares were defined as Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index 2000 greater than 4. The primary outcome was recurrent VTE. Incidence rates and cumulative incidences were calculated by presence of provoking factors and antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) at index VTE. The hazard ratio (HR) for recurrence after SLE flare-associated index VTE was estimated with Cox regression, adjusted for provoking factor presence and APS. ResultsEighty patients were included with 21 recurrent VTEs in median 8 years. For provoked index VTE, the recurrence rate in patients without APS was 1.1 per 100 person-years (PY; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.1-3.1) and in the presence of APS 3.5 per 100 PY (95% CI, 0.9-8.9), yielding cumulative incidences of 7.5% (95% CI, 1.2%-21.7%) and 31.4% (95% CI, 6.3%-61.6%) respectively. For unprovoked index VTE, these analogous rates were 3.8 per 100 PY (95% CI, 1.2-9.0) and 16.7 per 100 PY (95% CI, 4.5-42.7), with cumulative incidences of 33.7% (95% CI, 10.7%-58.9%) and 54.2% (95% CI, 10.7%-84.5%), respectively. Forty-six index VTEs were flare associated, and the adjusted HR for recurrence was 0.4 (95% CI, 0.1-1.8) compared to those without flares at their index VTE. ConclusionAntiphospholipid syndrome is the main determinant for recurrence risk of SLE-associated VTE irrespective of presence of a provoking factor. Future research should attempt to confirm that flare-associated VTE has a lower recurrence risk.

• antiphospholipid syndrome
• inflammation
• systemic lupus erythematosus
• thrombosis
• venous thromboembolism

• All authors: Bhoelan, S.; Howard, J.B.; Tichelaar, V.; Daele, P. van; Hak, L.; Voskuyl, A.; Limper, M.; Goekoop, R.; Teng, O.; Vosters, J.; Bijl, M.; Zirkzee, E.; Schilder, A.; Moens, H.B.; Leeuw, K. de; Meijer, K.
• Date: 2022-12-27
• Journal: Research and Practice in Thrombosis and Haemostasis
• Volume: 6
• Issue: 8
• DOI: doi:10.1002/rth2.12839